Or a log. Or perhaps stuck between the sofa cushions. Or at the bottom of the pocket of those jeans you wore the other day. Or ...
On Thu, May 27, 2010 at 2:43 PM, Steve Gendron <[email protected]> wrote: > So I guess I have been under a rock. > > ------------------------------ > *From:* [email protected] [mailto: > [email protected]] *On Behalf Of *Tom Salemi > *Sent:* Thursday, May 27, 2010 2:39 PM > *To:* [email protected] > *Subject:* Re: "Papi's Fine" > > Yeah, that was a great quote. That's also what he calls his segment on > EEI on Sunday mornigns with Bradford and that other guy. > > On Thu, May 27, 2010 at 1:37 PM, Steve Gendron <[email protected]> wrote: > >> Last night my son and I were discussing the resurgence of Big Papi, and >> he mentioned the prophetic "laser show" quote that Dustin Pedroia made in >> the midst of David's slump. I had not heard of said quote, so he >> respectfully asked me if I had been living under a rock. If you haven't >> heard seen it, check out this clip: >> >> http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DPvMOVFshyI >> >> You gotta love Pedroia's confidence. >> >> Steve G. >> >> ------------------------------ >> *From:* [email protected] [mailto: >> [email protected]] *On Behalf Of *Beaudoin, John >> *Sent:* Thursday, May 27, 2010 11:47 AM >> *To:* [email protected] >> *Subject:* Re: Statistics says : "John and Steve are right. It's too >> early to know." >> >> Re: Papi, I love the fact that I was completely wrong, or at least it >> seems that way. I didn't think he'd ever get the bat around in time to hit a >> fastball out again. Glad I was a wrong. >> >> ------------------------------ >> *From*: [email protected] <[email protected]> >> >> *To*: [email protected] <[email protected]> >> *Sent*: Thu May 27 07:50:50 2010 >> *Subject*: Re: Statistics says : "John and Steve are right. It's too >> early to know." >> >> Lowrie has been a huge disappointment. I was hoping for big things. >> >> On Thu, May 27, 2010 at 10:48 AM, Tom Salemi <[email protected]> wrote: >> >>> Actually, as previously reported, I was unimpressed with this team as >>> early as January. I have a strange habit of using my mind, reaching >>> conclusions, offering opinions and, if wrong, saying so. >>> >>> Guess that makes me a weirdo. >>> >>> Things I'm wrong about... >>> >>> Buchholz is a monster. Honestly, I can't believe he was lumped in as part >>> of the V-mart discussions. He's a 1a guy today.* >>> >>> Martinez is still an effective catcher, but we'll need to see the entire >>> season. >>> >>> Varitek is an effective back up. >>> >>> Beckett is a worry. >>> >>> Papi isn't Papi, but he's not done. That's a good thing. >>> >>> >>> *As an aside, I'd like personally thank the Minnesota Twins for not >>> accepting the Red Sox offer for Johan Santan, a deal that reportedly would >>> have included Lester. (It's laughable that there was debate as to whether >>> Ellsbury should have been tossed in as well.) The Twins got very little in >>> the trade. Three of the four players they secured from the Mets aren't even >>> with the organization. One of the departed includes Carlos Gomez who was >>> traded for decent SS JJ Hardy. >>> >>> The Sox deal reportedly include Lester, Coco Crisp, Jed Lowrie and >>> Masterson. The last two aren't successful yet, but at least they can play in >>> the majors. >>> >>> The Twins got shinola for their Ace. The Sox offer was much better. >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> On Thu, May 27, 2010 at 10:24 AM, Beaudoin, John < >>> [email protected]> wrote: >>> >>>> Hilarious stuff. >>>> Glad I like to just watch the game. >>>> If I spent my time embroiled in past numbers, I might be inclined to >>>> think it was a rebuilding year as early as late April. >>>> >>>> Comebacks are great stories. Seasons without drama and without streaks >>>> and lead changes are boring. I like the Sox' chances >>>> >>>> ------------------------------ >>>> *From*: [email protected] < >>>> [email protected]> >>>> *To*: [email protected] <[email protected]> >>>> >>>> *Sent*: Thu May 27 07:10:04 2010 >>>> *Subject*: Re: Statistics says : "John and Steve are right. It's too >>>> early to know." >>>> >>>> Dang! I screwed this up. I forgot to multiply by 1.96. >>>> >>>> Now the range is .140 which means >>>> >>>> .422-.703 real skill level for the team. >>>> >>>> Which is the same as saying we have no additional information. >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> On Thu, May 27, 2010 at 8:44 AM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> wrote: >>>> >>>>> I think Larry has hit the nail on the head in this debate: "How good is >>>>> this team?" I think that even John would admit that, even though it's >>>>> May, >>>>> and even though anything can happen, and even though you gotta play the >>>>> games, that the season is over for Baltimore. >>>>> >>>>> How do we know that the season is over for Baltimore? Because >>>>> Baltimore has a .319 winning percentage and we're sure that they are not >>>>> really a .580 team on a bad streak. >>>>> >>>>> That brings us to the Sox. They are playing at a .563 pace (91 wins) >>>>> . What are the odds that they are really a .586 team (95 wins) on a bad >>>>> streak? Statistics can tell us this based on the season so far. It can >>>>> give >>>>> us the 95% confidence interval. So we can say with 95% confidence that >>>>> the >>>>> Sox are between two possible numbers of wins. >>>>> >>>>> Here's the equation: >>>>> >>>>> Confidence interval = 1.96 * sqrt(WP(1-WP)/#games played) >>>>> >>>>> So for the Sox we have: >>>>> >>>>> 1.96 * sqrt(.563 * .437 / 48) = .071 >>>>> >>>>> So that means that there is a 95% chance that the Sox real skill level >>>>> is between two numbers >>>>> >>>>> .563 - .071 = .492 = 80 games >>>>> .563 + .071 = .634 = 102 games >>>>> >>>>> And so the final result? >>>>> >>>>> It's still too early to say whether this team can make the playoffs. >>>>> >>>>> Ray >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> On Thu, May 27, 2010 at 7:20 AM, Larry Rupp <[email protected]>wrote: >>>>> >>>>>> Sweep or not - walking into Tampa no one (outside of maybe a few of us >>>>>> here) thought the Red Sox would take all 3 games. I think a statement >>>>>> has been made that indeed the Sox are a championship caliber club this >>>>>> season. Let's see where things fall by the All Star game however we >>>>>> have a lot of numbers to go in the season before a final decision will >>>>>> be made on the top 2 teams in the AL East. >>>>>> >>>>>> -Larry >>>>>> >>>>>> -- >>>>> Author of "FPGA Simulation: A Complete Step-by-Step Guide" >>>>> www.fpgasimulation.com >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> -- >>>> Author of "FPGA Simulation: A Complete Step-by-Step Guide" >>>> www.fpgasimulation.com >>>> >>>> >>>> -- >>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>>> Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>>> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >>>> . >>>> For more options, visit this group at >>>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>>> >>>> -- >>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>>> Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>>> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >>>> . >>>> For more options, visit this group at >>>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>>> >>> >>> -- >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >>> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >>> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >>> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >>> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >>> . >>> For more options, visit this group at >>> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >>> >> >> >> >> -- >> Author of "FPGA Simulation: A Complete Step-by-Step Guide" >> www.fpgasimulation.com >> >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >> . >> For more options, visit this group at >> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >> . >> For more options, visit this group at >> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "Red Sox Citizens" group. >> To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. >> To unsubscribe from this group, send email to >> [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> >> . >> For more options, visit this group at >> http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. >> > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Red Sox Citizens" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> > . > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Red Sox Citizens" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > [email protected]<redsoxcitizens%[email protected]> > . > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected]. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en.
