On 3/19/2013 11:00 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
On 19 Mar 2013, at 18:35, Bruno Marchal wrote:
On 19 Mar 2013, at 17:34, Evgenii Rudnyi wrote:
snip (see the preview post)
As an example, I could point you to the Genome Wager between Lewis Wolpert and Rupert
Sheldrake
http://www.sheldrake.org/D&C/controversies/genomewager.html
Make your bet. In such a form this is closer to real science, that is, to a predictive
statement.
That bet is far too vague for me. Define "abnormalities".
I bet that in 2029, they will not been able to judge the case, and will continue to
disagree.
I can bet that full simulation of higher mammals brain, ---glial, neuronal cells + some
bacteries, at the molecular level, close to the Heisenberg uncertainty level,--- will
be done this or the next century.
And I am not betting that we will be able to simulate the folding of all proteins, but
we will use the shape we already know. Many steps of the chemical metabolism will be
simulated very roughly, in the (eternal) beginning.
It might be an ethical problem, of doing this on animals. They did not say "yes" to the
doctor, but we will do it anyway, and comp will be a practice before people begin to
think on the theological implications, I'm afraid.
Most humans will choose the level available in their time. It is a field where our
terrestrial grand-children will never cease to progress.
I think it likely that the first applications will be providing soldiers with augmented
senses and communication. Just as AI research has been funded by the military. Threats
of war are often used to justify bypassing ethical considerations and rushing into ill
considered projects.
Brent
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