The important thought to take away, is, rely on  technology to perform a real 
world, Newtonian physics, reality. Do not rely on Regulations for a fix, not by 
itself. Technology. It either works or it doesn't. laws are words can always be 
made into lies, and deception. 



-----Original Message-----
From: Jason Resch <[email protected]>
To: Everything List <[email protected]>
Sent: Sat, Dec 13, 2014 1:10 pm
Subject: Re: real A.I.






On Sat, Dec 13, 2014 at 10:44 AM, John Clark <[email protected]> wrote:
On Sat, Dec 13, 2014 meekerdb <[email protected]> wrote:

          





> And deniers are luddite morons who think we can fix global warming    on 
> short notice when it gets a lot worse but we can't screw it up in    the 
> meantime.



For heaven's sake, by 2100 we'll have full Nanotechnology and Quantum Computers 
at our disposal, or rather the human race's AI successors will. Global warming 
is small potatoes.  







On this I agree with John. If anyone can be accused of luddism, its the 
"technological singularity deniers", who believe technology progresses at a 
constant linear rate and are ignorant of projections of the coming intelligence 
explosion. The technological singularity will happen well before 2100, and if 
it doesn't, it will be because we've already wiped ourselves out.


For those unfamiliar with the concept, I recommend this as a good primer:


http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-law-of-accelerating-returns






An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is 
exponential, contrary to the common-sense “intuitive linear” view. So we won’t 
experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century — it will be more like 
20,000 years of progress (at today’s rate). The “returns,” such as chip speed 
and cost-effectiveness, also increase exponentially. There’s even exponential 
growth in the rate of exponential growth. Within a few decades, machine 
intelligence will surpass human intelligence, leading to The Singularity — 
technological change so rapid and profound it represents a rupture in the 
fabric of human history. The implications include the merger of biological and 
nonbiological intelligence, immortal software-based humans, and ultra-high 
levels of intelligence that expand outward in the universe at the speed of 
light.






Jason


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