Technology doesn't come by magic. Nuclear power and photovoltaics were both developed by
the government. Low emission automobiles were developed in response to government
regulation. Sure technology is the solution to global warming, but technology takes
development and development takes money. Regulations not only restrict things, they also
promote things. One of the impediments to building thorium based nuclear powerplants is
that there are not regulations for them. If you propose building one the first thing
investors, local communities, local governments will ask is, "Will it meet all the safety
requirments and regulations." There aren't any (except the generic ones) so you can't get
approval to build it. This is a problem only the federal government can overcome by doing
the initial development and writing safety standards based on the operation of pilot
plants. No capitalist is going to invest in such a developmental project - it's too risky
at the legal level even if the technology were already developed (which it isn't).
Brent
On 12/14/2014 7:45 AM, spudboy100 via Everything List wrote:
The important thought to take away, is, rely on technology to perform a real world,
Newtonian physics, reality. Do not rely on Regulations for a fix, not by itself.
Technology. It either works or it doesn't. laws are words can always be made into lies,
and deception.
-----Original Message-----
From: Jason Resch <[email protected]>
To: Everything List <[email protected]>
Sent: Sat, Dec 13, 2014 1:10 pm
Subject: Re: real A.I.
On Sat, Dec 13, 2014 at 10:44 AM, John Clark <[email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
On Sat, Dec 13, 2014 meekerdb <[email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]>>
wrote:
> And deniers are luddite morons who think we can fix global warming on
short notice when it gets
a lot worse but we can't screw it up in the meantime.
For heaven's sake, by 2100 we'll have full Nanotechnology and Quantum
Computers at
our disposal, or rather the human race's AI successors will. Global warming
is small
potatoes.
On this I agree with John. If anyone can be accused of luddism, its the "technological
singularity deniers", who believe technology progresses at a constant linear rate and
are ignorant of projections of the coming intelligence explosion. The technological
singularity will happen well before 2100, and if it doesn't, it will be because we've
already wiped ourselves out.
For those unfamiliar with the concept, I recommend this as a good primer:
http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-law-of-accelerating-returns
An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is
exponential, contrary to the common-sense “intuitive linear” view. So we
won’t
experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century — it will be more like
20,000
years of progress (at today’s rate). The “returns,” such as chip speed and
cost-effectiveness, also increase exponentially. There’s even exponential
growth in
the rate of exponential growth. Within a few decades, machine intelligence
will
surpass human intelligence, leading to The Singularity — technological
change so
rapid and profound it represents a rupture in the fabric of human history.
The
implications include the merger of biological and nonbiological
intelligence,
immortal software-based humans, and ultra-high levels of intelligence that
expand
outward in the universe at the speed of light.
Jason
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