You are both right.

Fenway is slightly below average for HR and much higher than average for
doubles.

The occasional pop fly that lands over the wall is not statistically
significant.  It occurs about as much as the screamer that is a single.  And
right field eats up a lot of would be home runs.  But lefties love flicking
singles and doubles off the wall. Fred Lynn specifically called out that
strategy for getting out of slumps.

But enough qualitative crap.  Here are the real numbers on Fenway.  This is
an easy stat.  You take the same players and see how they do at home and on
the road:

RkPark 
Name<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=venueName&season=2009>
Runs<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=runsFactor&season=2009>
HR<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=HRFactor&season=2009>
H<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=hitsFactor&season=2009>
2B<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=doublesFactor&season=2009>
3B<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=triplesFactor&season=2009>
BB<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=walksFactor&season=2009>
11Fenway Park (Boston, Massachusetts) 1.0910.9361.0531.6211.0500.906

What's also interesting is that the number of walks goes down.  I wonder why
that would happen?

Ray


On Fri, May 22, 2009 at 9:37 AM, William Marino <[email protected]>wrote:

>  The Wall does both.  There have been high fly balls that make it over,
> that would be pop-up outs in most parks.  There have been screaming line
> drives that woud homers in any other park that become doubles (or even
> singles) in Fenway.  No one has the answer to this one, but my instinct is
> it is about even.
>
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: [email protected] <[email protected]>
> To: [email protected] <[email protected]>
> Sent: Fri May 22 09:23:24 2009
> Subject: Re: Color on Bay Home Run?
>
> Wasn't it the Eck? And come on now, while Fenway isn't a homer haven like
> some of the small new parks, it has been a complete truism that it's easier
> to loft a seemingly harmless fly ball over the Green Monster than it is in
> most places. The left field wall is simply closer in Fenway than it is
> anywhere else.
>
> The best hitters in Fenway may have always been lefties, but that's because
> they can flick opposite field doubles off the Monster that might have been
> caught elsewhere.
>
> Steve O
>
>
> On Fri, May 22, 2009 at 6:43 AM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>
>         So who did the color on Jason Bay's two run home run yesterday?
> The guy said something like, "He's not just a Fenway hitter, flipping the
> ball over the wall."
>
>         This tells me that either this guy is not from around here, new to
> broadcasting, or just not very knowledgeable about baseball beyond the
> cliches.  Nobody "flips" a ball over a 31 foot wall, and the best hitters in
> Fenway have always been lefties.
>
>         --
>         Author of "FPGA Simulation: A Complete Step-by-Step Guide"
>         www.fpgasimulation.com
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> >
>


-- 
Author of "FPGA Simulation: A Complete Step-by-Step Guide"
www.fpgasimulation.com

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