You may not be certain, but you know what the possibilities are, and I would argue, what the probabilites are as well.
What would you consider to be the minimum fair pay out X if you had to pay $1 on each of the days, and would be awarded $X if you guessed correctly which day it was? Jason On Sun, Sep 6, 2015 at 4:17 PM, John Mikes <[email protected]> wrote: > Q #3 is irrelevant, after Q #2. > The answer is "I DUNNO" unless you detect indications for a better one. > JM > > On Sun, Sep 6, 2015 at 4:27 PM, Jason Resch <[email protected]> wrote: > >> You will undergo the following experiment: >> >> 1. During the weekend you will be put to sleep with a drug and not be >> woken up until Monday. >> 2. On monday you will be woken up and asked what day it is. *How do you >> answer?* >> 3. You are then given a drug to put you to sleep again and also given a >> drug that induces amnesia of being woken up at all on Monday. >> 4. You are woken up on Tuesday, and asked what day it is. *How do you >> answer?* >> >> *If asked to ascribe a probability to it being Monday when you are woken >> up, how do you answer on either of the days you are awoken?* >> >> (I am particularly interested in John Clark's answer to the final >> question) >> >> Jason >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "Everything List" group. >> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an >> email to [email protected]. >> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >> Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. >> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout. >> > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Everything List" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to [email protected]. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. > For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout. > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
