On 9/6/2015 10:49 PM, Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
On Monday, September 7, 2015, Brent Meeker <meeke...@verizon.net
<mailto:meeke...@verizon.net>> wrote:
On 9/6/2015 7:20 PM, Jason Resch wrote:
On Sun, Sep 6, 2015 at 8:23 PM, Brent Meeker
<meeke...@verizon.net
<javascript:_e(%7B%7D,'cvml','meeke...@verizon.net');>> wrote:
$2, because you can just say "Monday" each time you're asked.
It has nothing to do with probabilities. It's a good
analogue of the MWI problem; when everything is deterministic
and everything happens there's no objective measure.
There are many "interpretations" of prboability:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_interpretations
I think the thought experiment I describe is an example of
probability under the "frequentist" definition.
No, there's no randomness in it. There's no distribution to
approximate in repeated trials.
It's the same kind of randomness that emerges from multiverse theories.
Right, a kind which doesn't (in most models) have a probability
interpretation because there's no clear measure.
You presumably estimate probabilities in everyday life, and generally
it serves you well.
Sure, I make subjective estimates by hypothesizing some ensemble of
possibilities with a measure on it - but I don't infer from this that
all those hypotheticals really happen or that the probability I come up
with is an objective fact about the world.
Brent
Do you conclude from this that multiverse theories are wrong, and
there must be a single track universe with true randomness?
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Stathis Papaioannou
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