I saw the PI call only once in realtime. Looked strange to me that there was even a call. Was there a push-off prior to the ball arriving? I don't get that.
________________________________ From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Steve Ouellette Sent: Monday, November 16, 2009 1:17 PM To: [email protected] Subject: Re: Football Numbers First, they still had one timeout, plus the two minute warning. And second, you must have missed the previous drive where they went through the Patriots like a hot knife through butter (albeit helped by a bogus 30-yard pass interference call) in less than two minutes, using no timeouts. Steve O On Mon, Nov 16, 2009 at 12:49 PM, Steve Gendron <[email protected]> wrote: OK, Since we're talking about imaginary numbers.... I think your estimate is a little on the low side, but for the sake of argument I will give it to you. I think the Colts have a less than 30% chance of scoring with no time outs if we kick it away. Any other coach in the league would be in danger of being fired today after that call. ________________________________ From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Salemi Sent: Monday, November 16, 2009 11:08 AM To: [email protected] Subject: Re: Football Numbers I'm saying that their chances of scoring from the 30 with 2 minutes to go is 50% and the chances of stopping the Pats was 60%. So the odds of the Colts winning was 30%. I'm OK with that. Ray On Mon, Nov 16, 2009 at 8:59 AM, Steve Gendron <[email protected]> wrote: You guys are really drinking the Belichek Kool-aid. Are you really telling me that the chances of Manning scoring from the Colts 30 with no time outs are equal to that of them scoring on the Pats 30 under the same conditions? No matter how you slice it, it was a bad call. It cost the Patriots home field advantage in the playoffs, which can be the difference in a Superbowl drive. ________________________________ From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Salemi Sent: Monday, November 16, 2009 8:45 AM To: [email protected] Subject: Re: Football Numbers Steve O has cleverly summed up my numbers approach It seems to make sense that the Patriots had a much better chance of making two yards than they had of stopping the Colts. I bow to his explanatory powers! -- Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity in Just 12 Weeks" www.leadingafteralayoff.com --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
