Re: Space progress report

2012-11-28 Thread Richard Baker
Keith said:

 Friday I visited Reaction Engines.  Delightful experience meeting Alan
 Bond and Richard Varvill, the key technical guys.  They have (and I
 saw) the precooler for the SABRE engines working.  They extract a GW
 of heat from entering ram air and drop the temperature to -150 deg,
 making it possible to compress the air to rocket chamber pressure with
 a low tech turbine.  Miles of tiny tubes in each one, and they *don't
 leak.*

Speaking of Skylon, the SABRE precooler has now successfully passed its test 
programme:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-20510112

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Re: Energy projects was Underwater mortgages and the economy

2010-11-02 Thread Richard Baker
Dan said:

  In typical everyday usage, lasers are not very efficient.  Even in high tech 
 uses, such as inertia fusion, particle beams are much more efficient: about 
 12% vs. about 1%, back when inertia fusion was big back in the '80s.

High pulse energy, high repetition rate diode-pumped solid state lasers now 
have an efficiency of around 10%.

Rich
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Re: Brin-l Digest, Vol 20, Issue 4

2010-09-10 Thread Richard Baker
John said:

 Quote it all! It's the only way to be sure.

Quote it all *from orbit*.

Rich
VFP Very Little Added Value

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Re: Facebook Troll

2010-09-09 Thread Richard Baker
Jon said:

 I should have provided more clues...  Forrest is correct, the particle with 
 no mass is the Higgs Boson.  Forrest Higgs (no mass - doesn't exist!~)

Higgs bosons, if they exist, are not massless: the current experimental lower 
limit on their mass is over a hundred times the mass of a proton.

Rich
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Re: On Listmail

2010-05-03 Thread Richard Baker
Kevin said:

 But your point about Facebook and Twitter may be correct, to some degree. The 
 unfortunate thing about that is neither medium is worth a damn for any 
 serious conversation. I am not in Dan Minette's league, as 3-4 paragraphs 
 into an e-mail I start to run out of steam, but you simply cannot talk 
 intelligently at 140 characters per message.

I've had some quite serious discussions on Facebook using comments attached to 
statuses or posted items. I'm not sure what the maximum length of Facebook 
comments is but it's certainly much more than 140 characters.

Rich
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Re: On Listmail

2010-04-29 Thread Richard Baker
Doug said:

 Is anyone out there?

I'm still here; I don't think that I'll ever unsubscribe from Brin-L and the 
Culture. I agree that it's been awfully quiet though.

Rich
GCU Mailing List Fermi Paradox
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Re: Br?n on global warming

2010-02-11 Thread Richard Baker
Trent said:

 The problem with nuclear power is that we can't get all the uranium we
 need from reliable countries.  A lot of it comes from Russia, the
 Central Asian Republics, and less stable African states.

Aren't the worlds most productive uranium mines in Canada and Australia? Those 
two countries combined account for almost half of the world's uranium output, 
Russia around 8%, other former Soviet states 22%, Africa about 15%.

Rich
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Re: IPad

2010-01-31 Thread Richard Baker

 Dave said:

There have been rumors that Apple was coming out with the second  
coming of Jesus.


Apple cures cancer. Analysts disappointed by lack of world peace.  
Apple stock falls 10%


Rich

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Re: IPad

2010-01-29 Thread Richard Baker
Dave said:

 There have been rumors that Apple was coming out with the second coming of 
 Jesus.

Apple cures cancer. Analysts disappointed by lack of world peace. Apple stock 
down 11%.

Rich
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Re: The worst

2010-01-04 Thread Richard Baker
Nick said:

 My friends I hate to write this.  Been putting it off for a while.
 
 My younger sister, Lesley, the youngest of the four of us, mother of my 
 five-year-old niece, Sarah, could not fight off the sepsis that attacked her 
 body.  Lesley died this morning.
 
 I have never hurt so much.
 
 Nick

I'm so sorry to hear that, Nick.

Rich
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Re: Brin: Re: is Brin-l active?

2010-01-03 Thread Richard Baker
Nick said:

 And we're cooking up a new project, a wiki for SF and fantasy, starting with 
 a focus on a particular writer's works...  Guess who.

Benford? Bear? Baxter?

Rich
GCU I Give Up!
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Re: Foswiki up and running

2009-12-31 Thread Richard Baker
Nick said:

 And... a blast from the past, pasted below.  I'll let whoever emerge as the 
 folks who lead the wiki project decide how to respond.  As usual, I'm 
 inclined to let the community choose and will only intervene directly as a 
 last resort.

I don't know whether I get any kind of vote, but if I did I'd vote to let 
Jeroen back. People, situations and communities can all change quite a lot in 
six years, and everything seems much more relaxed here than it did back then.

Rich
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Re: DeLong on health insurance reform

2009-09-07 Thread Richard Baker

John said:


Say I have two $1 bills. I could choose to go to McDonald's and buy a
burger and fries.

Now someone takes one of my dollars. Now I can only buy a burger, or
fries, but not both. My choices have been limited. My freedom to
choose has been limited.

That is obvious.


Yes, but it's not the whole story. Suppose that Alice has two $1 bills  
and she could choose to buy a burger, fries or a shake, each of which  
costs $1, and further suppose that Bob has no money. Then Alice could  
choose from one of 36 possible futures (as each dollar could supply  
one of {burger, fries, shake} to one of {Alice,Bob}, so she could  
choose, for example, a burger for herself and fries for Bob or a  
burger and fries for herself). Alice has quite a lot of freedom, but  
Bob has none.


Suppose George insists that Alice gives $1 to Bob. Then Alice can't  
choose any of the 36 possible futures. The most she can do is to pick  
one of six partial futures, for example the one in which she has at  
least one burger. Bob can also choose one of six partial futures, for  
example the one in which he has a shake. The outcome is that Alice and  
Bob collectively choose one of the 36 total futures. Alice's freedom  
has been curtailed a bit, but Bob has been given some freedom in  
compensation.


I guess that you would argue that Alice's two $1 bills are hers, and  
that if she wants to use them to give Bob some freedom she could  
choose to give one or both to him but that George isn't justified in  
forcing her to. I further guess that Nick would argue that it's more  
fair for George to make Alice give the dollar to Bob as the gain in  
freedom for Bob outweighs the loss of freedom for Alice.


Rich

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Re: DeLong on health insurance reform

2009-09-07 Thread Richard Baker

John said:


Yes, but it's not the whole story.


It is not my whole post, either, since you cut the quote off early.


I know it wasn't your whole post let alone your whole argument but it  
was enough for me to hang my toy example from.



I suspect you double-counted the 9 possibilities where each person
gets 1 item, and also the 6 possibilities where 1 person gets two
different items. 36 - 9 - 6 = 21.


My reasoning in more detail was that one dollar can be spent in six  
ways:


(Alice, burger); (Alice, fries); (Alice, shake); (Bob, burger); (Bob,  
fries); (Bob, shake)


The spending of the two dollars is independent so the total number of  
ways they can be spent is 6x6 = 36.


However, I think that you're right as burgers are indistinguishable  
from each other, as are portions of fries, as are shakes, at least in  
a simple toy model. I was counting the case in which the first dollar  
buys Alice a burger and so does the second as two cases rather than  
one. As you said, there are six such cases that I've counted twice. I  
was also counting cases in which the first dollar buys Alice a burger  
and the second buys Alice fries as distinguishable from the one in  
which the first buys her fries and the second a burger. If they're  
indistinguishable it's clearer to describe them as Alice doesn't have  
a shake or whatever and there are actually only 3x3=9 cases rather  
than the eighteen that I counted. So the correct count is 36-6-9 = 21,  
as you calculated.


Your method of counting has the virtue of being more elegant as well  
as the greater virtue of being correct. Thanks for the correction.



Also, if each person chooses one of 7 uniformly, the 28 outcomes will
not be uniform: for example, Bob with 2 burgers will be half as likely
as each with a burger. It seems that the outcome will be less
predictable, more randomized.


Yes, that's true. There will be some quite odd cases in which Alice  
buys Bob a burger and vice versa too (and similarly for the other two  
products).



Do you think Nick would argue the same thing (Alice must give everyone
a dollar) if Alice had $10 and 9 others had no dollars? What if Alice
had $20 and ten others had $2 each? What if, instead of dollars, we
had coupons for a medical treatment to extend life by a year? Must
Alice give up years of her life? What about contracts to provide 1
year of manual labor to XYZ corporation? If Alice was liable for 2 of
those contracts, and Bob was liable for none, must Bob take 1 of the
contracts? What would you guess Nick would argue?


I think that in the cases with the money or the coupons Nick would  
argue that Alice should be made to give to the others, but not in the  
case with labour contracts, but I suppose we'll have to wait for him  
to give his opinion. Of course, not all years of extended life have  
the same cost in expended resources so that example's a bit strange.  
Similarly, the opportunity cost of making different people engage in  
manual labour varies wildly.


Rich


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Re: DeLong on health insurance reform

2009-09-07 Thread Richard Baker

Nick said:

I'd argue for democracy -- none of this business of X must give Y  
money.  A social contract, not force.  That's why I said the  
original post failed to address the critical question of what take  
means.


If you prefer, recast the questions as In this situation, is it  
morally right for Alice to give Bob (et al.) whatever? or more  
simply Should Alice give Bob (et al.) whatever?


(Although as far as I can see in lots of cases the way it works seems  
to be that the democratic process decides on norms and then those are  
imposed by various kinds of coercion on dissenters so it largely comes  
to the same thing. Whether one sees this is a good or bad thing I  
suppose depends on how much one tends to dissent.)


Rich

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Re: DeLong on health insurance reform

2009-09-07 Thread Richard Baker

Rob said:


So.you admit you hate America.


Am I missing a reference here because this hating America stuff  
doesn't seem to make any sense whatsoever to me?


Rich
GCU Perpetually Confused

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Re: The Role of Government in a Libertarian Free Market

2009-08-18 Thread Richard Baker

Rob said:

A few people have been removed, a couple of them long term listees  
and one was a moderator here. We definitely are not queasy when it  
comes to pulling the pin.


I'm definitely queasy about it, but I guess I'm not part of we.

Rich

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Re: Passive-Agressive posting (was Re: The Role of Government in a Libertarian Free Market)

2009-08-18 Thread Richard Baker

Patrick said:


It's a put-on. And it's a put-on anyone who's been on the Internet for
more than 5 minutes has seen dozens of times. The repetitive I'm just
asking questions to try to understand, the feigned cluelessness, the
detached pose, the deliberate obtuseness ... it's all carefully
calculated to do one thing and one thing only - get the other person
to blow his top so you can disregard them as being irrational or
rude.


Or else it could be the socratic method. Perhaps it's a mirror that  
shows people what they want to see.



It's kind of like playing with that old Eliza computer program. Anyone
remember that?


Why do you say anyone remember that??

Rich


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Re: Torchwood: Children of Earth

2009-07-25 Thread Richard Baker

Gary said:

I've also been watching Primeval on BBC America.  SciFi Channel just  
started
showing it.  I didn't care for the first few episodes, but became  
hooked as
the story arc developed.  Of Course, BBC didn't renew Primeval and  
tonight's

cliffhanger episode will be the series last episode.


The BBC didn't renew Primeval because it wasn't a BBC series: it was  
made by and shown on ITV in the UK. Apparently it was ITV's attempt to  
counter the success of the revived Doctor Who but was somewhat less  
successful in the ratings.


Rich

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Re: Why not discuss the topic?

2009-07-18 Thread Richard Baker

Charlie said:

It originated a long time before Benjy. Traders in the Mediterranean  
used a form of insurance to indemnify the trader against loss if the  
cargo was stolen, and mutualised risk was used by Chinese traders  
(who would spread their cargos across many vessels to lower the  
total risk). The Greeks and Romans had benevolent societies which  
are similar to modern mutuals.


The idea of insurance goes back to at least the Old Babylonian period  
in the early second millennium BC. It's such an obvious idea that it  
wouldn't surprise me if it's even older than that.


Rich

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Re: Why not discuss the topic?

2009-07-18 Thread Richard Baker

Dave said:

Your presumption of the freedom to behave this way comes an  
exorbitant cost to others on this
list, but you seem to have no problem demanding that we pay that  
price.


Really? And there I was thinking that it was easy to skim or skip  
posts that don't interest you, and even dialup networking costs are  
hardly exorbitant in most places.


Rich
VFP IPoAC

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Re: Why not discuss the topic?

2009-07-18 Thread Richard Baker

Charlie said:

Yeah, that's what I was alluding to with Mediterranean traders.  
Guaranteed by Hamurabi (sp?) himself, IIRC.


Oh, okay. And yes, it's mentioned in Hammurabi's law code (which was  
probably a set of examples of what the king would do or had done in  
different circumstances rather than an actual code of laws). But if I  
recall correctly, the Babylonians of that period didn't themselves  
trade much or at all in the Mediterranean basin, but by land into  
Anatolia and Egypt, across the Zagros mountains into what is now Iran  
and Afghanistan, and by sea through the Persian Gulf with the coast of  
Arabia and the Indus civilisation.


(There was trade on the Mediterranean involving the Minoans, the  
Egyptians and others though, and it's very possible I may not recall  
correctly.)


Rich

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Re: Galactic Effect On Biodiversity

2009-01-24 Thread Richard Baker
Charlie said:

 It's closer to the first example you suggest than the second, but it's
 part of a general trope of less-good science writing that pitches
 every new minor spin on science as rewriting the whole body of theory
 that is really starting to wind me up.

The Physics Revolutionised For 51st Time This Year stories in New  
Scientist are getting a bit tedious, aren't they?

Rich
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Re: Irregulars question about Culture

2009-01-05 Thread Richard Baker
Dan M said:

 Anyways, I was trying to subscribe without bothering anyone.  It's  
 too bad
 that Google likes the 4 year old website.

If you found the old one at http://theculture.org/culture/faq.htm then  
you should rest assured that I've updated it with correct subscription  
and unsubscription information.

Rich
GSV Watching The Cogs Turn
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-27 Thread Richard Baker
Nick said:

 So I don't think any of us can justify whining about being forced  
 to pay taxes unless there's been another revolution that I haven't  
 heard about.

So if you aren't forced to pay taxes, what happens if you choose not to?

Rich
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Richard Baker
Nick said:

 Let's start with the public schools and hospitals and keep going  
 with the
 hatchet until nobody gets *anything* that they didn't pay for.  Toll  
 booths
 on every road and park!

You damn socialists and your free air and sunshine!

Rich
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Re: 'Heroes': Five Ways to Fix a Series In Crisis

2008-10-25 Thread Richard Baker
Rob said:

 Last I knew, Heroes was tracking within a week of original views  
 here to
 over there. (As best I recall)

I miss the days when we got Battlestar Galactica a long time ahead of  
the US. I was somewhat amused by the fury I heard expressed in some  
parts of the internet about that, as if it were against all the laws  
of God and Man. Of course, it was co-funded by a UK television company  
so...

Rich
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Re: No more feeding the troll (was Re: Debunking B.S. from the so-called debunker )

2008-10-20 Thread Richard Baker
Charlie said:

 But this is a private forum, on a private server. It's entirely
 reasonable for the host to both partake in the conversation and to
 express displeasure at behaviour deemed disruptive.

And, of course, anyone who's unhappy with the situation can fairly  
easily set up a third Brin-L.

Rich
VFP Non-Proliferation Agreement
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Re: Channeling...

2008-09-30 Thread Richard Baker
Dave said:

 Thanks for helping me remember that it is Erik, not Eric. I was
 fooled by Rob's message, I think.

I remember him getting annoyed with people continually making that  
mistake when he was here.

I miss Erik's points of view, but not entirely his methods of  
presenting them.

Rich
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Re: Books, was Proper function..

2008-09-26 Thread Richard Baker
Doug said:

 About sixty thousand pages of history, I'd estimate. Not nearly
 enough, anyway.

 Well that sounds like a hell of a lot to me.  I've read a bit of  
 American
 history, especially the Civil War, but I don't have the kind of  
 command of
 the facts that you do on what you've studied (especially with my  
 library
 still in boxes).

It would be a lot if I'd focused on one period but I've been trying to  
at least make an attempt to cover all regions and periods fairly  
evenly (despite my innate bias towards Romans and Egyptians). The  
rough map of history I drew a few years ago(*) has around 90 such  
region-period boxes on it so on average I've only read around six or  
seven hundred pages on each. On quite a lot of them I've read  
*nothing*. And that map doesn't even show south-east Asia, most of  
Africa, the Pacific and Australia or the Americas, nor does it include  
such short-lived but not entirely negligible polities as the British  
Empire, the Soviet Union or the United States of America.

Rich

(*) http://www.theculture.org/rich/sharpblue/archives/000147.html
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Re: $10

2008-09-26 Thread Richard Baker
Dave said:

 In this case, Jon claims that John Williams is channeling erstwhile  
 list-member Eric Rueter with his gruff posts.

I don't recall a list member of that name, but there was an Erik Reuter.

Rich
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Re: Books, was Proper function..

2008-09-25 Thread Richard Baker
Doug said:

 But you must have read thousands of pages of history!

About sixty thousand pages of history, I'd estimate. Not nearly  
enough, anyway.

But the problem is the opportunity cost of reading the Baroque Cycle.  
In that number of pages I could get through, for example, the whole  
surviving part of Livy's history of Rome, or a handful of modern  
histories. I'll get to it eventually, I suppose.

Rich
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Re: Some random thoughts on Wall St. and the meltdown

2008-09-25 Thread Richard Baker
Charlie said:

 Which is why, to take a completely random example, I weigh Dan's and
 Rich's opinions on physics or the oil industry far higher than I do
 Dan's on biology or economics, or Rich's on modern warfare (say...)

I'm pretty sure that I know much more about modern warfare than I do  
about the oil industry!

Rich
GCU ;)
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Re: Some random thoughts on Wall St. and the meltdown

2008-09-24 Thread Richard Baker
Kevin said:

 6. Most people who have never studied physics would be unlikely to
 pontificate on the subject. Most people who have never studied  
 economics
 not only will pontificate on the subject, but will explain to you in
 terms that suggest you are an idiot, why they are right and you are
 wrong. That they are unqualified will never occur to them.

Sadly, there are a large number of people who will do just that. For  
example, a few years ago I wrote an article on faster-than-light  
communication and causality in special relativity in which I showed as  
clearly as I know how that the existence of a communication system  
whose signal is instantaneous in the frame of a transmitter and  
receiver that are at rest with respect to each other can be used to  
violate causality. This is an unambiguous prediction of special  
relativity, and is a special case of a more general violation of  
causality by faster-than-light communication in the theory.  
Furthermore, it doesn't rely on anything except the two postulates of  
special relativity. (General relativity doesn't change the prediction;  
it just makes the demonstration more difficult.) Nevertheless, the  
article spawned an interminable comment thread in which I've  
repeatedly been accused of being an idiot on the basis of other  
people's intuition about how time must be. Unfortunately, special  
relativity has been supported (in the form of quantum field theory,  
which combines special relativity with quantum mechanics) to something  
like one part in 10^14 whereas the vague intuitions of non-physicists  
about time and causality are presumably on less secure footing.

You can see the whole train wreck at

http://www.theculture.org/rich/sharpblue/archives/89.html

Rich
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Re: Meltdown

2008-09-24 Thread Richard Baker
Dave said:

 2) This, too, shall pass -- Either the tantrum will play itself out or
 others will learn not to try to engage someone whose only interest
 seems to be contradiction and sniping.

I don't suppose he cares one way or the other what I think as long as  
I don't force him to agree with me, but I think that John is not just  
contradicting people but arguing from a coherent position: many  
problems are too complex for even intelligent planners to solve  
centrally, their attempts to do so are often counterproductive,  
assembling a large number of levers of coercive power in the hands of  
governments amplifies the degree to which those planners can make far- 
reaching mistakes compared to the possibilities for planners in  
corporations, and governments tend to make those large and expensive  
mistakes with other people's resources at little cost to themselves

Rich
GCU Putting Words in His Mouth
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Re: Books, was Proper function..

2008-09-24 Thread Richard Baker
David said:

 My favorites of his are the ones that start with
 The Atrocity Archives.  Not everyone would come
 up with Lovecraftian computer science.

I must read more Stross. At the moment all I've read was A Colder  
War, which I thought was great (and which is available for free  
online). Having said that, I've had his _Singularity Sky_ and _Iron  
Sunrise_ on my bookshelves for a couple of years now and haven't quite  
worked up enough enthusiasm to read them. I'm having - and here I  
might have to turn in my Culture List membership - the same problem  
with Banks' _The Algebraist_ and _Matter_.

The next fiction I'll read will probably be Greg Egan's  
_Incandesence_. I've enjoyed his novels quite a lot, flawed though  
they are, but wish there was more of a market for his short stories.  
As I'll probably be off work ill for one more day I might read it  
tomorrow.

Rich, who has some enthusiasm for reading the Baroque Cycle, but that  
enthusiasm is outweighed by being intimidated by the sheer number of  
pages.
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Re: Fair Trade

2008-09-13 Thread Richard Baker
Jon said:

 You have it bass ackwards, Rich.
 Fair trade makes poor people less poor.

Some poor people less poor in the short term, anyway. Are you in  
favour of subsidies in general? (Not that fair trade is quite a  
subsidy, but it's close.)

 What is GCU Way?

I was just commenting on being behind reading Brin-L email. For anyone  
who doesn't know, a GCU is a General Contact Unit, a type of sentient  
spaceship from Iain Banks' Culture books. Many of the Culture ships  
have names that are witticisms of various kinds. People on the Culture  
list often amend such shipnames to their emails (but in this case I  
was just adding a parenthetical aside rather than a witticism).  
Presumably the Marus here are an emulation of this habit.

Rich
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Re: BOOKS

2008-09-13 Thread Richard Baker
Ronn said:

 *BTW, I haven't heard anything from them in awhile . . . unlike a few
 years ago when that was a quite active list . . .

147 emails so far this month and around three thousand so far this  
year on the Culture List seems to be at least roughly comparable to  
Brin-L's 330 this month and almost three thousand this year.

Rich
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Re: Culture link

2008-09-13 Thread Richard Baker
Jon said:

 can you forward the link, rich?  thanks.

Of course: http://www.culturelist.org/

Rich
GCU Full of Dangerous Socialists
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Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-07 Thread Richard Baker
Kevin said:

 Minor nit. The battle of Manzikert was in 1071.

Yes, you're right. Thank you.

Rich, who must read more about Byzantine history.
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Re: Science and Ideals.

2008-09-05 Thread Richard Baker
Dan M said:

 Historically, empires can last a long time. The eastern part of the  
 Roman
 Empire, which was split by Constantine in the 300s, lasted roughly  
 1500
 years, and was defeated by another empire.  IIRC, the Chinese empire  
 lasted
 about the same length until it was overtook by the Ghengas  
 Kahn...who's rule
 ended up merging into that empire.

It may be an aside, but both of those statements are misleading. To  
begin with, Constantine reunified rather than splitting the  
administration of the Roman state. The history of the separation  
between West and East bears closer examination. Under the Republic,  
the Romans had a long history of the division of the supreme  
magistracy, first between two consuls and later into first an ad-hoc  
and later a formalised triumvirate. This tendency briefly re-emerged  
during the second century with the co-imperium of Marcus Aurelius  
Antoninus and Lucius Aurelius Verus, which enabled the presence of  
emperors at several trouble-spots concurrently.

During the troubled third century this need for divided absolute  
authority became even more pressing and was formalised by the emperor  
Diocletian's institution of the tetrarchy, in which there were two  
senior emperors (Augusti) and two junior emperors (Caesars). It  
was Diocletian's intention that the Augusti should periodically  
abdicate in favour of their junior colleagues who would in turn  
appoint two new Caesars from the best men of the state. The succession  
of the emperors would thus be regularised, putting an end to the cycle  
of rebellion and civil war that had plagued the empire for fifty  
years. Unfortunately, it didn't work like that, as sons of the Augusti  
who had been passed over in favour of new, unrelated emperors,  
asserted their supposed hereditary rights, alternative centres of  
power crystallised and a new phase of civil wars began. The ultimate  
victor was Constantine, who became sole ruler of the Roman empire in  
324.

Before Constantine, there had been many temporary Roman capitals - for  
many decades the capital had effectively not been Rome but wherever  
the emperor was. Under the tetrarchy, for example, the capitals of the  
Augusti had been Nicomedia in Asia Minor, Mediolanum in northern  
Italy, Sirmium in what's now Serbia and Augusta Treverorum (modern  
Trier). One of Constantine's several innovations was the establishment  
of a permanent new capital at Constantinople. Rather than this city  
being the capital of an Eastern Roman Empire, it was the capital of  
the whole empire. Even during periods of division of the imperial  
authority, the empire itself was seen as a unitary whole and the usual  
procedure was for edicts to be issued in the name of all the current  
emperors and to be enforced across the Roman world.

It's commonly held that the final division of the Roman empire  
occurred in 395 at the death of Theodosius I, at which Honorius became  
emperor in the west and Arcadius in the East. From then until the  
extinction of the western dynasty in 476 there was always an emperor  
in Constantinople and another usually in Ravenna. However, even as  
these two centres of power solidified, the Roman world formally  
remained whole. The two emperors provided each other with military  
assistance even as late as a major joint naval expedition against the  
Vandals in 468. Even the man sometimes seen as the last fully  
legitimate western emperor, Julius Nepos, was appointed by the eastern  
emperor Leo I. Furthermore, following the overthrow of the last  
western emperor, Romulus Augustulus, many of the Germanic successor  
rulers claimed to be ruling not as independent kings but as  
representatives of the emperor at Constantinople.

As for when the Eastern remnant of the Roman empire fell, I think  
there were two very clear periods during which large swathes of  
territory were lost and the character of the empire deeply changed.  
The first was during the lightning conquests of the Muslim armies in  
the seventh century, which cut away from the empire the ancient Roman  
provinces of Syria, Palestine, Egypt and North Africa. Augustus might  
well have recognised the sixth century empire of Justinian as a  
successor, however much transformed by the passage of centuries, to  
his own; but the Byzantine empire of Heraclius and his successors was  
a different world. The second major collapse occurred with the defeat  
of Romanus Diogenes by the Seljuk Turkish
sultan Alp Arslan at Manzikert in 1054. (The Seljuk sultanate was a  
successor to the Arab Caliphates that had inflicted the earlier  
defeats on the Byzantines.)

In any case, much of this is a distraction from the central questions:  
what endured for those 1500 or more years, and was it totalitarian. In  
my view the main continuity was that of the administrative bureaucracy  
created by the Romans, despite the changes at the highest levels of  
power, the shifts of culture and 

Re: Honest terminology

2008-08-31 Thread Richard Baker
Alberto said:

 So you believe that the logic of capitalism should be used to decide
 on who lives or who dies? For example, think how many children's lives
 in Africa could be saved if we took all those infected with HIV,  
 gassed
 them, burned their bodies (in an anthropothermic power plant - let's
 now waste biofuel!) and saved the money they bleed from HIV
 researches and treatment? Add those old people with cancer - why do
 those selfish bastards want to live a few more years?

Kill them all and God will know his own?

Rich
VFP Albigensian Crusade
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Re: Sanity prevails

2008-08-18 Thread Richard Baker
Bruce quoted:

 A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion,
 butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet, balance
 accounts, build a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying, take orders,
 give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations, analyze a new
 problem, pitch manure, program a computer, cook a tasty meal, fight
 efficiently, die gallantly. Specialization is for insects.  --
 attributed to Lazarus Long by Robert A. Heinlein

Can anyone non-fictional do all of those things adequately well? I  
think it's much better to do a few of them very well and rely on  
others to do different subsets and trade skills or goods and so forth.  
It seems to me that all the people who've done most to advance human  
civilisation have specialised in one or at most several fields, and  
it's becoming increasingly important to specialise as human  
civilisation becomes ever more complex and our collective knowledge  
ever vaster.

Rich
GSV Pin Factory
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Re: Correlation v. causality

2007-12-06 Thread Richard Baker
Nick said:

 And just what Kauffman (or is it Axelrod) suggests is signified by the
 mathematical relationships between gene counts and cell  
 differentiation
 counts, if I am remembering it correctly.  I'm struggling to recall  
 (and
 away from my books), but isn't the mechanism of cell differentiation  
 still
 quite a mystery?  Of course, with all the stem cell research going on,
 perhaps there's a lot of new evidence coming out all the time.

If you're interested in that sort of thing, I can highly recommend  
Sean Carroll's _Endless Forms Most Beautiful_, a good recent popular  
book on evo-devo, the evolution of development.

Rich
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Re: Correlation v. causality (was Re: Poll finds more Americans believe in devil than Darwin)

2007-12-04 Thread Richard Baker
Nick said:

 I'm pointing out that there's a correlation between skepticism about  
 science
 and good science.  The country that includes a lot of skeptics about  
 science
 is the same country that excels in science.  Therefore, one may leap  
 to the
 conclusion that skepticism about science causes good science.

It's not scepticism though. The people in the US who don't believe in  
evolution by natural selection by and large aren't saying we don't  
think evolution by natural selection is an adequate explanation for  
the extant biological diversity so for the moment we won't believe in  
it even though there are no plausible alternatives but rather we  
don't believe in evolution by natural selection because these fairy  
stories are so much more plausible despite the total lack of evidence  
for them! That's not scepticism, it's misplaced credulity.

Rich
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Re: Uplift at Yellowstone

2007-11-11 Thread Richard Baker
Matt said:

 A feature of the books (I gather) is to name spaceships by their
 designation (GCU, ROU, and others, similar to the way that naval ships
 are organized into classes based on size, speed, and purpose) along
 with something apropos to the personality of the owner, mission,
 commander, or whatever (e.g.: ROU Nail in the coffin).

...the personality of the ship. All the Culture's ships and habitats  
(and many other machines besides) are sentient machine intelligences.

Rich
ROU Minor Correction
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Re: Netiquette

2007-09-20 Thread Richard Baker
Nick said:

 And, ipso facto, the sina qua non for this group.

 Semper fidelus,

As we're all being so exact, that should be sine and fidelis.

Rich
ROU Pedant
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Re: Mirror particles form new matter

2007-09-16 Thread Richard Baker
David said:

 What?  They can't even call them anti-matter?
 Now they're mirror particles?  The level of
 science writing seems to be constantly sinking.  : (

When I read the headline I got quite excited as mirror matter means  
something quite different to antimatter:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mirror_matter

Rich
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Re: san

2007-08-15 Thread Richard Baker
Jon said:

 okay, but what is kun and kami-sama

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_titles

Rich
GCU One Line Reply
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Re: Death working overtime

2007-07-30 Thread Richard Baker
Rob said:

 We have a cluster of deaths going on it seems.
 Yesterday Marvin Zindler, the famed reporter who got the Chicken Ranch
 shut down died of pancreatic cancer.
 Today Bill Walsh, former coach of the 49ers died from leukemia and Tom
 Snyder, longtime talk show host died also from leukemia.
 Another notable was Bill Robinson, a baseball player on the
 championship 79 Pirates. His cause of death is currently unknown.

Ingmar Bergman died too.

Rich
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Re: Religion is Valuable: Why it Must Be Encouraged

2007-07-29 Thread Richard Baker
William said:

 It has a supernatural God that makes the world, a supernatural Jesus,
 it has Jesus coming back from death, it has heaven and it has
 resurrection and blah blah blah. If you don't believe all of this
 tosh you are not a Christian.

I think it's possible to disbelieve some aspects of it while  
believing other things of a similar character and still be a  
Christian.  For example, the Nicene Creed was a formal rejection of  
Arianism(*) - that's what the eternally begotten of the Father...  
begotten, not made part is about - but I don't think anyone could  
sensibly argue that Arians aren't Christians, and the First Council  
of Nicaea certainly didn't stamp out what was afterwards the Arian  
heresy.

Rich
GCU Truth Versus Truth

(*) Arius and his followers believed that Jesus was created by God  
the Father at some point in time rather than having existed  
eternally. I'm not entirely sure how eternally begotten is any  
different to created, but then I'm not a theologian.
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Re: Religion is Valuable: Why it Must Be Encouraged

2007-07-29 Thread Richard Baker
Dan said:

  If we were to differ, say on the latest work in mesoscopic  
 physics, we could straightforwardly reconcile those differences by  
 reference to the literature.

Yes. And if we differed about physics beyond the current frontiers of  
knowledge we could in principle resolve those differences through  
further experiments. Actually, this is almost but not quite true  
because there are not only theories whose predictions differ only  
beyond the scope of current experiments - for example, general  
relativity and gauge gravity - but also differences in interpretation  
of theories. I don't know if we have any differences in our  
interpretations of quantum mechanics, for example, but I doubt it as  
I don't really have any strong preferences for any particular  
interpretation.

 When it comes to our philosophical viewpoints, we have no such  
 recourse.
 I'm a theist, and you are a non-theist.at least that's what I've  
 gleamed.

Yes, that's true.

 There is no experiment that either one of us can propose to falsify  
 the
 belief of one of us and confirm the belief of the other.  So, where  
 does
 this place discussions of religion?  Is there nothing empirically  
 based that
 can be said about them?
 I know that testable empirical claims can be made about religion.   
 Religion
 is an addiction, like one to cigarettes or crack, or heroin. It holds
 societies together.  It is inherently dysfunctional.  It aids the  
 lives of
 the religious, it harms them.
 These are statements that can be tested.  I see David's comment as  
 referring
 to this.

I think there are at least four classes of interesting question that  
can be asked about religions:

- Questions about direct religious experience. What are the  
neurological mechanisms underlying feelings of transcendent presences  
or oneness with the universe or grasping eternal meanings or whatever?

- Questions about the truth or otherwise of beliefs and assertions  
that are beyond empirical investigation. (However, some religious  
beliefs are clearly within the realm of empirical investigation, such  
as the beliefs of young Earth creationists.)

- Historical questions. How did religions arise? How do they change  
with time? Which factors help some prosper when others fail? How do  
ideas flow between them?

- Sociological questions, such as those about the benefits or  
otherwise to society of religions, the dynamics of religious  
communities and so forth.

Collectively, these classes of questions include plenty of aspects of  
religions that can be empirically investigated. It's only some of the  
second class that are necessarily in the realm of belief.

Rich
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Re: Religion is Valuable: Why it Must Be Encouraged

2007-07-27 Thread Richard Baker
Dave said:

 The point being that religion -- whether you consider it the core of
 your being or a mental illness, is beneficial to humankind.

So is your position that religions are useful rather than true?

Rich
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Re: How to survive in a black hole

2007-05-22 Thread Richard Baker
Pat said:

 Wait a minute! As I have always understood black holes, don't you  
 have all the time in the world left?

No, you don't. From the viewpoint of a distant observer you *appear*  
to fall ever more slowly towards the horizon (and your image becomes  
ever dimmer and redder), but from your viewpoint you cross the  
horizon in a finite amount of proper time. From then on the  
singularity is always a (rather short) finite proper time in your  
future, at least until you hit it.

Rich
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Re: How to survive in a black hole

2007-05-22 Thread Richard Baker
Damon said:

 Really though, isn't this largely academic, since you probably  
 wouldn't survive the tidal forces involved?

Sufficiently large black holes have low enough tidal forces at the  
horizon that you should be able to survive crossing that without too  
much difficulty. You'll still be shredded before you hit the  
singularity though.

 Would you be able to escape if you dropped some exotic matter  
 into the singularity?

I don't know enough general relativity to know. There are certainly  
solutions for charged or spinning black holes in which you can fall  
through the horizon, miss the singularity, and effectively emerge in  
another universe. On the other hand, I'm pretty sure that for the  
spinning, uncharged case you have to pass through an infinite  
blueshift surface on the way through though, so you'll be fried even  
if you aren't shredded.

Rich
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Re: *Of course* it's all about talent . . .

2007-05-20 Thread Richard Baker
Ronn said:

 Gerson might feel even worse after Wednesday night's exit of the
 matronly Melinda Doolittle from American Idol. In today's music
 industry, Plain Janes need not apply.

Michelle McManus, who won the original Pop Idol a few years ago, was  
obese at the time:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michelle_McManus

On the other hand, her recording career rapidly disappeared after  
the victory, and I didn't think she was all that talented anyway.

Rich
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Re: mail programs

2007-04-21 Thread Richard Baker
Charlie said:

 It's nothing to do with the Mac, it's to do with the way email works.

I'm pretty sure that allowing people to sneak onto your computer to  
steal things isn't to do with the way email works, on Macs or  
otherwise. At worst it's problems with individual implementations  
that cause such things.

Rich
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Re: mail client?

2007-04-19 Thread Richard Baker
Julia said:

 And no, no one else is going to eliminate the s just because you
 don't like them; it's a convention that's been used for years and  
 years,
 and most of us are used to it and find it useful and find the lack of
 them annoying, to say the least.

If the s aren't a standard, they are at least a widely supported  
convention. I don't think I remember using a mail client that didn't  
use them, and it must be five years since I used one that didn't  
colour different levels of quotation differently.

If people don't quote clearly, quote so much text that there's no new  
content on the screen when I load the email, or top-post or otherwise  
show themselves unwilling to provide me with context, I tend not to  
read their emails. I don't suppose most people consider that too much  
of a loss ;)

Rich
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Re: mail client?

2007-04-19 Thread Richard Baker
Jon Louis said:

 i wonder why mail client program(?) don't offer alternatives to
 more and more s, like different font types, or colours.

They typically do. For example, Mail.app (the OS X mail client that  
comes with the operating system) is currently showing your text  
indented and coloured blue. If I'd quoted standardly formatted  
quotation as part of the text that I was quoting then that quoted  
quotation would appear green. The s act as a marker to enable  
Mail.app (or Thunderbird or whatever) to do this. The standard format  
for email is plain ASCII text so it's not possible to mark quotations  
in italics or different colours directly. HTML emails aren't, if I  
recall correctly, a recognised standard and support for HTML in email  
systems is quite patchy.

Does anyone know whether voice interfaces support quoting through  
different voices or pitches or something?

Rich
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Re: Not reading statistics gets a Drubbing

2007-04-09 Thread Richard Baker
Alberto said:

 Sampling from friends to prove something is very unscientific. Just
 to add unscience to the discussion, just because I know lots of
 vegetarians (and a few almost-pure carnivores) doesn't mean
 that I must reject the hypothesis that humans are omnivores.

No, but you would have to reject the hypothesis that all people eat  
meat.

Rich
GCU Counterexample
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Re: Not reading statistics gets a Drubbing

2007-04-08 Thread Richard Baker
AndrewC said:

 Yes, shame you don't have it.

 and the US

 You can quote all you like, the research has been done. De'nile ain't
 just a river in Egypt.

So far as I can tell, Dawkins is talking about his friends at  
universities in the UK and US, his point being that there are at  
least some people for whom religion doesn't seem to be an innate part  
of existence. I'd imagine that his friends tend to be more atheistic  
than the rest of the population. I'd also imagine that nobody has  
performed rigorous research on Dawkins' friends as a population.

Rich
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Re: Brin: Actuarial Science Fiction

2007-03-08 Thread Richard Baker
Jim said:

 Not necessarily their economic future, but certainly how long that
 future might be.  Most actuaries (at least the ones whose companies'
 bottom lines aren't beholden to just a handful of clients) prefer
 conservative assumptions simply because we have to make sure you
 have enough to live on for many years.

On the other side, what happens if human longevity increases  
drastically?

It annoyed me a little to read recently a projection on the BBC News  
website that there will be such-and-such a (very large) number of  
people with dementia by 2050, as if there would be no improved  
treatments (or even cures) for types of dementia by then.

Rich
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Re: Victory Is Not an Option

2007-02-20 Thread Richard Baker
Debbi said:

 I believe the long-growing roots of Western democracy
 were discussed on-List before the war: Sparta, Rome,
 the Magna Carta and so on.

Sparta was a democracy?

Rich
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Re: New take on Fermi Paradox

2007-01-22 Thread Richard Baker
Andrew said:

 Entangled photons.

 Certainly FTL. Instant? Um

Entangled photons can't be used to transmit information faster than  
light.

Rich
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Re: New take on Fermi Paradox

2007-01-22 Thread Richard Baker
Robert C said:

 Unfortunately, the argument, as I remember it, is that that you can
 only measure the direction (say) of a photon after its collapse.  It
 could be `up' (i.e., an arbitrary direction) or down (i.e., another
 arbitrary direction, but 180 degrees in the opposite direction).  You
 cannot predict ahead of time which photons are `up' and which are
 `down', so you cannot convey a message.

Yes, that's entirely right. The results of some measurements on  
entangled systems will be such that they couldn't be explained by  
local states of the components of the system, but while examining  
each component the outcomes will look random. It's only when the  
results of measurements on the various components are compared after  
the fact that the spooky correlations can be seen.

Rich
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Re: The Conversion of John C Wright

2007-01-04 Thread Richard Baker
Ritu said:

 Shangyang was a legendary Chinese university, the rough estimate of  
 the
 date is approx 21st century BC. Takshila, Nalanda, and Ratnagiri were
 some of the most famous ancient Indian universities [some of them were
 established centuries before Christ was born], Al Azhar was an Islamic
 university, established sometime in the 9th century AD and predated  
 the
 first Chritian-Era European university by almost 2 centuries.

Let's also not forget the great Hellenistic centre of learning at  
Alexandria, which included the famous library.

Rich
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Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-12-21 Thread Richard Baker
Dan said much that was interesting including:

 From the Roman side, I'm not sure why the final war was that  
 devastating. I

 haven't read as much as you have about that era, but the decline  
 and fall of
 the Byzantine empire was more tied to the Byzantine bureaucracy and  
 the
 internal squabbling (to the point of killing) over fine points of  
 theology.

Interestingly, I wouldn't even describe the Empire as Byzantine  
until after Heraclius. Whereas Justinian's empire in the mid sixth  
century was manifestly Roman, and Justinian saw himself as the heir  
of Augustus and Diocletian, Heraclius clearly didn't. The near  
terminal crisis of the empire during his reign changed the entire  
character of the empire, and provides what seems to me the most  
natural break-point between Roman and Byzantine (although, of  
course, there are many continuities that span the divide). But let me  
say something about that crisis...

For the whole period of the Dominate, from the end of the troubled  
third century until the final war between Rome and Persia, the  
military strategy of the Romans was dominated by the Persian  
frontier. Even during the period of the fall of the western part of  
the Empire, the bulk of Roman forces were tied up in the east.  
(Indeed, if not for this the western provinces would almost certainly  
not have fallen, and if the threat of Persia had receded then the  
recovery of the west by Justinian's generals Belisarius and Narses  
would probably have been much more complete.) For much of this period  
the massive Roman forces and fortifications along the frontier  
preserved the peace although there were limited wars in the buffer  
regions.

During the century and a half between the fall of the west and the  
final war, there were relatively small wars during 502-6, 526-32 and  
540-57 (a more serious pair of overlapping wars on different fronts  
during which Antioch fell to the Persians). Then in 602, the  
apocalypse that the balance of military might between the two powers  
had postponed for centuries finally broke out. The Romans had been  
weakened by another bout of civil war, military unrest and the  
invasion of the Balkans by the Avars. The Persian king Khosrau II  
took advantage of this weakness and invaded Roman Mesopotamia. In  
608, Heraclius, the son of the Exarch of Africa, rebelled against the  
emperor Phocas, whose rule had been generally disastrous, and took  
Constantinople in 610. The renewed civil war in the Roman Empire  
further strengthened the position of the Persians, who invaded Syria,  
taking Damascus in 613, Jerusalem in 614 and conquering Egypt in 616  
(it remained under Persian control for a decade). At the low point  
for the Romans, the empire in the east was reduced almost to the city  
of Constantinople itself: the Avars controlled the Balkans and the  
campfires of the Persians were visible just across the Bosphorus. The  
imperial government came within a whisker of abandoning the city and  
moving the capital to the safety of Carthage.

I don't think anybody at the time can have expected anything except  
the imminent dissolution of the Roman Empire. Remarkably, that's not  
what happened, largely because of Heraclius himself. Unlike most of  
the later Roman emperors his charisma could inspire immense loyalty  
and courage in his troops and he turned out to be something of an  
organisational and military genius. He totally reformed the  
administrative and military structure of the Empire (and along the  
way replaced Latin with Greek as the official language of the  
imperial government). His reorganisation largely endured for eight  
centuries, which is why I consider him the first Byzantine emperor.  
Heraclius was also the first emperor to lead his troops in person for  
over two hundred years, and his campaigns between 621 and 627 were  
spectacular indeed. A combination of strategic and tactical  
brilliance and skillful exploitation of weaknesses in the Persian  
political system brought the Persian empire to its knees, plunging it  
into a series of crises that fatally weakened it. By the end of the  
war, the Romans had recovered all the territory they'd lost to  
Persia, but they were territories ravaged by a quarter of a century  
of foreign occupation and war.

It was only seven years after the end of this last war between Rome  
and Persia that the armies of Islam erupted from Arabia. By that time  
Heraclius had fallen into terminal illness, and his generals failed  
him. Syria fell to the Arabs in 634, the Persian army was defeated in  
636, Armenia and Egypt were conquered in 639, Africa in 642, Persia  
itself in 651...

Rich

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Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-12-21 Thread Richard Baker
Alberto said:

 Great message.

Thank you.

 But we all hear from the Roman's point of view. What was the  
 Persian logic for keeping up a war against Rome? Did they see Rome  
 as the heirs of Alexander and they wanted to take revenge?

I'm very aware of my bias towards the Romans in my reading about  
history and one of my intentions for next year is to read several  
histories of the Persian empires to compensate. Having said that, I  
think that it's largely Rome that was to blame for the wars against  
the Parthians and Sassanids. The motivations for the Romans were  
mixed: the prestige attached to military conquest, the promise of  
plunder from the famously wealth East, the almost pathological desire  
to secure the Republic against threats from its few peers, and later  
the religious opposition of Christianity and Zoroastrianism (the  
latter of which was much more tolerant of other religions than the  
former). The war that started over half a millennium of intermittent  
conflict between the two powers was engineered purely so that Crassus  
could have military exploits to rival those of his fellow triumvirs.  
Marcus Antonius' Parthian expedition had a similar motive. And so it  
went...

I don't think the Parthians wanted revenge for Alexander's conquests.  
In general they were fairly philhellenic  and during their expansion  
they largely absorbed the Greek administrative system and the Greek  
elites of the crumbling Seleucid empire. Maybe such a motive was more  
likely for the Sassanid monarchy, but again I know so little about  
Persia that I'd hesitate to say.

By the way, I can't remember if I've mentioned it here before but you  
might be interested in reading the first of my (slowly) ongoing  
series on the period from the crisis of the third century to the Arab  
conquests, The Pirenne Thesis and the End of Antiquity:

http://www.theculture.org/rich/sharpblue/archives/000140.html

With a little luck I might find time to finish the second part soon!

Rich
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Re: Afghanistan Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread Richard Baker

Charlie said:

Much of the world simply isn't able to provide soldiers as most 1st  
world countries have been cutting back to basically a defence  
force, and there have been enough friendly fire incidents in  
joint task forces in the past to make military forces wary of  
combining troops. And the US didn't need extra troops. Providing  
soldiers is not the only way to support an ally (and Britain did  
provide soldiers anyway).


Many other countries provided soldiers, ships and aircraft, including  
a substantial contingent from the constantly maligned France:


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ 
2001_war_in_Afghanistan#Nature_of_the_coalition


Rich
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Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-22 Thread Richard Baker

Charlie said:

Actually, I do. And compared to just about any other cause of death  
you can think of, terrorism is way way down the list. Like I've  
said, the response is disproportionate to the risk.


The number of people who died from terrorism in the US in 2001 was  
about the same as the number who die in fires every year.


Rich
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Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-22 Thread Richard Baker

JDG said:


This strikes me as classic generational arrogance - the old saw that
*our generation* dealt with threats much more sensibly than the
young'uns out there.


I like to delude myself that I'm in the same generation as you, so  
it's not generational arrogance on my part. Since I became an  
official adult in 1992, the major crises have the wars in the  
Balkans, the genocides in Rwanda and Sudan, the terrorist attacks of  
11/9, and the continued proliferation of nuclear, biological and  
chemical weapons (you may add to this list as you wish; certainly  
some natural disasters belong on there too). The responses to all of  
these seem to me to be inadequate to disastrous. And in any case, it  
would be crazy to claim that they were my generation's responses  
rather than my parents' generation's responses.


But my point was that while there might have been some unfortunate  
responses to superpower confrontation between the Soviet empire and  
NATO, the threat then was much more serious than what we face now.  
Even the worst case scenario for the war against the terrorists or  
rogue states is not going to include the general collapse of human  
civilisation.


Rich, who was 2^5 years old on Monday.
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Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-22 Thread Richard Baker

Dan said:

I really don't see this. For example, with AQ, the evidence is that  
they see
the lifestyle of the West as decadent and evil, and the dominance  
of the

West to be anathema to the proper order of things.


My take is that the radical fringe of Islam is a sort of cargo cult.

I think that fundamentally most people everywhere want prosperity and  
security for themselves and their families, and a sense that they're  
respected. The Islamic world once had all of those things. For the  
period from, say, AD800 to AD1400, Islam was one of the world's two  
most powerful civilisations (especially in the period when an  
expansionist Abbasid Caliphate skirmished with China's T'ang dynasty  
in central Asia). Indeed, even at the end of that period the great  
conqueror Temur-i-Lang thought that the important parts of the world  
were the Islamic states, India and China, and that Europe was too  
insignificant to bother conquering. Since then, the position of the  
dar al-Islam relative to the European civilisation has clearly  
shifted dramatically in favour of Europe and its overseas extensions.  
For the last two centuries, the once mighty Islamic world has  
suffered military reverses, the dismemberment of its last major  
empire, and near total colonisation by Western powers. The essential  
problem facing us today is that the model used by the radical  
Islamists to explain this immense political, economic and social  
cataclysm is utterly incorrect.


The reason for the explosive expansion of the Arab armies was  
partially the unity given them by Islam, but was mostly the weakness  
of the Roman and Persian empires in the aftermath of their final  
apocalyptic war. Following that expansion, the reason for the  
prosperity of the Islamic states in the AD800 to AD1400 period wasn't  
their adherence to strict Islamic laws - in fact most of them were  
pretty lax about applying such things - but their position straddling  
the trade routes crossing Asia. For most of that period, the most  
important trade routes in the world were the silk roads that ran  
from Chang'an in the east through the Tarim basin or the northern  
foothills of the Tien Shan mountains, through Samarkand and the other  
great trading cities of Central Asia, into Persia and Iraq and then  
to the Levantine ports on the Mediterranean and south into Egypt. The  
power and wealth of Islam were the result of its openness and  
encouragement of trade. Then later the Atlantic states of Europe  
mastered the art of oceanic navigation, discovered America and  
bypassed the silk roads by opening up direct contact with India, the  
East Indies and China. As transcontinental trade dried up, so the  
Islamic world supported by that trade began the long, slow decline  
from its brilliant apogee into today's decrepitude.


Unfortunately, the radical Islamists don't see it that way. One of  
the characteristics of Islam is that the success of Islam-the- 
religion and the success of Islam-the-states are closely tied  
together in the minds of many Muslims (certainly more so than the two  
kinds of success are in the minds of Christians). Attacks on the dar  
al-Islam are easily seen as attacks on Islam itself, and failures of  
the dar al-Islam are easily considered the effects of moral failings  
on the parts of the people. In my opinion, the radical Islamists have  
built a cargo cult on this basis: they see the recapitulation of the  
forms of Muslim behaviour from the great days of Islam as the key to  
regaining prosperity, security and respect. But the shallow aping of  
forms misses the deep reasons for the success of Islam.


This is seen most clearly in the case of the Taliban, whose viewpoint  
seems to be that the relative poverty and impotence of Afghanistan  
isn't due to the withering of trade through the region (which once  
supported some of the most magnificent and rich cities in the world)  
or other more recent but secondary historical factors but is caused  
by the people not being strict enough or literal enough in their  
interpretations of the Koran and application of the Sharia. It's also  
apparent in the web of international Islamic terrorism, which seeks  
to regain the greatness of the Islamic world through fantasies of  
recapitulating the heroic military actions of the first armies of  
Islam against the infidels. Unfortunately, although these attitudes  
are clearly idiocy of the first order to most of us, they are pretty  
seductive to certain groups of people both inside and outside the  
Islamic world. Equally unfortunately, they are doomed to failure and  
generally deleterious to the well-being both of Islam and the dar al- 
Islam.


Quite how we can convince people in the regions where the failure of  
the Islamic states is most total that the things they ought to be  
emulating from the glorious past of Islamic are openness to trade,  
toleration, meritocracy, egality, respect and encouragement for  

Re: AAA Batteries Delivered and Installed

2006-11-12 Thread Richard Baker

Nick said:

Okay, show of hands -- how many people, reading the subject of this  
email,

had the same thoughts I did when I saw this on a truck this afternoon?


My first thought was Anti-Aircraft Artillery Battery.

Rich
VFP Taking The Second Amendment A Bit Too Far
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Re: Gay marriage in the closet

2006-11-12 Thread Richard Baker

JDG said:


Maybe I'm being a bit pedantic, but everyone in New Jersey was and is
free to marry, regardless of their sexual orientation


Even the children? I'm not sure I'd agree with such laws.

Rich
GCU Raising The Pedantry Stakes
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Re: We Will Not Be Afraid

2006-10-06 Thread Richard Baker

DanM said:

The nature of the attack was that it was made by folks hiding among  
the
general population, pretending to be engaged in lawful activities.   
Contrast
this with Pearl Harbor, where the attackers were clearly members of  
the air

force of Japan.


Weren't they members of the Imperial Japanese Navy?

Rich
GCU Pedantic

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Re: PC Software - prices high, little choice

2006-10-02 Thread Richard Baker
Andrew said:

 As I've said before, the Mac is for technosnobs. Pure and simple.

Saying it over and over doesn't make it true. And if it were true, that
also doesn't mean that it's bad.

Rich, who is a technosnob, but also just one data point.
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Re: PC Software - prices high, little choice

2006-10-02 Thread Richard Baker

Andrew said:


To you, maybe. To put it another way, I take a very engineering view,
rather than a scientific one to technology.


Well, that sounds like the sort of attitude that Mac people I know  
take. OS X, for example, has the advantage over Windows that it's  
actually been properly engineered. Until Vista, even Microsoft didn't  
have any idea about the dependencies between pieces of Windows code  
and by their own admission were utterly appalled when they tried to  
map those dependencies(*). Software engineering is something that  
seems foreign to Microsoft - it appears that they solve problems by  
throwing large numbers of developers at a problem and slipping  
release dates until it appears to more or less work. Apple, on the  
other hand, seem to go out of their way to constantly improve their  
software designs (and I'm clearly not just talking about externally  
visible things like user interfaces).


Rich

(*) No, I don't have a citation. It was in an interview with some  
senior Vista project managers that I read quite a long time ago. I  
didn't keep the URL as I never expected to be referring to it. It may  
have been one of Rob Short's video presentations about the Vista  
kernel (Short is the head of the kernel team).


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Re: Infinities large and small

2006-09-29 Thread Richard Baker

DanM said:

Right, but there are not as many integers as there are real numbers  
between

0 and 1. :-)


And there are the same number of those as there are subsets of the  
integers.


Rich

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Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-09-27 Thread Richard Baker

Dave said:


A couple of weeks ago, she sent me the following, which sums up some
thoughts I've ben having lately about what's wrong with the current
administration's approach to terrorism -- it gives the terrorists just
what they want: for us to be afraid. For us to lose our freedoms in
the name of a little illusory safety. For us to be _not_ US.


One of the most striking things about the July 7 attacks was how  
utterly unterrified we all were. I know people who were very close to  
the bombing attacks and their response was uniformly calm and  
practical. In fact, those attacks seemed to cause more anxiety and  
fear on the other side of the Atlantic than they did here.


I think a positive first step would be switching nomenclature from  
terrorist to idiot, for calling them terrorists tends to suggest  
that we're terrified of them or at least potentially so. Besides,  
news stories that start A group of idiots demonstrated their  
stupidity by blowing themselves up... are so much less glamorous  
from their point of view.


Rich
ROU Global War On Idiocy

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Re: Researchers Identify Human Skin Color Gene

2006-09-23 Thread Richard Baker

William said:


Little parasols.


Why don't we just put a big parasol at the Earth-Sun L1 point?

Rich

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Re: Morality

2006-09-15 Thread Richard Baker

JDG said:


Given the existence of universal truth, I don't see how the number n
of people who fail to recognize and accept that universal truth is at
all relevant.   After all, that universal truth is, by definition,
universally true.


Yes, indeed. But Dan was specifically talking about transcendental  
truths. If we have no way to determine those truths, and thus no way  
to act on them, then they're of no use to us whatsoever. So far,  
nobody has presented me with an acceptable criterion for a moral  
assertion to be true, let alone for something like God exists to be  
true.


Rich

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Re: Jobs, not trees! (Collapse, Chapter 2)

2006-09-15 Thread Richard Baker

JDG said:

Additionally, if my memory serves me correctly, Egypt went on to  
become
one of the most important and productive provinces in the Roman  
Empire.

Thus, it hardly seems to have been depleted.


In fact, Egypt was so productive that there were people who argued  
against its annexation as it was so much richer than the existing  
provinces that whoever controlled it would necessarily dominate the  
Roman state. This in fact turned out to be true. Octavian - later the  
emperor Augustus - took control of Egypt not as a new Roman province  
but as his own personal property, and this was an important part of  
his stabilisation of the turmoil of the collapsing Republic.  
Throughout the early Principate it remained an anomalous province  
controlled more or less directly by the emperor. Its importance was  
shown again a century later during the civil wars after the death of  
Nero, the key event of which was Vespasian gaining control of the  
Egyptian corn supply, which fed the city of Rome. The economic  
decline of Egypt only started almost a century after that, with  
Marcus Aurelius' suppression of an Egyptian revolt and the  
detrimental effects on the Egyptian economy of several years of warfare.


I'm not sure why  the solution of dividing Egypt into a number of  
smaller provinces took so long to occur to the Romans.


Rich

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Re: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?

2006-09-14 Thread Richard Baker
JohnR said:

 True, oh so true.   There are actually irrational people in America who
 think that somehow the universe created itself. LOL.

Even more amazingly, there are people there who believe that the
universe was created by a God who was somehow not ever created.

I suppose Americans are better than the rest of us at believing absurd
things as they've had more practice at it!/WTG ;)

Rich
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Re: The Morality of Killing Babies

2006-09-12 Thread Richard Baker

JohnR said:

I may be wrong, because I do not have a lot of confidence in  
history, but it is my

understanding that the One Hundred Years War that took place in Europe
following the Protestant Reformation had a huge impact on the  
population of

Europe for many decades.


The Hundred Years War lasted from 1337 to 1453. The Reformation was  
started by Luther in 1517. Were you thinking of the Thirty Years War?


Rich
GCU Hundred, Thirty, Whatever

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Re: Jobs, not trees! (Collapse, Chapter 2)

2006-09-12 Thread Richard Baker

Damon said:

IRC, thinking back to my college classes, the downfall of both the  
Old and Middle kingdoms came during times of political unrest...


It's quite hard at this distance to determine the causes of the end  
of the Old and Middle kingdoms when we can only barely discern even  
the symptoms. What is clear is that the end of both was a gradual  
process, with a weakened central authority coexisting with  
strengthening regional administrations for many decades, rather than  
a dramatic downfall.


(There was a tendency towards regionalism throughout Egyptian  
history, especially when weakened pharaohs allowed administrative or  
religious posts in the nomes to become hereditary. A strong king was  
largely one who could impose his will in appointing people to these  
posts.)


In the case of the First Intermediate Period, it's been suggested  
that a period of reduced inundations of the Nile in turn reduced the  
agricultural surplus on which the Old Kingdom regime depended, and  
local people looked to local powers to provide for them during a time  
of famine. The Second Intermediate Period saw the Nile delta  
dominated by the Hyksos kings, who invaded Egypt from Palestine. The  
Middle Kingdom had seen a gradual infiltration of Egypt by  
asiatics (including people from the Eastern Desert) and perhaps the  
support of these people for the Hyksos invaders proved the deciding  
factor.


(As I've already said, the increased power of the priesthood of Amun  
was a factor in the end of the New Kingdom, as was the erosion of the  
Egyptian empire in Palestine and Syria under pressure from the  
Hittites.)


Rich
GCU Not An Expert



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Re: Morality

2006-09-11 Thread Richard Baker

Nick said:


And in normal SQL logic, there is NULL, TRUE and FALSE.  But if you
imagine we are just computers, no wonder you won't make room for
faith.


NULL values are the work of the Devil!

Rich
GCU One Line Reply

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Re: The Morality of Killing Babies

2006-09-08 Thread Richard Baker

JohnR said:

So what?  In the USA people need to eat less anyway.  And globally,  
there
needs to be a reduction in population that could most easily be  
effected by

widespread starvation.  People extol the virtues of abortion and birth
control, but doesn't starvation, disease and war control over  
population
just as well?  I fail to see the advantages of birth control and  
abortion.
That is, I would if I did not believe that every human being on  
this earth
is a child of the same Heavenly Father and hence truly brothers and  
sisters.


So you want your brothers and sisters to die in large numbers through  
famine, pestilence and war? Or have you just failed to write clearly  
enough to convey what you really mean?


Rich
VFP Nice Family!

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RE: The Morality of Killing Babies

2006-09-08 Thread Richard Baker
Ritu said:

 That's not necessarily true. Belief is not a prerequisite for
 understanding words on a paper. While the scriptures cannot be accepted
 without belief, understanding them is a simpler task. And all the latter
 requires are tools of basic comprehension, further study, and reasearch.
 This drive for understanding might be fuelled by belief, but it might as
 easily be fuelled by doubt. Or simple curiousity. Belief doesn't have
 much of a role in understanding scriptures, but if we had enough
 information, I would not be surprised to find that belief might have
 actually hindered such understanding over the centuries rather than
 helped it along.

I think JohnR's argument is that belief breathes the fire into the
words and unless you believe you don't experience that fire and so don't
truly understand.

But I think there is no fire, just the power of wishful thinking to make
people feel intense things.

Rich
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Re: Morality

2006-09-08 Thread Richard Baker
JDG said:

 I think you are neglecting the possibility that one might actually be
 true and another might actually be wrong.

I'm clearly not neglecting that possibility and in fact in this thread
have been fairly open to it. However, nobody has yet presented me with a
criterion for deciding which one is true if one in fact is. Why, for
example, Christianity rather than, say, Atenism?

Rich
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Re: Morality

2006-09-08 Thread Richard Baker

William said:


Agnosticism : ~Believe {God(s) exist} is true
Atheism : Believe {God(s) exist} is ~true


I think you're wrong on the former. In my opinion, a better  
characterisation is that agnostics think the truth value of {God(s)  
exist} is either unknown or possibly even unknowable.


Erudite discussion of the relationship between the latter position  
and Godel's incompleteness theorems is left as an exercise to for the  
reader.


Rich

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Re: The Morality of Killing Babies

2006-09-07 Thread Richard Baker

JohnR said:

There is nothing rational about a vegetarian diet. Vegetarianism is  
just a form of holier-than-thou for atheists.


Yeah? Well, I'm vegetarian for aesthetic reasons and I really don't  
much care who else is or isn't vegetarian as long as they don't try  
to make me eat meat.


And there in fact is a rational argument in favour of vegetarianism,  
because a given area of land can feed more vegetarians than meat  
eaters essentially because of thermodynamics. More solar energy gets  
into plants used as human food than into plant-eating animals used as  
human food.


Rich

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Re: The Morality of Killing Babies

2006-09-07 Thread Richard Baker

Charlie said:


Rich, atheist and vegetarian.

Me, atheist and omnivorous.

Doesn't matter a damn to me what you eat.


You overlook the obvious fact that I am holier than you are.

Rich
GCU Saintly

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Re: The Morality of Killing Babies

2006-09-06 Thread Richard Baker
JohnR said:

 My atheist father used to tell me that might makes right is a bad
 philosophy?  Why?

Isn't might makes right basically the religious position? I believe
in an all-powerful God. That God says these things are good and those
are evil, therefore I believe these are good and those are evil. (And
if one happens to live in one of those unfortunate societies whose gods
rule that human sacrifice or whatever is good and necessary, well that's
just too bad for you.)

If not, then I fail to see how the religious and atheist positions differ. 

Or: how does God Himself decide what is good and evil? Isn't He, at
least, basically in the same position as us atheists?

Rich
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Re: unholy OS wars

2006-09-06 Thread Richard Baker
JohnR said:

 What we really need is an OS with all of the advantages of XP and
 Ubuntu and none of the disadvantages of either.  Then maybe we
 would have a decent operating system.

That's called OS X. Oh, except for the fact that OS X is much easier
to use (and prettier!) than XP.

And traditional Unix doesn't actually make a whole heap of sense. Why
are there dozens of different configuration file formats? Why does no
other Unix have things like launchd and lookupd but rather a rats nest
of systems for starting processes and looking up directory data?

Rich
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Re: unholy OS wars

2006-09-06 Thread Richard Baker
JohnR said:

 Or you could buy a machine with lots of RAM, hard drive and a fast chip.
 Then install VMware and a half dozen operating systems and use all of
 them at the same time.  I wonder if anyone finds doing that to be
 useful?

I tried doing that at work but the video performance was annoyingly
slow. We mostly use VMware for server applications.

Rich
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RE: The Morality of Killing Babies

2006-09-06 Thread Richard Baker
DanM said:

 I think the most critical question involved is the understanding of the
 transcendental:  Truths that are true, whether or not they are believed
 by humans, or even whether they are perceived by humans; Reality that
 exists apart from our perception.

But that seems like an especially useless position. If we're discussing
which things are good and which are evil then believing that there are
transcendental truths doesn't help at all if different people have
different positions on what those truths actually are. So far as I can
tell you're reduced either to an argument from authority (whether that
of a priesthood, a holy book, one or more historical figures, or the
general sentiments of society) or an argument from what makes you feel
all warm and fuzzy inside. At best, I suppose, you can argue that some
of those priesthoods, holy books, historical figures or warm and fuzzy
feelings are divinely inspired rather than ultimately reducing just to
opinion, but once again we can argue endlessly about exactly which of
those things are touched by the ineffable mystery of the transcendental.

Rich
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Re: The Morality of Killing Babies

2006-09-06 Thread Richard Baker

Andrew said:


Again, Jews believe there are universal standards for good and for
righteousness (and that the most certainly don't need to be a Jew to
be righteous) - and further, the Bible states that the Law of the
Land is the Law.


So is that an argument from the authority of the Bible, an argument  
from the authority of the people who wrote Bible, an argument from  
the authority of the traditions of the ancient Jewish people or  
something else?



No. You're commiting the basic theological falicy (again, in Jewish
terms) of thinking of G-d as a Human. To eff the ineffible. Which is
understandable (especially since Christians HAVE adopted a Human
aspect to their G-d) but from our POV the question is meaningless in
context.


Well, that sounds awfully like you're saying that these things are  
true because an all-powerful and ineffable God said so but that we  
shouldn't really look too closely into such matters. Which, to me  
(although presumably not to others), sounds awfully like an argument  
from the authority of one's imaginary friend.


Rich

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Re: The Morality of Killing Babies

2006-09-06 Thread Richard Baker

Dan said:

Actually, it is possible, with a simple assumption, to do more than  
that.

Again, I fully admit that there is no proof, but I think that...if the
transcendental is partially and imperfectly discerned by humans,  
then one
can reach some general conclusions about our best bets at  
approaching the
truth when it comes to ethics.  I'll stop here to see if you think  
that is a

presupposition that is worth exploring further.


I'm always interested to hear what you have to say on such things,  
even though I'm fairly sceptical about the possibility of discerning  
anything transcendental.


Rich

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Re: unholy OS wars

2006-09-06 Thread Richard Baker

William said:

I got Singh's _Mac OS X Internals_ the other week. 1641 pages of  
hard-bound fun to dip into!


That one's on my list of books I'd like to read in the near future.  
At the moment, I'm reading Scott's _Programming Language Pragmatics_,  
Hennessy and Patterson's _Computer Architecture_ and Bacon's  
_Concurrent Systems_ though.


Rich

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Re: unholy OS wars (was Re: history is evil, why it must be eradicated)

2006-09-04 Thread Richard Baker

Andrew said:


Here's a hint: A base price of £1000 is more than I spend on an
entire PC which is considerably more powerful than the one you
linked.


This seems somewhat unlikely when 2.66GHz Xeon 5150 processors cost  
around £470 each and the base Mac Pro configuration has two of them,  
as well as a relatively high-end graphics card.


Rich
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