On Tuesday, September 8, 2015, Brent Meeker <[email protected]> wrote:
> > > On 9/6/2015 10:49 PM, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > > > > On Monday, September 7, 2015, Brent Meeker < > <javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','[email protected]');>[email protected] > <javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','[email protected]');>> wrote: > >> >> >> On 9/6/2015 7:20 PM, Jason Resch wrote: >> >> >> >> On Sun, Sep 6, 2015 at 8:23 PM, Brent Meeker <[email protected] >> <javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','[email protected]');>> wrote: >> >>> $2, because you can just say "Monday" each time you're asked. It has >>> nothing to do with probabilities. It's a good analogue of the MWI problem; >>> when everything is deterministic and everything happens there's no >>> objective measure. >>> >> >> There are many "interpretations" of prboability: >> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_interpretations> >> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_interpretations >> >> I think the thought experiment I describe is an example of probability >> under the "frequentist" definition. >> >> >> No, there's no randomness in it. There's no distribution to approximate >> in repeated trials. >> > > It's the same kind of randomness that emerges from multiverse theories. > > > Right, a kind which doesn't (in most models) have a probability > interpretation because there's no clear measure. > > You presumably estimate probabilities in everyday life, and generally it > serves you well. > > > Sure, I make subjective estimates by hypothesizing some ensemble of > possibilities with a measure on it - but I don't infer from this that all > those hypotheticals really happen or that the probability I come up with is > an objective fact about the world. > But can you infer something about the nature of the world from the fact that probabilities seem to be useful? -- Stathis Papaioannou -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. Visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/everything-list. For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
