Richard,

>>> specific technical analysis of the AGI problem that I have made
>>> indicates that nothing like a 'prototype' is even possible until
>>> after a massive amount of up-front effort. 

I probably misunderstand you first time.
I thought you meant that this massive amount of up-front efforts must
be made in single project.
But you probably don't mean that, right?

I agree that there is massive amount of up-front effort required for
delivering AGI.
But this amount can be split into separate pieces.
All these pieces can be done in separate projects (weak AI projects).
Every such project can have its own business sense and would be able
to pay for themselves. Good example of such weak AI project would be
Google.

That's why I claim that huge up-front investment can be avoided, even
though there is massive amount of up-front efforts.

Do you agree?


> Billions of dollars would be exactly what I need:  I have a need for a
> large bank of parallelized exploration machines, and I have a need for
> large numbers of research assistants to undertake specific tasks.

That's what you need, but would that guarantee AGI delivery?



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