First, a few comments to other comments:

Michael Libby writes:
 
> And on the topic of Ward 07. What the heck? Elliott Park neighborhood
is
> totally going to get ramrodded on anything by the rich in downtown and
> Kenwood! There is a HUGE population of people living just south in/of
> downtown who have absolutely no voice in this plan.

Actually, they did have a voice in it. Tom Reid, executive director of
the Elliot Park Neighborhood, Inc., was the *only* neighborhood leader
to testify before the commission pre-map. He said EP wanted to remain
intact and in a Downtown ward. Lisa Goodman currently represents EP, and
EP is already lumped in with cake-eaters, just more in south Minneapolis
than in Downtown. Anyway, I don't think EP is too upset with this, since
they are intent on knitting themselves more directly into Downtown
through ongoing master planning.

Michael also says
> I'm having a hard time seeing it on the map Mr. Brauer provided

Please don't use the map I emailed to the list - that was just to get
something out there immediately after the vote. The city now has a good
group of maps at:

http://www.ci.minneapolis.mn.us/redistricting/MinneapolisRedistrictingPl
an.asp

or, if the link breaks:

http://www.ci.minneapolis.mn.us/redistricting/

Rosalind Nelson writes:

> As for benefits for Ward 8, a number of people feel that Ward 5 has
lost
> influence because of losing the prosperous downtown areas.  Ward 8 is
losing a
> chunk of Phillips but gaining the more prosperous blocks on the west
section of
> Powderhorn and in Kingfield.  Will this make Ward 8 more influential?

I don't buy the affluence theory, personally, or at least I think it's a
poor predictor of influence. I think there are two much bigger
determinants of effectiveness: how effective you are interpersonally,
and how powerful your party is.

Check it out: the guy who currently represents the silkiest-stocking
land - Barret Lane - is one of the most marginalized. Meanwhile Jackie
Cherryhomes, from the poorest ward, was the most powerful (and the Gold
Coast factor in Ward 5 was only to help her raise $$, not gain
influence, which she had from the moment she set foot on the council
before the '90s maps were drawn.). Brian Herron was from a poor ward and
ineffective because he could obviously be led; Tony Scallon represented
a poorer-than-average ward but was a power because he was smart,
ruthless and effective.

Is affluence a non-factor? Probably not; all things being equal, it's
probably better to represent the rich than the poor. But I think it is a
poor third place.

One indirect argument against my point and for affluence=influence is
this: socioeconomic status correlates with turnout (generally but not
precisely); therefore, it's easier for a small and therefore potentially
unrepresentative group to get and stay in power. (This can happen in all
wards, but I submit happens more to the poor.) Thus, poor wards may be
more likely to turn out ineffective leaders, and this is how the
affluence=influence link happens.

Disclaimer: I am not taking a position on Ward 5 because I cover it. I
think Natalie Johnson Lee has a fair point that minorities may have been
"packed" and that with so many poor, the ward may be harder to
represent. 

OK, new point:

With all the talk of gerrymandering, one of the most blatant examples is
in the park districts (again, surf to the redistricting page, click on
redistricting plan, and look at the tentative park plan under Ward
Boundary Maps).

The lines are fairly clean in southwest - everything south of Lake St.
and west of 35W in Park District 6....with one exception: the ECCO
neighborhood. Guess where Tracey Nordstrom, the 2001 challenger to
current District 6 incumbent Bob Fine lives? That's right, ECCO! And
guess who one of the two park district-specific Redistricting
Commissioners was? Scott Neiman, a big Bob Fine supporter!

To be fair, on April 3, list member and ECCO resident Harvey Zuckman
made some perfectly lucid arguments to move ECCO to District 4 - and the
Redistricting Commission listened! Congrats, Harvey - I am jealous!

Also, it's possible Tracey is happy to be away from the Fine juggernaut
and in a district with Vivian Mason (who supported Tracey in 2001).
Maybe Tracey, should she choose to run, will have an easier time
succeeding Vivian in 4 than besting Bob in 6. I dunno. But the map
seemed - as the Church Lady once said - very conveeeeeeeeeeenient.

David Brauer
King Field - Ward 10 trending to 8, Park District 6

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