I'll argue that the higher instance of doubles in Fenway is attributed
more to our whacky triangle in the outfield than the wall.  The wall
turns screaming homers into singles, not doubles.  Doubles off the wall
are usually higher with more hang time.  But the triangle is crazy
no-man's land.  Let's look at triples.  Bet we have more because of the
triangle and those protrusions after the bases, especially third.

 

________________________________

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Salemi
Sent: Friday, May 22, 2009 10:07 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: Color on Bay Home Run?

 

You are both right.

Fenway is slightly below average for HR and much higher than average for
doubles.  

The occasional pop fly that lands over the wall is not statistically
significant.  It occurs about as much as the screamer that is a single.
And right field eats up a lot of would be home runs.  But lefties love
flicking singles and doubles off the wall. Fred Lynn specifically called
out that strategy for getting out of slumps.

But enough qualitative crap.  Here are the real numbers on Fenway.  This
is an easy stat.  You take the same players and see how they do at home
and on the road:

Rk

Park Name
<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=venueName&season=20
09> 

Runs
<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=runsFactor&season=2
009> 

HR
<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=HRFactor&season=200
9> 

H
<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=hitsFactor&season=2
009> 

2B
<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=doublesFactor&seaso
n=2009> 

3B
<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=triplesFactor&seaso
n=2009> 

BB
<http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=walksFactor&season=
2009> 

11

Fenway Park (Boston, Massachusetts)

1.091

0.936

1.053

1.621

1.050

0.906



What's also interesting is that the number of walks goes down.  I wonder
why that would happen?

Ray



On Fri, May 22, 2009 at 9:37 AM, William Marino <[email protected]>
wrote:

The Wall does both.  There have been high fly balls that make it over,
that would be pop-up outs in most parks.  There have been screaming line
drives that woud homers in any other park that become doubles (or even
singles) in Fenway.  No one has the answer to this one, but my instinct
is it is about even.




-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected] <[email protected]>
To: [email protected] <[email protected]>
Sent: Fri May 22 09:23:24 2009
Subject: Re: Color on Bay Home Run?

Wasn't it the Eck? And come on now, while Fenway isn't a homer haven
like some of the small new parks, it has been a complete truism that
it's easier to loft a seemingly harmless fly ball over the Green Monster
than it is in most places. The left field wall is simply closer in
Fenway than it is anywhere else.

The best hitters in Fenway may have always been lefties, but that's
because they can flick opposite field doubles off the Monster that might
have been caught elsewhere.

Steve O


On Fri, May 22, 2009 at 6:43 AM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> wrote:


        So who did the color on Jason Bay's two run home run yesterday?
The guy said something like, "He's not just a Fenway hitter, flipping
the ball over the wall."
       
        This tells me that either this guy is not from around here, new
to broadcasting, or just not very knowledgeable about baseball beyond
the cliches.  Nobody "flips" a ball over a 31 foot wall, and the best
hitters in Fenway have always been lefties.
       
        --
        Author of "FPGA Simulation: A Complete Step-by-Step Guide"
        www.fpgasimulation.com
       
       
       
       






 

 




-- 
Author of "FPGA Simulation: A Complete Step-by-Step Guide"
www.fpgasimulation.com




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