Ditto.

On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 11:20 AM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> wrote:

> I still have a prejudice against anyone called a "baseball man".  I assume
> that means they don't know what's really going on.  As in, "Grady Little is
> a great baseball man."
>
>
> On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 11:15 AM, Steve Ouellette <[email protected]
> > wrote:
>
>> Wait, you can't use Pedroia in the stats vs. scouting argument. Scouts
>> hated Pedroia -- said he was too small and too slow. He was drafted because
>> of the numbers he put up. When he was in the minors, the stat people
>> projected huge numbers for him; the scouts said that wasn't possible at a
>> higher level because of his big swing.
>>
>> No, height and weight are not stats (nor are jersey numbers, shoe size and
>> date of birth).
>>
>> Steve O
>>
>>
>> On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 10:59 AM, Beaudoin, John <
>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>>  If you’re going to use my name, then please don’t speak for me and say
>>> that I dismiss stats completely.  I fully admit they are valuable and my
>>> point, yet again, is that some people look only at the stats.  Why can’t
>>> someone say that they like the way a guy plays.  Based on Pedroia’s
>>> statiscal body size and weight, he shouldn’t have been given a chance.
>>>  Thank God there are scouts who see beyond stats. Or will you argue that
>>> weight and height are not stats?
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> How can you possibly say that objective counting says that Ellsbury
>>> doesn’t get to as many balls?  And who the heck wants to hear about Star
>>> Trek Deep Space Nine during a baseball discussion?  How many players
>>> compared to Ellsbury in centerfield have to play in a ballpark with a
>>> friggin triangle and a center field that is laid out just like Fenway Park?
>>>  Because of all the variables in baseball, you can’t draw concrete
>>> conclusions.  You’re entitled to your opinion, but you should not tell me my
>>> opinion and then argue against it.  Stats are valuable, but they are only a
>>> piece of what I use to form my opinions.  I believe that others on here talk
>>> stats all the time and I don’t use anything but stats to form their
>>> opinions.  Or am I to believe that the few people on here who think Ellsbury
>>> isn’t as good a centerfielder as JD Drew is a rightfielder must be smarter
>>> than … say … 95% of the fans of baseball?
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> John
>>>
>>>
>>>  ------------------------------
>>>
>>> *From:* [email protected] [mailto:
>>> [email protected]] *On Behalf Of *Ray Salemi
>>> *Sent:* Friday, December 18, 2009 10:47 AM
>>> *To:* [email protected]
>>> *Subject:* Re: Dealing Ellsbury?
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I think Bill James would be unhappy to hear his name used this way.
>>>
>>> On Fri, Dec 18, 2009 at 10:05 AM, William Marino <[email protected]>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>> I will take a good scout, with a proven track record, over Bill James any
>>> day of the week.
>>>
>>>
>>> I got to see Bill James speak at the Museum of Science and I asked him a
>>> question about this topic. I asked him if teams go through all this
>>> statistical analysis, but then make the decision based on the opinion that
>>> "he has a pretty swing."
>>>
>>> Bill James actually batted me down a bit in his answer.  He said that he
>>> felt this question of stats vs. scouts was a false question.  He believes
>>> that while stats are valuable, and need to be used, that scouts have
>>> thousands of hours of experience and also know what they are talking about.
>>>
>>> John's mistake has been to dismiss stats completely, as he did earlier in
>>> the thread.  Stats provide insight.  They especially provide insight to
>>> those of use who do not have thousands of hours watching ballplayers and who
>>> don't watch them every day.  Fans are especially prone to only remember
>>> plays that support their opinion.
>>>
>>> John claims that Ellbury gets to more balls than most players, but
>>> objective counting says Ellsbury doesn't.  In this case, intuition has to
>>> give way to counting.  I'm sorry, but no amount of intuition will make the
>>> number four into the number five (even if you are being tortured by a
>>> Cardassian sadist).
>>>
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>>
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>
>
>
> --
> Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity in
> Just 12 Weeks"
> www.leadingafteralayoff.com
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