On 8 May 2015 at 10:35, Russell Standish <[email protected]> wrote:

>> >> Why can't playing the equivalent of a recording made de novo (i.e. there
>> >> was no original) instantiate the conscious moment for the first time?
>> >>
>> >
>> > That is such a fantastically improbable outcome that Harry Potter
>> > universes are mundane occurrences, and we might as well admit magic into
>> > our explanations of reality.
>> >
>> > Seriously, in that case, all bets are off. Arguments based on
>> > intuition (such as the MGA) just fail under those circumstances.
>>
>> I don't think it is fantastically improbable; in fact, in an infinite
>> universe it may be certain. And even if it is fantastically
>> improbable, that does not invalidate the philosophical conclusions.
>>
>
> Yes it does, if the philosophical conclusions are based on an
> intuition (which the MGA is).
>
> This is why I draw the comparison with the Chinese room. If all the
> intelligence is encoded in a book, then intuition says that book
> cannot be conscious. This intuition is undoubtedly right for the sorts
> of books we're used to. But for a book that is much, much larger than
> the visible universe (which it would have to be to encode the
> intelligence needed to answer the questions in Chinese as a lookup
> table), then I think that intuition is very much
> doubtful. Consequently, the Chinese Room argument fails. This was Dan
> Dennett's point, IIRC.

There is an analogy with the Chinese Room argument, but this is the
wrong one. The analogy is that the Chinese Room is conscious *despite*
its bizarreness and improbability leading to the intuition that it
cannot possibly be so.

> The MGA will fail in exactly the same way, in the same
> circumstance. However, Bruno is quite clear that he doesn't rely on
> astronomically improbably event ocurring, so this is simply a side
> issue that needs pinching off.

The UD producing consciousness on any computer it might conceivably be
run on is astronomically improbable.

-- 
Stathis Papaioannou

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