On Sun, Feb 27, 2022 at 11:38 AM Brent Meeker <[email protected]> wrote:
> One problem is that the Russians won't know whether they are nukes or not > until they explode. > That problem can be overcome by simply telling them that the missiles are not nuclear. There are channels of communication, after all. I wonder how good our back channels are with the Russian military. I doubt > that they are very happy with Putin. The Ukranians seem very willing to > fight and I'd bet they will be a lot more motivated than a bunch of Russian > conscripts. So I think if we keep them supplied they may make it too > expensive in money, blood, and prestige. > > More worrying it what will we do when Xi starts massing troops on the > mainland opposite Taiwan? We're not in so good a position to impose > economic pressure on China. > I doubt that economic sanctions will do much good in the short term with Russia, either. I think you are right -- the best bet is that the Ukrainian resistance will wear the invaders down -- they expected a short fight and easy victory, after all. Opposition is growing within Russia itself. The dead bodies will be a big influence..... Russia will not want another Afghanistan, or Chechnya....... Bruce > Brent > > On 2/26/2022 3:13 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote: > > On Sun, Feb 27, 2022 at 10:04 AM Brent Meeker <[email protected]> > wrote: > >> It's not a question of sympathy, but of utility. >> > > What would happen if NATO launched an all-out cruise missile assault on > Moscow and Petersburg? Not nuclear, purely conventional. No "boots on the > ground", but some serious rethinking needed on Russia's part. Just as the > retaliatory British bombing of Berlin in WW2 caused Hitler to loose his > cool and gave Britain an advantage. Of course, Putin might respond with a > nuclear assault, but that would certainly render his empire plans futile. > It would be a gamble, but I think the odds would be in favour of making > Putin pause rather than escalating further. > > Bruce > >> >> Brent >> >> On 2/26/2022 2:58 PM, John Clark wrote: >> >> On Sat, Feb 26, 2022 at 5:41 PM Brent Meeker <[email protected]> >> wrote: >> >> * > I'm fine with seizing the money of Putin and his oligarch buddies. >>> I'm less sanguine about just impoverishing the Russian people. * >>> >> >> When one country decides to make war on it's neighbor misery is the >> inevitable result, certainly the people of Ukraine are feeling it and >> I'm certain the people of Russia will too. Call me a monster if you want >> but at this moment I feel far less sympathy for the invading country >> than the country being invaded. >> >> -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAFxXSLS9KotZyVSzct2Dqmqm7WxuksPogwXhK4PeqR4XMAEDsg%40mail.gmail.com.
