Sorry, I didn't see that on the Bberry. But I maintain that you just can't do that. Some of those hits provided RBI's and changed the game. Some of the cught stealing provided other dynamics.
But I'll admit that the numbers are interesting. I'm not even a big Ellsbury proponent. Don't even care if we trade him as long as we get someone good. ________________________________ From: [email protected] <[email protected]> To: [email protected] <[email protected]> Sent: Fri Dec 18 14:14:15 2009 Subject: Re: Dealing Ellsbury? I did subtract them from hits. That's why his effective BA is lower. On Dec 18, 2009, at 5:03 PM, Beaudoin, John wrote: That's the problem with using some stats. You can't just subtract the caught stealing from the stolen. The caught stealing were "outs". Not just one fewer base. ----- Original Message ----- From: [email protected] <[email protected]> To: [email protected] <[email protected]> Sent: Fri Dec 18 13:58:02 2009 Subject: Re: Dealing Ellsbury? 188 hits = 143 Singles 27 doubles 10 Triples 8 HRs Add 70SBs - 12CS and you have the equivalent of 61 Singles 75 Doubles 10 Triples 8 HRs I On Dec 18, 2009, at 4:46 PM, Ray Salemi wrote: > How did you do that transformation? > > On 12/18/09, Charles Battikha <[email protected]> wrote: >> Another stat for Jacoby.... >> >> If you take into account 70 steals/12 caught stealing, you have >> >> BA: 285 >> OB: 334 >> SLG: 468 >> OBS: 802 >> >> >> >> >> On Dec 18, 2009, at 12:05 PM, Ray Salemi wrote: >> >>> It's actually worse than Power/Speed. It's hitting speed. >>> >>> here are the BA/OBA/SLG/OPS numbers for both from last year. >>> >>> Ellsbury: >>> >>> .301 .355 .415 .770 >>> >>> Gonzalez: >>> .277 .407 .551 .958 >>> >>> No contest. >>> >>> Gonzalez gets on base more often and hit's the ball further. >>> >>> Ray >>> >>> PS. This is a great example of the limitations of batting average. >>> >>> On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 11:50 AM, Matt & Olga McSorley >>> <[email protected]> wrote: >>> We've devolved into the scout/stat argument again. Here is the real issue >>> in making the decision to trade Ellsbury for Adrian Gonzalez: >>> >>> Power>Speed. >>> >>> -- Matt >>> >>> From: Ray Salemi <[email protected]> >>> To: [email protected] >>> Sent: Fri, December 18, 2009 11:46:29 AM >>> Subject: Re: Dealing Ellsbury? >>> >>> I am ashamed. >>> >>> On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 11:30 AM, Tom Salemi <[email protected]> wrote: >>> Chain of Command was a Star Trek: The Next Generation episode.....c'mon >>> people. >>> >>> >>> >>> On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 11:08 AM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> wrote: >>> "Stat's are valuable" First time I've ever heard you utter that phrase on >>> this list. >>> >>> And who doesn't want to hear about Deep Space Nine? (That was an obscure >>> reference. Good job!) >>> >>> >>> On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 10:59 AM, Beaudoin, John >>> <[email protected]> wrote: >>> If you’re going to use my name, then please don’t speak for me and say >>> that I dismiss stats completely. I fully admit they are valuable and my >>> point, yet again, is that some people look only at the stats. Why can’t >>> someone say that they like the way a guy plays. Based on Pedroia’s >>> statiscal body size and weight, he shouldn’t have been given a chance. >>> Thank God there are scouts who see beyond stats. Or will you argue that >>> weight and height are not stats? >>> >>> >>> How can you possibly say that objective counting says that Ellsbury >>> doesn’t get to as many balls? And who the heck wants to hear about Star >>> Trek Deep Space Nine during a baseball discussion? How many players >>> compared to Ellsbury in centerfield have to play in a ballpark with a >>> friggin triangle and a center field that is laid out just like Fenway >>> Park? Because of all the variables in baseball, you can’t draw concrete >>> conclusions. You’re entitled to your opinion, but you should not tell me >>> my opinion and then argue against it. Stats are valuable, but they are >>> only a piece of what I use to form my opinions. I believe that others on >>> here talk stats all the time and I don’t use anything but stats to form >>> their opinions. Or am I to believe that the few people on here who think >>> Ellsbury isn’t as good a centerfielder as JD Drew is a rightfielder must >>> be smarter than … say … 95% of the fans of baseball? >>> >>> >>> John >>> >>> >>> From: [email protected] >>> [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Salemi >>> Sent: Friday, December 18, 2009 10:47 AM >>> To: [email protected] >>> Subject: Re: Dealing Ellsbury? >>> >>> >>> I think Bill James would be unhappy to hear his name used this way. >>> >>> On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 10:05 AM, William Marino <[email protected]> >>> wrote: >>> >>> I will take a good scout, with a proven track record, over Bill James any >>> day of the week. >>> >>> >>> I got to see Bill James speak at the Museum of Science and I asked him a >>> question about this topic. I asked him if teams go through all this >>> statistical analysis, but then make the decision based on the opinion that >>> "he has a pretty swing." >>> >>> Bill James actually batted me down a bit in his answer. He said that he >>> felt this question of stats vs. scouts was a false question. He believes >>> that while stats are valuable, and need to be used, that scouts have >>> thousands of hours of experience and also know what they are talking >>> about. >>> >>> John's mistake has been to dismiss stats completely, as he did earlier in >>> the thread. Stats provide insight. They especially provide insight to >>> those of use who do not have thousands of hours watching ballplayers and >>> who don't watch them every day. Fans are especially prone to only >>> remember plays that support their opinion. >>> >>> John claims that Ellbury gets to more balls than most players, but >>> objective counting says Ellsbury doesn't. In this case, intuition has to >>> give way to counting. I'm sorry, but no amount of intuition will make the >>> number four into the number five (even if you are being tortured by a >>> Cardassian sadist). >>> >>> >>> -- >>> >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >>> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>> [email protected]. >>> For more options, visit this group at >>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>> >>> >>> -- >>> >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >>> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>> [email protected]. >>> For more options, visit this group at >>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>> >>> >>> >>> -- >>> Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity in >>> Just 12 Weeks" >>> www.leadingafteralayoff.com >>> >>> >>> >>> -- >>> >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >>> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>> >>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>> [email protected]. >>> For more options, visit this group at >>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>> >>> >>> -- >>> >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >>> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>> [email protected]. >>> For more options, visit this group at >>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>> >>> >>> >>> -- >>> Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity in >>> Just 12 Weeks" >>> www.leadingafteralayoff.com >>> >>> >>> >>> -- >>> >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >>> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>> [email protected]. >>> For more options, visit this group at >>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>> >>> -- >>> >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >>> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>> [email protected]. >>> For more options, visit this group at >>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>> >>> >>> >>> -- >>> Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity in >>> Just 12 Weeks" >>> www.leadingafteralayoff.com >>> >>> >>> >>> -- >>> >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >>> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>> [email protected]. >>> For more options, visit this group at >>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >> >> -- >> >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >> [email protected]. >> For more options, visit this group at >> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >> >> >> > > -- > Sent from my mobile device > > Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity > in Just 12 Weeks" > www.leadingafteralayoff.com > > -- > > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected]. > For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. > > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. 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