On Tue, Nov 18, 2014 at 12:06 AM, Russell Standish <[email protected]>
wrote:

>> I'd say that by about 1850 when people started to have a understanding
>> of what Entropy was physicists had all they needed to have known that the
>> universe must have started out in a very very low entropy state, that is to
>> say they could have predicted the Big Bang in the early to mid 19th
>> century; and they wouldn't have needed to go near a telescope to do so. But
>> unfortunately they didn't, it's one of the great failures of nerve or
>> imagination in the history of science.
>>
>
> > Boltzmann indeed predicted a low entropy state sometime in the past.


Yes but  Boltzmann thought that you could ignore boundary conditions and
the second law of thermodynamics alone was enough to logically deduce that
in the distant past the universe must have been in a very low entropy
state, but in 1876 Loschmidt pointed out that Boltzman was wrong about
that, he said you can't deduce a irreversible process, like the increase of
entropy, from classical dynamics alone because if you just reverse the
velocity of the particles in high entropy state B it will evolve back into
the low entropy state A that produced it.  And knowing that there are
VASTLY more high entropy states than low entropy states and asked what
state produced the stat we're in now you'd have to answer that it was
almost certainly one of those enormously numerous high entropy states
UNLESS you made a further assumption, the past hypothesis, the idea that
the universe must have started out in a very very low entropy state.

  John K Clark

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