Alex, Interesting video. My comments are below.
On Sat, Dec 24, 2011 at 5:42 AM, alexalex <alexmka...@yahoo.com> wrote: > I watched this video on youtube where Nick Bostrom was talking about > the Fermi paradox : > > http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2GnkAcdRgcI > > 1. If the great filter is between having a planet and a civilization > like ours then it's very unlikely for us to develop into a super- > civilization. > The great filter might simply be a belief in non-interference. Many people think this is unlikely because they believe there is no reason a bunch of random alien civilizations would agree on this, but I think nearly all alien civilizations will reach a state of super-intelligence before it achieves interstellar travel. It's been said that when intelligent people disagree it is due to a difference in data. If we assume these civilizations are super-intelligent, then all or most of them reaching a common consensus becomes much less likely. > > 2. If the great filter is between ourselves and a hypothetical mega- > rare-super-civilization then doesn't that imply the following? > > a) If DA is true then every observer should reason as if they were a > radom sample drawn from the set of all observers > > b) If we a priori consider that a highly more advanced civilization > than us is highly more numerous in conscious beings than we are today > at our peak, considering DA must be true, then : > > c) Shouldn't that random observer consider itself in the most numerous > civilization and, very likely, on the most advanced of them ? > Perhaps. But it is impossible to rule out the possibility that we are already members of such a civilization, who choose to momentarily forget our true identity. > > So ours is one of the most advanced civilizations. > > AlexAlex. > > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To post to this group, send email to everything-list@googlegroups.com. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list?hl=en.
