Re: Intelligence, Aesthetics and Bayesianism: Game over!

2008-08-13 Thread Bruno Marchal


Hi Tom,


 Nice.  I see beauty in the Mandelbrot set.  However, there seems to be
 a lot of deja vu, similar repetition on a theme.


Right. But full of subtle variations.
It is all normal to have a lot of deja vu when you make a journey 
across a multiverse ...



  I have never been
 able to find anything resembling a beautiful girl,

You are not looking close enough, and also, the zoom movie remains a 
pure third person description. Consciousness is more related to a 
internal flux or to some stroboscopic inside views in the Mandelbrot 
Set (assuming the conjecture).
It is a bit like looking to a picture of a galaxy. You will not see 
beautiful girls, unless you look close enough, and from the right 
perspective.



 or even a mother-in-
 law, or a white rabbit.  This seems to go against your conjecture.

(remember also that not seeing something is not an argument of 
not-existence, like seeing something is not an argument for existence).
If you want to see a white rabbit (*the* white rabbit),  the best 
consists in looking at

http://fr.youtube.com/watch?v=Z5XfQWKgf4Mfeature=related

As for the mother-in-law, I am not sure about your motivations ... 
(Holiday jokes :)

Bruno



 Tom

 On Aug 12, 8:30 am, Bruno Marchal [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On 09 Aug 2008, at 09:44, Tom Caylor wrote:

 I believe that nature is not primarily functional. It is primarily
 beautiful.
 And this from a theist?  Yes!  This is actually to the core point of
 why I am a theist.  I don't blame people for not believing in God if
 they think God is about functionality.

 If you remember my conjecture that the Mandelbrot Set, (well, its  
 complement in the complex plane), is Turing complete (that is  
 equivalent in some sense to a universal dovetailing), then zooming in 
  
 it gives a picture of the arithmetical multiverse or of the universal 
  
 deployment. And I do find most of them wonderfully beautiful. Here is 
  
 my favorite on youtube:

 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G0nmVUU_7IQ

 Is that not wonderful? Awesome ?

 Bruno

 http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/
 

http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/


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Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread 1Z



On 13 Aug, 00:03, Quentin Anciaux [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Hi,

 2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

  Yes, but One Universe (or at least, non-MMW) methodology does
  not claim or pretend or wish to have 0 axioms. I aims for an
  ontologically
  parsimonious explanation that matches the evidence.

 Yes so ball at the centre... these axioms are equally valable...
 except that the finite number of universes hypothesis has to explain
 why that number (be it 1 or 42).

It doesn't have to explain it on the basis of apriori axioms. Standard
cosmology accepts
that many features fo the universe stem from contingent, essentially
unaccountable boundary conditions.

 Could you explain more precisely what is parsimonious for you ?

The non-existence of unobserved entities.


   One Universe (or at least, non-MMW) methodology does
  not claim or pretend or wish to have 0 axioms.

 Well so ?

So the 0 axiom rule may be impossible to fulfill. Which would make
other methodological approaches preferable.

 Besides I find very
  problematic the unicity.

  Then you had better say what the problem is.

 Why one ?

The universe is all there is. How could you have more than one all-
there-is?

why not two ? if one why stay one ? There is a single
 universe and a precise one and *only this one* and we are actually in
 it, wow lucky.

Not at all. If there is one, we must be in it, there is nowhere else
to be.
Luck--anthropic claims---features much more in MW thinking.


  it is not simpler on the entity version of O's R, and it does not
  fit the evidence because of the WR problem.

 Yes but I see 'real switch' problem as equally problematic in front of
 the WR problem.

I don't see that. You need to explain. Single-worlders can switch
off WR's.

  The computation needs some sort of substrate.

 *Any* substrate that can be use for doing a computation. Is a program
 running in a simulated processor can know that the substrate (imagine
 it has sensor to give information about it) is simulated if the
 simulated processor gives out exactly what it should ? no... so the
 substrate is nothing.

There is no substrate doesn't follow from the substrate is
unknown.

  No you devise this in 2 parts, I think only the abstract world is
  ontologically primary.

  That is your conclusions. You cannot assume it in order to
  argue for it.

 I do not assume them.

Then you need some other way of getting your multiple instantiations.


  DuplicABLE is not enough. I might be dreamABLE by the butterfly as
  well. If I am not duplicATED there is no indeterminacy. If there
  is no serious evidence of duplication, there is no serious problem
  of indeterminacy -- it is just speculation like the butterfly story.

 If mind is a computation it's a fact that conscious computation will
 be run.

Why ? Says who?

If mind is not a computation on the other hand well yes mind
 wouldn't be duplicable so asking for potential duplicability in these
 conditions is meaningless.



  All sorts of things are possible that I don't worry about. Why should
  I?

 The question is about mind is or is not a computation and what it
 entails. You are saying mind is a computation but are rejecting
 multiple runs on the ground that there won't be any ever.

I am not claiming to be certain that there won't be. I am saying there
is no particular evidence three will be.

.. Either you
 should dismiss the mind computation hypothesis or dismiss your
 susbtance real switch theory, they're not compatible.

They are in the absence of Multiple Instantiation and its
equivalents , such as Platonism.

 The only way
  to be sure not to be rerun is that the mind is not a computation... It
  can't be a computation and not imply 1st person indeterminacy.

  You're doing it again...putting forward you can't be sure of not-X
  as if it means you can be sure of X.

 No I can be sure that if mind is a computation it is a computation in
 pure term and thus totally independent of the substrate.

Buys you nothing without actual multiple instantiations.


  The universe we see is nowhere near as big as the Tegmark-Marechal
  Platonia.
  Therefore you cannot possibly lever Mathematical Many Worlds out
  of Physical Many Worlds.

 nowhere as big... you've seen the entire universe or only what's in
 your light cone ?

The fact that physics picks out a small subset of mathematics as
applicable
tells me that the universe we see is nowhere near as big as the
Tegmark-Marechal
Platonia.


  Yes, but that's not the point, the point is assuming turing
  emulability of the mind/the mind is a computation hypothesis implies
  1st person indeterminacy and hence many worlds/dreams.
 
  False. The TE alone does not imply indeterminacy. To obtain actual
  indeterminacy,
  you need to get actual -- not just theoretical--implementations from
  somewhere. You need the additional hypothesis of Platonism, or
  something else.

 Mind emulability implies indeterminacy (even for only two runs).

There is no evidence of a 

Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread Quentin Anciaux

2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:



 On 13 Aug, 00:03, Quentin Anciaux [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Hi,

 2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

  Yes, but One Universe (or at least, non-MMW) methodology does
  not claim or pretend or wish to have 0 axioms. I aims for an
  ontologically
  parsimonious explanation that matches the evidence.

 Yes so ball at the centre... these axioms are equally valable...
 except that the finite number of universes hypothesis has to explain
 why that number (be it 1 or 42).

 It doesn't have to explain it on the basis of apriori axioms. Standard
 cosmology accepts
 that many features fo the universe stem from contingent, essentially
 unaccountable boundary conditions.

 Could you explain more precisely what is parsimonious for you ?

 The non-existence of unobserved entities.

Plenty of thing are unobserved, have you ever seen an electron ?


   One Universe (or at least, non-MMW) methodology does
  not claim or pretend or wish to have 0 axioms.

 Well so ?

 So the 0 axiom rule may be impossible to fulfill. Which would make
 other methodological approaches preferable.

 Besides I find very
  problematic the unicity.

  Then you had better say what the problem is.

 Why one ?

 The universe is all there is. How could you have more than one all-
 there-is?

Well you're playing with the word here. It's hand waving.

why not two ? if one why stay one ? There is a single
 universe and a precise one and *only this one* and we are actually in
 it, wow lucky.

 Not at all. If there is one, we must be in it, there is nowhere else
 to be.
 Luck--anthropic claims---features much more in MW thinking.


Well sure we must be in a universe, as we must be part of the
everything because we are (well I'm sure for me...)


  it is not simpler on the entity version of O's R, and it does not
  fit the evidence because of the WR problem.

 Yes but I see 'real switch' problem as equally problematic in front of
 the WR problem.

 I don't see that. You need to explain. Single-worlders can switch
 off WR's.

Yes by saying it's a no problem... I can say MW can switch off WR as
easily. But we just make a step back and forth.

  The computation needs some sort of substrate.

 *Any* substrate that can be use for doing a computation. Is a program
 running in a simulated processor can know that the substrate (imagine
 it has sensor to give information about it) is simulated if the
 simulated processor gives out exactly what it should ? no... so the
 substrate is nothing.

 There is no substrate doesn't follow from the substrate is
 unknown.

The substrate is not part of the computation, it has never and never will.

  No you devise this in 2 parts, I think only the abstract world is
  ontologically primary.

  That is your conclusions. You cannot assume it in order to
  argue for it.

 I do not assume them.

 Then you need some other way of getting your multiple instantiations.


Well I believe (note the word) that we (the mind) are a computation
and as such I believe in strong AI, such that we will do conscious
digital entities... Either these entities will be truly conscious (and
it is possible for them to be conscious as we have assume that
consciousness is a computational process) or they won't, if they won't
and never will be conscious, it is only possible if contrary to the
assumption, consciousness is not (only) a computational process. Now
if  consciousness is a computational process and we build an AI (I
don't see how we couldn't if consciousness is a computation, what
could prevent it ?) then here you are with multiple implementations.
Either you say that even if consciousness is a computation we will
never and ever be able to replicate this phenomena (creates a digital
consciousness) and you have to explain why or you should accept 1st
person indeterminacy...

Regards,
Quentin Anciaux


-- 
All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.

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Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread 1Z



On 13 Aug, 18:58, Quentin Anciaux [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:





  On 13 Aug, 00:03, Quentin Anciaux [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Hi,

  2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

   Yes, but One Universe (or at least, non-MMW) methodology does
   not claim or pretend or wish to have 0 axioms. I aims for an
   ontologically
   parsimonious explanation that matches the evidence.

  Yes so ball at the centre... these axioms are equally valable...
  except that the finite number of universes hypothesis has to explain
  why that number (be it 1 or 42).

  It doesn't have to explain it on the basis of apriori axioms. Standard
  cosmology accepts
  that many features fo the universe stem from contingent, essentially
  unaccountable boundary conditions.

  Could you explain more precisely what is parsimonious for you ?

  The non-existence of unobserved entities.

 Plenty of thing are unobserved, have you ever seen an electron ?


We can posit unobserved things to do explain what is observed. But
that is not
analogous to MMW, since the extra universes in MMW should be observed,
but aren't.

One Universe (or at least, non-MMW) methodology does
   not claim or pretend or wish to have 0 axioms.

  Well so ?

  So the 0 axiom rule may be impossible to fulfill. Which would make
  other methodological approaches preferable.

  Besides I find very
   problematic the unicity.

   Then you had better say what the problem is.

  Why one ?

  The universe is all there is. How could you have more than one all-
  there-is?

 Well you're playing with the word here. It's hand waving.

I am not saying there is one universe. I am saying there is as many
as are needed to explain the evidence, and no more.

 why not two ? if one why stay one ? There is a single
  universe and a precise one and *only this one* and we are actually in
  it, wow lucky.

  Not at all. If there is one, we must be in it, there is nowhere else
  to be.
  Luck--anthropic claims---features much more in MW thinking.

 Well sure we must be in a universe, as we must be part of the
 everything because we are (well I'm sure for me...)

And if there is one universe, we must be in it. Nothing could
be less coincidental.

   it is not simpler on the entity version of O's R, and it does not
   fit the evidence because of the WR problem.

  Yes but I see 'real switch' problem as equally problematic in front of
  the WR problem.

  I don't see that. You need to explain. Single-worlders can switch
  off WR's.

 Yes by saying it's a no problem... I can say MW can switch off WR as
 easily. But we just make a step back and forth.

That is no explanation. Single worlders -- and physical many
worlders--
get rid of WR universes by saying they do no exist at all.

Now: don't tell me *that* mathematical may worlders can do
the same, tell me how.


   No you devise this in 2 parts, I think only the abstract world is
   ontologically primary.

   That is your conclusions. You cannot assume it in order to
   argue for it.

  I do not assume them.

  Then you need some other way of getting your multiple instantiations.

 Well I believe (note the word) that we (the mind) are a computation
 and as such I believe in strong AI, such that we will do conscious
 digital entities... Either these entities will be truly conscious (and
 it is possible for them to be conscious as we have assume that
 consciousness is a computational process) or they won't, if they won't
 and never will be conscious, it is only possible if contrary to the
 assumption, consciousness is not (only) a computational process. Now
 if  consciousness is a computational process and we build an AI (I
 don't see how we couldn't if consciousness is a computation, what
 could prevent it ?) then here you are with multiple implementations.

And if we don't build an AI, here you are without them. (And with
computationalism still true, and without any subjective
indeterminacy).

 Either you say that even if consciousness is a computation we will
 never and ever be able to replicate this phenomena (creates a digital
 consciousness) and you have to explain why or you should accept 1st
 person indeterminacy...

I don't have to do any of those things. I just have to point out that
it isn't particularly likely. I could be living in a fantastically
elaborate
Truman-style replica of a *physical* environment..but why should I
believe
that?  There are many sceptical hypotheses; they are all equally
likely, ie not certainly false. Rationally they should be treated
equally,
and, since they cannot be equally true, they must be treated as
equally implausible..

 Regards,
 Quentin Anciaux

 --
 All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
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Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread Quentin Anciaux

2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
   Then you had better say what the problem is.

  Why one ?

  The universe is all there is. How could you have more than one all-
  there-is?

 Well you're playing with the word here. It's hand waving.

 I am not saying there is one universe. I am saying there is as many
 as are needed to explain the evidence, and no more.

You're not saying anything nor asserting something.

 why not two ? if one why stay one ? There is a single
  universe and a precise one and *only this one* and we are actually in
  it, wow lucky.

  Not at all. If there is one, we must be in it, there is nowhere else
  to be.
  Luck--anthropic claims---features much more in MW thinking.

 Well sure we must be in a universe, as we must be part of the
 everything because we are (well I'm sure for me...)

 And if there is one universe, we must be in it. Nothing could
 be less coincidental.

Sure, why one then ?

   it is not simpler on the entity version of O's R, and it does not
   fit the evidence because of the WR problem.

  Yes but I see 'real switch' problem as equally problematic in front of
  the WR problem.

  I don't see that. You need to explain. Single-worlders can switch
  off WR's.

 Yes by saying it's a no problem... I can say MW can switch off WR as
 easily. But we just make a step back and forth.

 That is no explanation. Single worlders -- and physical many
 worlders--
 get rid of WR universes by saying they do no exist at all.

 Now: don't tell me *that* mathematical may worlders can do
 the same, tell me how.


By saying they exists but you're not in the class of observer capable
of experiencing them (or experiencing them for a long stable period of
time...), and as a RSSA proponents, next states probabilities are
relative to current state... I could also say that you experience only
one world/history (from your point of view of course) then speaking
why you're not in these particular WR universes/histories is because
you're not (it sounds like your 'do not exist at all' no ? :)

   No you devise this in 2 parts, I think only the abstract world is
   ontologically primary.

   That is your conclusions. You cannot assume it in order to
   argue for it.

  I do not assume them.

  Then you need some other way of getting your multiple instantiations.

 Well I believe (note the word) that we (the mind) are a computation
 and as such I believe in strong AI, such that we will do conscious
 digital entities... Either these entities will be truly conscious (and
 it is possible for them to be conscious as we have assume that
 consciousness is a computational process) or they won't, if they won't
 and never will be conscious, it is only possible if contrary to the
 assumption, consciousness is not (only) a computational process. Now
 if  consciousness is a computational process and we build an AI (I
 don't see how we couldn't if consciousness is a computation, what
 could prevent it ?) then here you are with multiple implementations.

 And if we don't build an AI, here you are without them. (And with
 computationalism still true, and without any subjective
 indeterminacy).

If it is a computation explain why we wouldn't with logical
argument... if the world is not destroyed tomorrow and consciousness
is a computational process then we'll build AI... you must suppose
either
1) the end of the world before we do it
2) or the never ever AI for unknown reason even if it is possible
because the mind is a computational process
3) or the mind is not a computational process (or in part but
dependant on a non computational/non emulable process like an oracle
or your substance for example)..

 Either you say that even if consciousness is a computation we will
 never and ever be able to replicate this phenomena (creates a digital
 consciousness) and you have to explain why or you should accept 1st
 person indeterminacy...

 I don't have to do any of those things. I just have to point out that
 it isn't particularly likely. I could be living in a fantastically
 elaborate
 Truman-style replica of a *physical* environment..but why should I
 believe
 that?

I do not believe in that, you talk of multiverse like if it was
something built for deceiving us... that's nonsense paranoia :)

 There are many sceptical hypotheses; they are all equally
 likely, ie not certainly false. Rationally they should be treated
 equally,
 and, since they cannot be equally true, they must be treated as
 equally implausible..

Yes and many is more rationally simpler than unicity.

Regards,
Quentin Anciaux
-- 
All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.

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Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread 1Z



On 13 Aug, 20:38, Quentin Anciaux [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

Then you had better say what the problem is.

   Why one ?

   The universe is all there is. How could you have more than one all-
   there-is?

  Well you're playing with the word here. It's hand waving.

  I am not saying there is one universe. I am saying there is as many
  as are needed to explain the evidence, and no more.

 You're not saying anything nor asserting something.

Says who?

  why not two ? if one why stay one ? There is a single
   universe and a precise one and *only this one* and we are actually in
   it, wow lucky.

   Not at all. If there is one, we must be in it, there is nowhere else
   to be.
   Luck--anthropic claims---features much more in MW thinking.

  Well sure we must be in a universe, as we must be part of the
  everything because we are (well I'm sure for me...)

  And if there is one universe, we must be in it. Nothing could
  be less coincidental.

 Sure, why one then ?

It would be the smallest number that fits the facts.

it is not simpler on the entity version of O's R, and it does not
fit the evidence because of the WR problem.

   Yes but I see 'real switch' problem as equally problematic in front of
   the WR problem.

   I don't see that. You need to explain. Single-worlders can switch
   off WR's.

  Yes by saying it's a no problem... I can say MW can switch off WR as
  easily. But we just make a step back and forth.

  That is no explanation. Single worlders -- and physical many
  worlders--
  get rid of WR universes by saying they do no exist at all.

  Now: don't tell me *that* mathematical may worlders can do
  the same, tell me how.

 By saying they exists but you're not in the class of observer capable
 of experiencing them (or experiencing them for a long stable period of
 time...),


 and as a RSSA proponents, next states probabilities are
 relative to current state... I could also say that you experience only
 one world/history (from your point of view of course) then speaking
 why you're not in these particular WR universes/histories is because
 you're not (it sounds like your 'do not exist at all' no ? :)

A lot of complicated hypotheses have been put forward on the
MMW side. What does that buy you? Ontological complexity combined
with
theoretical complexity.

No you devise this in 2 parts, I think only the abstract world is
ontologically primary.

That is your conclusions. You cannot assume it in order to
argue for it.

   I do not assume them.

   Then you need some other way of getting your multiple instantiations.

  Well I believe (note the word) that we (the mind) are a computation
  and as such I believe in strong AI, such that we will do conscious
  digital entities... Either these entities will be truly conscious (and
  it is possible for them to be conscious as we have assume that
  consciousness is a computational process) or they won't, if they won't
  and never will be conscious, it is only possible if contrary to the
  assumption, consciousness is not (only) a computational process. Now
  if  consciousness is a computational process and we build an AI (I
  don't see how we couldn't if consciousness is a computation, what
  could prevent it ?) then here you are with multiple implementations.

  And if we don't build an AI, here you are without them. (And with
  computationalism still true, and without any subjective
  indeterminacy).

 If it is a computation explain why we wouldn't with logical
 argument... if the world is not destroyed tomorrow and consciousness
 is a computational process then we'll build AI


There is no reason to build and AI duplicate of everybody,
and there is no reason to single out me. So this is another
appeal to coincidence.

you must suppose
 either
 1) the end of the world before we do it
 2) or the never ever AI for unknown reason even if it is possible
 because the mind is a computational process
 3) or the mind is not a computational process (or in part but
 dependant on a non computational/non emulable process like an oracle
 or your substance for example)..

Or 4) We build an AI and it isn;t me. Why shoudl it be? The odds
are billions to one.

  Either you say that even if consciousness is a computation we will
  never and ever be able to replicate this phenomena (creates a digital
  consciousness) and you have to explain why or you should accept 1st
  person indeterminacy...

  I don't have to do any of those things. I just have to point out that
  it isn't particularly likely. I could be living in a fantastically
  elaborate
  Truman-style replica of a *physical* environment..but why should I
  believe
  that?

 I do not believe in that, you talk of multiverse like if it was
 something built for deceiving us... that's nonsense paranoia :)

But you are basing your whole argument on the future construction of
an AI. And
you are trying or persuade me that that means *I* am 

Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread Quentin Anciaux

2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 Sure, why one then ?

 It would be the smallest number that fits the facts.

Which facts ?

it is not simpler on the entity version of O's R, and it does not
fit the evidence because of the WR problem.

   Yes but I see 'real switch' problem as equally problematic in front of
   the WR problem.

   I don't see that. You need to explain. Single-worlders can switch
   off WR's.

  Yes by saying it's a no problem... I can say MW can switch off WR as
  easily. But we just make a step back and forth.

  That is no explanation. Single worlders -- and physical many
  worlders--
  get rid of WR universes by saying they do no exist at all.

  Now: don't tell me *that* mathematical may worlders can do
  the same, tell me how.

 By saying they exists but you're not in the class of observer capable
 of experiencing them (or experiencing them for a long stable period of
 time...),


 and as a RSSA proponents, next states probabilities are
 relative to current state... I could also say that you experience only
 one world/history (from your point of view of course) then speaking
 why you're not in these particular WR universes/histories is because
 you're not (it sounds like your 'do not exist at all' no ? :)

 A lot of complicated hypotheses have been put forward on the
 MMW side. What does that buy you? Ontological complexity combined
 with
 theoretical complexity.

I see real complexity in asserting the single universe.

No you devise this in 2 parts, I think only the abstract world is
ontologically primary.

That is your conclusions. You cannot assume it in order to
argue for it.

   I do not assume them.

   Then you need some other way of getting your multiple instantiations.

  Well I believe (note the word) that we (the mind) are a computation
  and as such I believe in strong AI, such that we will do conscious
  digital entities... Either these entities will be truly conscious (and
  it is possible for them to be conscious as we have assume that
  consciousness is a computational process) or they won't, if they won't
  and never will be conscious, it is only possible if contrary to the
  assumption, consciousness is not (only) a computational process. Now
  if  consciousness is a computational process and we build an AI (I
  don't see how we couldn't if consciousness is a computation, what
  could prevent it ?) then here you are with multiple implementations.

  And if we don't build an AI, here you are without them. (And with
  computationalism still true, and without any subjective
  indeterminacy).

 If it is a computation explain why we wouldn't with logical
 argument... if the world is not destroyed tomorrow and consciousness
 is a computational process then we'll build AI


 There is no reason to build and AI duplicate of everybody,
 and there is no reason to single out me. So this is another
 appeal to coincidence.

i've never said that and that's not the point. This AI could be
duplicated and run in multiple instance when does she die ? when you
pull the last plug of the last computer running it ? by pulling out
all devices capable of running it ? by destroying the whole everything
?

you must suppose
 either
 1) the end of the world before we do it
 2) or the never ever AI for unknown reason even if it is possible
 because the mind is a computational process
 3) or the mind is not a computational process (or in part but
 dependant on a non computational/non emulable process like an oracle
 or your substance for example)..

 Or 4) We build an AI and it isn;t me. Why shoudl it be? The odds
 are billions to one.

I've never said that and it's not the point if it is you, me, Georges
Bush or Popeye... it's about consciousness.

  Either you say that even if consciousness is a computation we will
  never and ever be able to replicate this phenomena (creates a digital
  consciousness) and you have to explain why or you should accept 1st
  person indeterminacy...

  I don't have to do any of those things. I just have to point out that
  it isn't particularly likely. I could be living in a fantastically
  elaborate
  Truman-style replica of a *physical* environment..but why should I
  believe
  that?

 I do not believe in that, you talk of multiverse like if it was
 something built for deceiving us... that's nonsense paranoia :)

 But you are basing your whole argument on the future construction of
 an AI. And
 you are trying or persuade me that that means *I* am affected by
 indeterminacy.
 So the AI must be an AI of me. How is that any less solipsistic than
 the Truman
 Show?

Where all affected, every consciousness if consciousness is
computation, but the point is not about you... Solipsism is a negation
of everything... I do not see MW or 1st undeterminacy as solipsistic
but the contrary, it's asserting many mind, many consciousness, many
computations.

 Also , the fact that you reject other sceptical hypotheses is
 irrelevant and less you
 have 

Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread 1Z



On 13 Aug, 21:05, Quentin Anciaux [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

  Sure, why one then ?

  It would be the smallest number that fits the facts.

 Which facts ?

The observed ones.

 it is not simpler on the entity version of O's R, and it does not
 fit the evidence because of the WR problem.

Yes but I see 'real switch' problem as equally problematic in front 
of
the WR problem.

I don't see that. You need to explain. Single-worlders can switch
off WR's.

   Yes by saying it's a no problem... I can say MW can switch off WR as
   easily. But we just make a step back and forth.

   That is no explanation. Single worlders -- and physical many
   worlders--
   get rid of WR universes by saying they do no exist at all.

   Now: don't tell me *that* mathematical may worlders can do
   the same, tell me how.

  By saying they exists but you're not in the class of observer capable
  of experiencing them (or experiencing them for a long stable period of
  time...),

  and as a RSSA proponents, next states probabilities are
  relative to current state... I could also say that you experience only
  one world/history (from your point of view of course) then speaking
  why you're not in these particular WR universes/histories is because
  you're not (it sounds like your 'do not exist at all' no ? :)

  A lot of complicated hypotheses have been put forward on the
  MMW side. What does that buy you? Ontological complexity combined
  with
  theoretical complexity.

 I see real complexity in asserting the single universe.

Don't just see it, explain it.

 No you devise this in 2 parts, I think only the abstract world is
 ontologically primary.

 That is your conclusions. You cannot assume it in order to
 argue for it.

I do not assume them.

Then you need some other way of getting your multiple instantiations.

   Well I believe (note the word) that we (the mind) are a computation
   and as such I believe in strong AI, such that we will do conscious
   digital entities... Either these entities will be truly conscious (and
   it is possible for them to be conscious as we have assume that
   consciousness is a computational process) or they won't, if they won't
   and never will be conscious, it is only possible if contrary to the
   assumption, consciousness is not (only) a computational process. Now
   if  consciousness is a computational process and we build an AI (I
   don't see how we couldn't if consciousness is a computation, what
   could prevent it ?) then here you are with multiple implementations.

   And if we don't build an AI, here you are without them. (And with
   computationalism still true, and without any subjective
   indeterminacy).

  If it is a computation explain why we wouldn't with logical
  argument... if the world is not destroyed tomorrow and consciousness
  is a computational process then we'll build AI

  There is no reason to build and AI duplicate of everybody,
  and there is no reason to single out me. So this is another
  appeal to coincidence.

 i've never said that and that's not the point. This AI could be
 duplicated and run in multiple instance when does she die ? when you
 pull the last plug of the last computer running it ? by pulling out
 all devices capable of running it ? by destroying the whole everything
 ?

If you make a chain of assumptions --how willing people are to build
AIs, how able they are, how long the universe will support such
activities--
then you can make the AI hypothesis look likely relative to those
assumptions.
But there is no necessity there. Anyone can evade the argument by
rejecting the
assumptions. It's basically just speculation.

 you must suppose
  either
  1) the end of the world before we do it
  2) or the never ever AI for unknown reason even if it is possible
  because the mind is a computational process
  3) or the mind is not a computational process (or in part but
  dependant on a non computational/non emulable process like an oracle
  or your substance for example)..

  Or 4) We build an AI and it isn;t me. Why shoudl it be? The odds
  are billions to one.

 I've never said that and it's not the point if it is you, me, Georges
 Bush or Popeye... it's about consciousness.

Nothing follows for me if someone builds and AI of someone other than
me.
If I am never duplicated, I suffer from no indeterminacy, and no issue
of many
worlds arises.I can
quite justifiably regard myself as a single individual in a single
reality.

   Either you say that even if consciousness is a computation we will
   never and ever be able to replicate this phenomena (creates a digital
   consciousness) and you have to explain why or you should accept 1st
   person indeterminacy...

   I don't have to do any of those things. I just have to point out that
   it isn't particularly likely. I could be living in a fantastically
   elaborate
   Truman-style replica of a *physical* 

Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread Quentin Anciaux

When the universe will end is '17 is prime' still true ?

Me winning the lotery is a WR event... I play lotery, I do not win
therefore no one wins... It's basically your argument about WR.

2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:



 On 13 Aug, 21:05, Quentin Anciaux [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

  Sure, why one then ?

  It would be the smallest number that fits the facts.

 Which facts ?

 The observed ones.

You're talking about the microscopic quantum world ?

 it is not simpler on the entity version of O's R, and it does 
 not
 fit the evidence because of the WR problem.

Yes but I see 'real switch' problem as equally problematic in front 
of
the WR problem.

I don't see that. You need to explain. Single-worlders can switch
off WR's.

   Yes by saying it's a no problem... I can say MW can switch off WR as
   easily. But we just make a step back and forth.

   That is no explanation. Single worlders -- and physical many
   worlders--
   get rid of WR universes by saying they do no exist at all.

   Now: don't tell me *that* mathematical may worlders can do
   the same, tell me how.

  By saying they exists but you're not in the class of observer capable
  of experiencing them (or experiencing them for a long stable period of
  time...),

  and as a RSSA proponents, next states probabilities are
  relative to current state... I could also say that you experience only
  one world/history (from your point of view of course) then speaking
  why you're not in these particular WR universes/histories is because
  you're not (it sounds like your 'do not exist at all' no ? :)

  A lot of complicated hypotheses have been put forward on the
  MMW side. What does that buy you? Ontological complexity combined
  with
  theoretical complexity.

 I see real complexity in asserting the single universe.

 Don't just see it, explain it.

I already did, one universe put more constraint because of its unicity
than infinitely many...

 No you devise this in 2 parts, I think only the abstract world is
 ontologically primary.

 That is your conclusions. You cannot assume it in order to
 argue for it.

I do not assume them.

Then you need some other way of getting your multiple instantiations.

   Well I believe (note the word) that we (the mind) are a computation
   and as such I believe in strong AI, such that we will do conscious
   digital entities... Either these entities will be truly conscious (and
   it is possible for them to be conscious as we have assume that
   consciousness is a computational process) or they won't, if they won't
   and never will be conscious, it is only possible if contrary to the
   assumption, consciousness is not (only) a computational process. Now
   if  consciousness is a computational process and we build an AI (I
   don't see how we couldn't if consciousness is a computation, what
   could prevent it ?) then here you are with multiple implementations.

   And if we don't build an AI, here you are without them. (And with
   computationalism still true, and without any subjective
   indeterminacy).

  If it is a computation explain why we wouldn't with logical
  argument... if the world is not destroyed tomorrow and consciousness
  is a computational process then we'll build AI

  There is no reason to build and AI duplicate of everybody,
  and there is no reason to single out me. So this is another
  appeal to coincidence.

 i've never said that and that's not the point. This AI could be
 duplicated and run in multiple instance when does she die ? when you
 pull the last plug of the last computer running it ? by pulling out
 all devices capable of running it ? by destroying the whole everything
 ?

 If you make a chain of assumptions --how willing people are to build
 AIs, how able they are, how long the universe will support such
 activities--
 then you can make the AI hypothesis look likely relative to those
 assumptions.
 But there is no necessity there. Anyone can evade the argument by
 rejecting the
 assumptions. It's basically just speculation.

The necessity is this... either it's possible or not possible at all,
if it's possible it will be done. Somewhere in some time in the
multi/universe.

 you must suppose
  either
  1) the end of the world before we do it
  2) or the never ever AI for unknown reason even if it is possible
  because the mind is a computational process
  3) or the mind is not a computational process (or in part but
  dependant on a non computational/non emulable process like an oracle
  or your substance for example)..

  Or 4) We build an AI and it isn;t me. Why shoudl it be? The odds
  are billions to one.

 I've never said that and it's not the point if it is you, me, Georges
 Bush or Popeye... it's about consciousness.

 Nothing follows for me if someone builds and AI of someone other than
 me.
 If I am never duplicated, I suffer from no indeterminacy, and no issue
 of many
 

Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread 1Z



On 13 Aug, 21:47, Quentin Anciaux [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 When the universe will end is '17 is prime' still true ?

 Me winning the lotery is a WR event... I play lotery, I do not win
 therefore no one wins... It's basically your argument about WR.

 2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:



  On 13 Aug, 21:05, Quentin Anciaux [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

   Sure, why one then ?

   It would be the smallest number that fits the facts.

  Which facts ?

  The observed ones.

 You're talking about the microscopic quantum world ?

All the facts.

  it is not simpler on the entity version of O's R, and it does 
  not
  fit the evidence because of the WR problem.

 Yes but I see 'real switch' problem as equally problematic in 
 front of
 the WR problem.

 I don't see that. You need to explain. Single-worlders can switch
 off WR's.

Yes by saying it's a no problem... I can say MW can switch off WR 
as
easily. But we just make a step back and forth.

That is no explanation. Single worlders -- and physical many
worlders--
get rid of WR universes by saying they do no exist at all.

Now: don't tell me *that* mathematical may worlders can do
the same, tell me how.

   By saying they exists but you're not in the class of observer capable
   of experiencing them (or experiencing them for a long stable period of
   time...),

   and as a RSSA proponents, next states probabilities are
   relative to current state... I could also say that you experience only
   one world/history (from your point of view of course) then speaking
   why you're not in these particular WR universes/histories is because
   you're not (it sounds like your 'do not exist at all' no ? :)

   A lot of complicated hypotheses have been put forward on the
   MMW side. What does that buy you? Ontological complexity combined
   with
   theoretical complexity.

  I see real complexity in asserting the single universe.

  Don't just see it, explain it.

 I already did, one universe put more constraint because of its unicity
 than infinitely many...

One universe is the smallest number that fits a naive subset of the
facts, such as the fact of my existence.

  No you devise this in 2 parts, I think only the abstract world 
  is
  ontologically primary.

  That is your conclusions. You cannot assume it in order to
  argue for it.

 I do not assume them.

 Then you need some other way of getting your multiple 
 instantiations.

Well I believe (note the word) that we (the mind) are a computation
and as such I believe in strong AI, such that we will do conscious
digital entities... Either these entities will be truly conscious 
(and
it is possible for them to be conscious as we have assume that
consciousness is a computational process) or they won't, if they 
won't
and never will be conscious, it is only possible if contrary to the
assumption, consciousness is not (only) a computational process. Now
if  consciousness is a computational process and we build an AI (I
don't see how we couldn't if consciousness is a computation, what
could prevent it ?) then here you are with multiple implementations.

And if we don't build an AI, here you are without them. (And with
computationalism still true, and without any subjective
indeterminacy).

   If it is a computation explain why we wouldn't with logical
   argument... if the world is not destroyed tomorrow and consciousness
   is a computational process then we'll build AI

   There is no reason to build and AI duplicate of everybody,
   and there is no reason to single out me. So this is another
   appeal to coincidence.

  i've never said that and that's not the point. This AI could be
  duplicated and run in multiple instance when does she die ? when you
  pull the last plug of the last computer running it ? by pulling out
  all devices capable of running it ? by destroying the whole everything
  ?

  If you make a chain of assumptions --how willing people are to build
  AIs, how able they are, how long the universe will support such
  activities--
  then you can make the AI hypothesis look likely relative to those
  assumptions.
  But there is no necessity there. Anyone can evade the argument by
  rejecting the
  assumptions. It's basically just speculation.

 The necessity is this... either it's possible or not possible at all,
 if it's possible it will be done. Somewhere in some time in the
 multi/universe.

That's circular. You need the multiple instantiations to support
the indeterminacy, which itself you need to support MW. So you cannot
appeal to MW to support it. (There is no clear evidence in favour of
or against an infinite
single universe either).

  you must suppose
   either
   1) the end of the world before we do it
   2) or the never ever AI for unknown reason even if it is possible
   because the mind is a 

Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread Brent Meeker

Quentin Anciaux wrote:
 2008/8/13 1Z [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

...
 No you devise this in 2 parts, I think only the abstract world is
 ontologically primary.
 That is your conclusions. You cannot assume it in order to
 argue for it.
 I do not assume them.
 Then you need some other way of getting your multiple instantiations.
 Well I believe (note the word) that we (the mind) are a computation
 and as such I believe in strong AI, such that we will do conscious
 digital entities... Either these entities will be truly conscious (and
 it is possible for them to be conscious as we have assume that
 consciousness is a computational process) or they won't, if they won't
 and never will be conscious, it is only possible if contrary to the
 assumption, consciousness is not (only) a computational process. Now
 if  consciousness is a computational process and we build an AI (I
 don't see how we couldn't if consciousness is a computation, what
 could prevent it ?) then here you are with multiple implementations.
 And if we don't build an AI, here you are without them. (And with
 computationalism still true, and without any subjective
 indeterminacy).
 If it is a computation explain why we wouldn't with logical
 argument... if the world is not destroyed tomorrow and consciousness
 is a computational process then we'll build AI

 There is no reason to build and AI duplicate of everybody,
 and there is no reason to single out me. So this is another
 appeal to coincidence.
 
 i've never said that and that's not the point. This AI could be
 duplicated and run in multiple instance when does she die ? when you
 pull the last plug of the last computer running it ? by pulling out
 all devices capable of running it ? by destroying the whole everything

I've been following this back-and-forth with interest.  The above leads to an 
interesting question which I will raise after a couple of background points. 
First, I don't think a conscious AI can exist independent of some environment 
of 
which it is conscious.  Of course this doesn't mean you can't create an AI 
which, like us, is conscious of this particular world. Second, I think a 
conscious AI must necessarily remember and learn.  A consequence of these two 
is 
that if you copy an AI the two copies will immediately start to diverge due to 
different experiences.  So the indeterminancy will immediately vanish.  There 
will be two different consciousnesses; which is perfectly ordinary except that 
they will share a lot of memories.  So what does this have to do with MMW?

Brent Meeker


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Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread Quentin Anciaux

2008/8/13 Brent Meeker [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 I've been following this back-and-forth with interest.  The above leads to an
 interesting question which I will raise after a couple of background points.
 First, I don't think a conscious AI can exist independent of some environment 
 of
 which it is conscious.  Of course this doesn't mean you can't create an AI
 which, like us, is conscious of this particular world.

Agreed.

 Second, I think a
 conscious AI must necessarily remember and learn.  A consequence of these two 
 is
 that if you copy an AI the two copies will immediately start to diverge due to
 different experiences.

If we can build an AI we control it and we can give to it input in
whatever way we like, even slowing it down, stopping it, dumping
memory, restore a copy, record input from the world to the AI,
(including clock time, etc) restore another copy and restart it 1 hour
later than the first restore and feed the recorded input data. The two
should do the same, it's a computation, it's deterministic. If they
diverge having the same input (and being the same program)  then there
is magic somewhere.

 So the indeterminancy will immediately vanish.

They can be the same as long as you which.

 There
 will be two different consciousnesses; which is perfectly ordinary except that
 they will share a lot of memories.  So what does this have to do with MMW?

What is the status of mind ?

 Brent Meeker


Regards,
Quentin Anciaux
-- 
All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.

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Re: Simplicity, the infinite and the everything (42x)

2008-08-13 Thread Brent Meeker

Quentin Anciaux wrote:
 2008/8/13 Brent Meeker [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 I've been following this back-and-forth with interest.  The above leads to an
 interesting question which I will raise after a couple of background points.
 First, I don't think a conscious AI can exist independent of some 
 environment of
 which it is conscious.  Of course this doesn't mean you can't create an AI
 which, like us, is conscious of this particular world.
 
 Agreed.
 
 Second, I think a
 conscious AI must necessarily remember and learn.  A consequence of these 
 two is
 that if you copy an AI the two copies will immediately start to diverge due 
 to
 different experiences.
 
 If we can build an AI we control it and we can give to it input in
 whatever way we like, even slowing it down, stopping it, dumping
 memory, restore a copy, record input from the world to the AI,
 (including clock time, etc) restore another copy and restart it 1 hour
 later than the first restore and feed the recorded input data. The two
 should do the same, it's a computation, it's deterministic. 

In principle we could create and artificial environment for two copies of the 
AI 
and keep them identical.  But then it's a metaphysical question as to whether 
there are two separate consciousness.  If consciousness is computation then 
same computation=same consciousness.  The usual form of duplication that 
Bruno postulates contemplates two copies at separate places in this world - in 
which case they do diverge immediately.

 If they
 diverge having the same input (and being the same program)  then there
 is magic somewhere.

Or quantum mechanical uncertainty.

Brent Meeker


 
 So the indeterminancy will immediately vanish.
 
 They can be the same as long as you which.
 
 There
 will be two different consciousnesses; which is perfectly ordinary except 
 that
 they will share a lot of memories.  So what does this have to do with MMW?
 
 What is the status of mind ?
 
 Brent Meeker

 
 Regards,
 Quentin Anciaux


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