----- Original Message -----
From: "raleigh" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: RE: [S-Trains] Re: {S-Scale List} Brass S Kadee couplers
> Let's see - Kadee should sink 20 or 30 grand for tooling to produce
> an exact 3/16ths scale coupler with maybe (a couple thousand pairs
> sold in the first year and then a trickle from then on). How many
> years would it take for a return on investment if they sold for under
> ten dollars? (Or should I say how many decades?).
If there is one thing that is an unquestionable FACT in S, it is that NOBODY
knows "for sure"... "without doubt"... "for a fact"... what they are talking
about! It is all just pure guess work! What I mean is this... you do not
"know for a fact" that your projected sales speculations (quoted above) are
all that would actually sell. Take for instance the facts I just posted
about last night concerning the sales figures of the Smoky Mountain Model
Works model kits... someone out there prophecied before Jim King ever
produced his first model that he'd NEVER sell more than 50 of anything in S
that was... 1. a KIT, 2. based on a southeastern road, and 3. not compatible
with AF in any way, shape, fashion or form. Well, this prophet has been
proved dead wrong, since, to date, more than 180 of this mode have sold.
What's the moral of the story? Never count your S scale chickens before
they hatch. I have faith (based on past evidence) that many more of a new,
better coupler would sell than what you suspect.
John Degnan
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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