[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 Majority Press Release 
 U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public Works 
 Contact:  MARC MORANO 202-224-5762, MATT DEMPSEY 202-224-9797

From TalkingPointsMemo.com:

Until a couple months ago, the [writer of this press release], Marc 
Marono, worked for [the very right-wing] CNSnews.com where he 
distinguished himself by using disgraced NASA crony George Deutsch to 
attack NASA scientist James Hansen. Deutsch...was the young Bush 
campaign flack who was sent over to NASA to censor scientific 
publications, made a splash when he instructed NASA scientists not to 
discuss the Big Bang without considering the topic from a religious 
perspective and then got bounced when it emerged that he'd lied about 
having a college degree. Earlier, Marono wrote [an article for 
CNSnews.com] questioning whether Rep. John Murtha (D-PA) may have 
faked the wounds for which he received two Purple Hearts.

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/008860.php

(CNSNews.com is an extremely right-wing news site
whose parent organization is the equally right-wing
Media Research Center, both founded by right-wing
zealot Brent Bozell III.)

 AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE  
snip







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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread Sal Sunshine
Another one of Shemp's unimpeachable sources.

Sal


On Jun 28, 2006, at 8:31 AM, authfriend wrote:

Until a couple months ago, the [writer of this press release], Marc 
Marono, worked for [the very right-wing] CNSnews.com where he 
distinguished himself by using disgraced NASA crony George Deutsch to 
attack NASA scientist James Hansen. Deutsch...was the young Bush 
campaign flack who was sent over to NASA to censor scientific 
publications

[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread new . morning
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk shempmcgurk@ 
 wrote:
 
  Majority Press Release 
  U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public Works 
  Contact:  MARC MORANO 202-224-5762, MATT DEMPSEY 202-224-9797
 
 From TalkingPointsMemo.com:
 
 Until a couple months ago, the [writer of this press release], Marc 
 Marono, worked for [the very right-wing] CNSnews.com where he 
 distinguished himself by using disgraced NASA crony George Deutsch to 
 attack NASA scientist James Hansen. Deutsch...was the young Bush 
 campaign flack who was sent over to NASA to censor scientific 
 publications, made a splash when he instructed NASA scientists not to 
 discuss the Big Bang without considering the topic from a religious 
 perspective and then got bounced when it emerged that he'd lied about 
 having a college degree. Earlier, Marono wrote [an article for 
 CNSnews.com] questioning whether Rep. John Murtha (D-PA) may have 
 faked the wounds for which he received two Purple Hearts.
 
 http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/008860.php
 
 (CNSNews.com is an extremely right-wing news site
 whose parent organization is the equally right-wing
 Media Research Center, both founded by right-wing
 zealot Brent Bozell III.)
 
  AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE  
 snip


Its good to know Mr. Marono's background (and I refrain from obvious
jokes based on his name -- because that would be insensitive and rude
:) ). And knowing his prior efforts of slanting and censorship
motivates the reader to be extra careful in reading his current material. 

Some might jump to the conclusion that his past makes his present
statements necessarily false (and for the record Judy did not say
this, or imply that she had made such a jump). 

To say ones past makes their  present statements necessarily false 
is a logical fallacy. Current statements must be refuted or accepted
on their own merits. However, a poor track record for a person's past
statements may raise red flags and motivate us to look more deeply.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread shempmcgurk
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk shempmcgurk@ 
 wrote:
 
  Majority Press Release 
  U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public Works 
  Contact:  MARC MORANO 202-224-5762, MATT DEMPSEY 202-224-9797
 
 From TalkingPointsMemo.com:
 
 Until a couple months ago, the [writer of this press release], 
Marc 
 Marono, worked for [the very right-wing] CNSnews.com where he 
 distinguished himself by using disgraced NASA crony George Deutsch 
to 
 attack NASA scientist James Hansen. Deutsch...was the young Bush 
 campaign flack who was sent over to NASA to censor scientific 
 publications, made a splash when he instructed NASA scientists not 
to 
 discuss the Big Bang without considering the topic from a 
religious 
 perspective and then got bounced when it emerged that he'd lied 
about 
 having a college degree. Earlier, Marono wrote [an article for 
 CNSnews.com] questioning whether Rep. John Murtha (D-PA) may have 
 faked the wounds for which he received two Purple Hearts.
 
 http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/008860.php
 
 (CNSNews.com is an extremely right-wing news site
 whose parent organization is the equally right-wing
 Media Research Center, both founded by right-wing
 zealot Brent Bozell III.)
 
  AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE  
 snip



Here's the article in question, Billie:

http://tinyurl.com/hmron

I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 contacted 
who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?

AND I'd like to know what the other 81 thought.  Wouldn't you?

AND I'd like to know how AP justifies the lead paragraph of the 
article -- The nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An 
Inconvenient Truth,' Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five 
stars for accuracy -- when the next paragraph tells us that only 19 
of 100 contacted were in a position to even say such a thing.

Tell me, Billie, do you think that was proper or fair of AP to lead 
with such a paragraph?






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread Patrick Gillam
The fact that Marono is a shill for entrenched 
interests is revealing, but that fact alone doesn't 
necessarily discredit his citations. They seem
to do that on their own.

For example, Richard S. Lindzen, the Alfred P. 
Sloan Professor of Atmospheric Science at MIT, 
says in his Wall Street Journal op-ed piece:

A general characteristic of Mr. Gore's approach 
is to assiduously ignore the fact that the earth 
and its climate are dynamic; they are always 
changing even without any external forcing. 

In fact, Gore spends a lot of time reviewing the 
dynamic nature of climate, all to the purpose of 
showing how strongly recent trends depart from 
anything seen in hundreds of thousands of years.

It seems that Lindzen's critique assiduously 
ignores what Gore is really saying.

Marono also cites Last week's National Academy 
of Sciences report dispelled Mann's often cited 
claims by reaffirming the existence of both the 
Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age. But 
Gore shows how those temperature anomalies are 
nowhere close to being as dramatic as what we're 
undergoing now. I don't see, looking at a graph 
of the data, how the hockey stick graph 
has been discredited.

Upon close examination, the critics Marono cites 
sound like the carping I see in newsgroups a lot, 
when a critic tries to discredit an entire argument 
by picking at a loose thread here or there.

--- authfriend posted:

 From TalkingPointsMemo.com:
 
 Until a couple months ago, the [writer of this press release], Marc 
 Marono, worked for [the very right-wing] CNSnews.com where he 
 distinguished himself by using disgraced NASA crony George Deutsch to 
 attack NASA scientist James Hansen. Deutsch...was the young Bush 
 campaign flack who was sent over to NASA to censor scientific 
 publications, made a splash when he instructed NASA scientists not to 
 discuss the Big Bang without considering the topic from a religious 
 perspective and then got bounced when it emerged that he'd lied about 
 having a college degree. Earlier, Marono wrote [an article for 
 CNSnews.com] questioning whether Rep. John Murtha (D-PA) may have 
 faked the wounds for which he received two Purple Hearts.
 
 http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/008860.php
 
 (CNSNews.com is an extremely right-wing news site
 whose parent organization is the equally right-wing
 Media Research Center, both founded by right-wing
 zealot Brent Bozell III.)
 
  AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE  
 snip








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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread Patrick Gillam
--- shempmcgurk wrote:

 Here's the article in question, Billie:
 
 http://tinyurl.com/hmron
 
 I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
 scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 contacted 
 who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?

Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article 
only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.

Those who have seen it had the same general impression...

Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, 
the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
shempmcgurk@ 
  wrote:
  
   Majority Press Release 
   U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public Works 
   Contact:  MARC MORANO 202-224-5762, MATT DEMPSEY 202-224-9797
  
  From TalkingPointsMemo.com:
  
  Until a couple months ago, the [writer of this press release], 
 Marc 
  Marono, worked for [the very right-wing] CNSnews.com where he 
  distinguished himself by using disgraced NASA crony George 
Deutsch 
 to 
  attack NASA scientist James Hansen. Deutsch...was the young Bush 
  campaign flack who was sent over to NASA to censor scientific 
  publications, made a splash when he instructed NASA scientists 
not 
 to 
  discuss the Big Bang without considering the topic from a 
 religious 
  perspective and then got bounced when it emerged that he'd lied 
 about 
  having a college degree. Earlier, Marono wrote [an article for 
  CNSnews.com] questioning whether Rep. John Murtha (D-PA) may have 
  faked the wounds for which he received two Purple Hearts.
  
  http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/008860.php
  
  (CNSNews.com is an extremely right-wing news site
  whose parent organization is the equally right-wing
  Media Research Center, both founded by right-wing
  zealot Brent Bozell III.)
  
   AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE  
  snip
 
 Here's the article in question, Billie:

Thank you, this is the AP article from which I already
posted a lengthy quote, along with the URL.  Guess you
must have missed it, huh?

 http://tinyurl.com/hmron
 
 I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
 scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 contacted 
 who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?

Not interested in what those who *haven't* seen the
movie or read the book think, actually (most of those
the AP contacted).  The 19 who gave their opinions to
AP had all seen the movie or read the book.

 AND I'd like to know what the other 81 thought.  Wouldn't you?

See above.

 AND I'd like to know how AP justifies the lead paragraph of the 
 article -- The nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An 
 Inconvenient Truth,' Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five 
 stars for accuracy -- when the next paragraph tells us that only 19 
 of 100 contacted were in a position to even say such a thing.

I don't believe it says ALL the nation's top climate
scientists..., does it now?

 Tell me, Billie, do you think that was proper or fair of AP to lead 
 with such a paragraph?

Unquestionably, as long as all 19 who responded to
the AP are legitimately considered to be among the
nation's top climate scientists.






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread shempmcgurk
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- shempmcgurk wrote:
 
  Here's the article in question, Billie:
  
  http://tinyurl.com/hmron
  
  I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
  scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 
contacted 
  who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?
 
 Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article 
 only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.
 
 Those who have seen it had the same general impression...
 
 Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, 
 the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.


In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient Truth,' 
Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for accuracy. ?







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- shempmcgurk wrote:
 
  Here's the article in question, Billie:
  
  http://tinyurl.com/hmron
  
  I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
  scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100
  contacted who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?
 
 Thanks for the link.

Did my earlier post quoting the same article and
providing a link to it not get posted?  It did appear
on the Web site, but neither you nor Shemp appears to
have seen it.

 I got the impression the article 
 only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.

Seen the movie and/or read the book, that's correct.

 Those who have seen it had the same general impression...
 
 Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, 
 the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.

Precisely.  AP said explicitly that *most* of those
they contacted had neither seen the movie nor read
the book.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread shempmcgurk
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Sal Sunshine [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 Another one of Shemp's unimpeachable sources.



...and you, Salvatore, are simply peachy...


 
 Sal
 
 
 On Jun 28, 2006, at 8:31 AM, authfriend wrote:
 
  Until a couple months ago, the [writer of this press release], Marc
  Marono, worked for [the very right-wing] CNSnews.com where he
  distinguished himself by using disgraced NASA crony George Deutsch 
to
  attack NASA scientist James Hansen. Deutsch...was the young Bush
  campaign flack who was sent over to NASA to censor scientific
  publications







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam 
 jpgillam@ wrote:
 
  --- shempmcgurk wrote:
  
   Here's the article in question, Billie:
   
   http://tinyurl.com/hmron
   
   I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
   scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 
 contacted 
   who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?
  
  Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article 
  only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.
  
  Those who have seen it had the same general impression...
  
  Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, 
  the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.
 
 In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
 movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
 nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient Truth,' 
 Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for accuracy. ?

Some of the nation's top climate scientists who
haven't seen Al Gore's documentary are giving it
low marks for accuracy.

Would that work better for you, Shemp?

In other words: If you're giving a movie or a book
marks for accuracy, it's *assumed* that you're among
those who have seen the movie or read the book.

AP could have written: Of the nation's top 100 climate
scientists who have seen Al Gore's documentary, all
give it five stars for accuracy.

Of course, that's what it *did* say if you read beyond
the first two paragraphs.






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
  shempmcgurk@ 
  wrote:
  
   Majority Press Release 
   U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public Works 
   Contact:  MARC MORANO 202-224-5762, MATT DEMPSEY 202-224-9797
snip
   AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE  
snip

 AND I'd like to know how AP justifies the lead paragraph of the 
 article -- The nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An 
 Inconvenient Truth,' Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five 
 stars for accuracy -- when the next paragraph tells us that only 19 
 of 100 contacted were in a position to even say such a thing.
 
 Tell me, Billie, do you think that was proper or fair of AP to lead 
 with such a paragraph?

(Sometimes right-wing hypocrisy is *so* outrageous,
it goes right by me.)

Tell me, McGoo, do you think it was proper or fair of
the U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public
Works to give that title to its press release?







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread new . morning
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam 
 jpgillam@ wrote:
 
  --- shempmcgurk wrote:
  
   Here's the article in question, Billie:
   
   http://tinyurl.com/hmron
   
   I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
   scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 
 contacted 
   who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?
  
  Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article 
  only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.
  
  Those who have seen it had the same general impression...
  
  Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, 
  the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.
 
 
 In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
 movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
 nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient Truth,' 
 Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for accuracy. ?

Actually, quite emphatically yes.

Actually a sample size of 19% is quite a substantial and meaningful
sample. Often, quite valid samples, are 1% of the relevant
population (sample space).

Granted, this was sort of a backwards and not random sample. Its not
the same as drawing a random sample of the 100 and having then go see
the movie. Those 19 out of 100 who went to see the firm on their own 
might have some self-selective bias. 

Yet, 19/100 is such a large sample, this group of 19 (or a strong
majority of it, say 12 of the 19, would apppear in a majority of all
possible random samples of 19/100. Thus, its a pretty strong valid
indicator of the views of the group. That is, the probablity of the
views of the sample being very different than the views of the
population is quite small.






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread new . morning
Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam
 jpgillam@ wrote:
 
  --- shempmcgurk wrote:
  
   Here's the article in question, Billie:
  
   http://tinyurl.com/hmron
  
   I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top
   scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100
 contacted
   who had seen the movie or read the book. Wouldn't you?
 
  Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article
  only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.
 
  Those who have seen it had the same general impression...
 
  Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise,
  the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.
 

 In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the
 movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The
 nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient Truth,'
 Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for accuracy. ?

Actually, quite emphatically yes.

Actually a sample size of 19% is quite a substantial and meaningful
sample. Often, quite valid samples, are 1% of the relevant
population (sample space).

Granted, this was sort of a backwards and not random sample. Its not
the same as drawing a random sample of the 100 and having then go see
the movie. Those 19 out of 100 who went to see the firm on their own
might have some self-selective bias.

Yet, 19/100 is such a large sample, it sheer size most porbably
overcomes potential self-selective bias.

On an alternative track, I believe one could show that a significant
portion of this group of 19 would apppear significantly in all
possible random samples of 19/100. 

Either way, its a pretty strong valid indicator of the views of the
group. That is, the probablity of the views of the sample being very
different than the views of the population is small.









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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread new . morning
Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam
 jpgillam@ wrote:
 
  --- shempmcgurk wrote:
  
   Here's the article in question, Billie:
  
   http://tinyurl.com/hmron
  
   I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top
   scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100
 contacted
   who had seen the movie or read the book. Wouldn't you?
 
  Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article
  only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.
 
  Those who have seen it had the same general impression...
 
  Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise,
  the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.
 

 In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the
 movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The
 nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient Truth,'
 Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for accuracy. ?

Actually, quite emphatically yes.

Actually a sample size of 19% is quite a substantial and meaningful
sample. Often, quite valid samples, are 1% of the relevant
population (sample space).

Granted, this was sort of a backwards and not random sample. Its not
the same as drawing a random sample of the 100 and having then go see
the movie. Those 19 out of 100 who went to see the film on their own
might have some self-selective bias.

Yet, 19/100 is such a large sample, it sheer size most probably
overcomes potential self-selective bias.

On an alternative track, I believe one could show that a significant
portion of this group of 19 would apppear significantly in all
possible random samples of 19/100.

Either way, its a pretty strong valid indicator of the views of the
group. That is, the probablity of the views of the sample being very
different than the views of the population is small.








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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread Bhairitu
shempmcgurk wrote:

--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  

--- shempmcgurk wrote:


Here's the article in question, Billie:

http://tinyurl.com/hmron

I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 
  

contacted 
  

who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?
  

Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article 
only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.

Those who have seen it had the same general impression...

Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, 
the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.




In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient Truth,' 
Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for accuracy. ?

So Shemp, you've seen the film?  I'm sure you wouldn't be one of these 
people criticizing without having seen it?



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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread new . morning

 shempmcgurk wrote:
 In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
 movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
 nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient Truth,' 
 Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for accuracy. ?

I am not sure I yet understand what occurred. 

There are clearly more than 100 climate scientists in the US / world.
I have heard the figure 10,000 used. Though perhaps not explicitly
stated in the article, its strongly implied that these 100 scientists
contacted were a sample of the 10,000 (or so) qualified scientists.
Probably a reasonable sample size. Hopefully the list was drawn in a
random fashion. At a minumum, I presume no one has pointed to any
extreme biases in the sample.

That 19 of the 100 in the sample responded is pretty typical. Most
research, marketing and political samples have high non-respondent
rates. Its an issue, but not an unsurmountable problem. Particllary if
the sample size was targeted at being larger than necessary, to
account for non-respondents.

Did all 19 that did respond support Gore's main points? If so, thats
phenomenal. To have 100% of a sample (respondents) supporting the same
view, indicates a high degree of concensus among the larger population
of 10,000 (or so). Very little divergence (low sigman, low standard
deviation from the population mean.) 












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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread shempmcgurk
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Bhairitu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 shempmcgurk wrote:
 
 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam 
 jpgillam@ wrote:
   
 
 --- shempmcgurk wrote:
 
 
 Here's the article in question, Billie:
 
 http://tinyurl.com/hmron
 
 I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
 scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 
   
 
 contacted 
   
 
 who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?
   
 
 Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article 
 only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.
 
 Those who have seen it had the same general impression...
 
 Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, 
 the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.
 
 
 
 
 In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
 movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
 nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient 
Truth,' 
 Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for 
accuracy. ?
 
 So Shemp, you've seen the film?  I'm sure you wouldn't be one of 
these 
 people criticizing without having seen it?


I haven't seen it not do I intend to. 

But that's not what my post was about: it was about the response to 
it by the scientists and the reporting of the response.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

  shempmcgurk wrote:
  In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
  movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
  nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient 
  Truth,' Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for 
  accuracy. ?
 
 I am not sure I yet understand what occurred.

Why don't you read the article?

 There are clearly more than 100 climate scientists in the US /
 world.

However, not all of the climate scientists in the
U.S. (not the world--the nation refers to the
U.S. specifically) would be considered the *top*
climate scientists, you see.

 I have heard the figure 10,000 used. Though perhaps not explicitly
 stated in the article, its strongly implied that these 100 
 scientists contacted were a sample of the 10,000 (or so) qualified 
 scientists.

No, actually what was implied was that these 100
were the *top 100* climate scientists in the U.S.

The question you want to be asking, I think, is,
Who decided which were the top 100?

 That 19 of the 100 in the sample responded is pretty typical. Most
 research, marketing and political samples have high non-respondent
 rates. Its an issue, but not an unsurmountable problem. Particllary 
 if the sample size was targeted at being larger than necessary, to
 account for non-respondents.

Actually, if you read the article, what you'll find
is that AP doesn't specify how many of the 100
responded.  The 19 cited are those who had either read
the book or seen the movie and were willing to comment
to AP; AP didn't consider any other responses.  It
*does* say (if you read the article) that *most* of the
scientists it contacted had *not* read the book or seen
the movie.

So it wasn't that 81 of the 100 scientists didn't
respond, but that only 19 of the respondees were
qualified to comment.

 Did all 19 that did respond support Gore's main points?

Again, it's not all who responded, but all who had
seen the movie or read the book and were willing to
comment to AP (19 in number).

Of the 19 who had seen the movie or read the book and
were willing to comment, all, according to AP, were in
agreement that Gore had made no serious mistakes in
the science.






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread shempmcgurk
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 
  shempmcgurk wrote:
  In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
  movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
  nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient 
Truth,' 
  Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for 
accuracy. ?
 
 I am not sure I yet understand what occurred. 
 
 There are clearly more than 100 climate scientists in the US / 
world.
 I have heard the figure 10,000 used. Though perhaps not explicitly
 stated in the article, its strongly implied that these 100 
scientists
 contacted were a sample of the 10,000 (or so) qualified scientists.
 Probably a reasonable sample size. Hopefully the list was drawn in 
a
 random fashion. At a minumum, I presume no one has pointed to any
 extreme biases in the sample.
 
 That 19 of the 100 in the sample responded is pretty typical. Most
 research, marketing and political samples have high non-respondent
 rates. Its an issue, but not an unsurmountable problem. 
Particllary if
 the sample size was targeted at being larger than necessary, to
 account for non-respondents.


The movie's only been out a few weeks.

I wonder whether the 19 who did see it were predisposed to Gore's 
point of view. To give an extreme example: Star War fans are more 
likely to be the first to go see a new installment of the franchise.

So perhaps the 19 are NOT as unbiased a sampling as we would like to 
have...

 
 Did all 19 that did respond support Gore's main points? If so, 
thats
 phenomenal. To have 100% of a sample (respondents) supporting the 
same
 view, indicates a high degree of concensus among the larger 
population
 of 10,000 (or so). Very little divergence (low sigman, low standard
 deviation from the population mean.)







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread shempmcgurk
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam jpgillam@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- shempmcgurk wrote:
  
   Here's the article in question, Billie:
   
   http://tinyurl.com/hmron
   
   I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
   scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100
   contacted who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't 
you?
  
  Thanks for the link.
 
 Did my earlier post quoting the same article and
 providing a link to it not get posted?  It did appear
 on the Web site, but neither you nor Shemp appears to
 have seen it.



I'm having alot of trouble navigating around this new Yahoo! 
format.  I completely missed an important post by new.morning on tax 
and only responded to it much later than I would have liked to.



 
  I got the impression the article 
  only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.
 
 Seen the movie and/or read the book, that's correct.
 
  Those who have seen it had the same general impression...
  
  Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, 
  the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.
 
 Precisely.  AP said explicitly that *most* of those
 they contacted had neither seen the movie nor read
 the book.








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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread shempmcgurk
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk shempmcgurk@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam 
  jpgillam@ wrote:
  
   --- shempmcgurk wrote:
   
Here's the article in question, Billie:

http://tinyurl.com/hmron

I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 
  contacted 
who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?
   
   Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article 
   only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.
   
   Those who have seen it had the same general impression...
   
   Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, 
   the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.
  
  In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
  movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
  nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient 
Truth,' 
  Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for 
accuracy. ?
 
 Some of the nation's top climate scientists who
 haven't seen Al Gore's documentary are giving it
 low marks for accuracy.
 
 Would that work better for you, Shemp?


Yes, that would have been alot more accurate.


 
 In other words: If you're giving a movie or a book
 marks for accuracy, it's *assumed* that you're among
 those who have seen the movie or read the book.
 
 AP could have written: Of the nation's top 100 climate
 scientists who have seen Al Gore's documentary, all
 give it five stars for accuracy.
 
 Of course, that's what it *did* say if you read beyond
 the first two paragraphs.


...but that's precisely my point: it is my understanding that the 
first paragraph, in particular of a news item, is supposed to fairly 
represent the entire article.  You're an editor...is this not true?

And that first paragraph did NOT accurately reflect what was written 
in the rest of the article (aside from the fact that the 19 probably 
did NOT all say that they gave it five stars for accuracy...but 
that's another issue).






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning no_reply@ 
 wrote:
 
  
   shempmcgurk wrote:
   In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen 
the 
   movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
   nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient 
 Truth,' 
   Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for 
 accuracy. ?
  
  I am not sure I yet understand what occurred. 
  
  There are clearly more than 100 climate scientists in the US / 
 world.
  I have heard the figure 10,000 used. Though perhaps not explicitly
  stated in the article, its strongly implied that these 100 
 scientists
  contacted were a sample of the 10,000 (or so) qualified 
scientists.
  Probably a reasonable sample size. Hopefully the list was drawn 
in 
 a
  random fashion. At a minumum, I presume no one has pointed to any
  extreme biases in the sample.
  
  That 19 of the 100 in the sample responded is pretty typical. Most
  research, marketing and political samples have high non-respondent
  rates. Its an issue, but not an unsurmountable problem. 
 Particllary if
  the sample size was targeted at being larger than necessary, to
  account for non-respondents.
 
 The movie's only been out a few weeks.
 
 I wonder whether the 19 who did see it were predisposed to Gore's 
 point of view. To give an extreme example: Star War fans are more 
 likely to be the first to go see a new installment of the franchise.

That's an extreme example and not parallel in many ways.

If you were a climate scientist who did not agree
with the general consensus on global warming, and
were concerned about how well the public was being
informed, you would of course want to see the movie
or read the book so you could debunk it.

Unless, of course, you didn't want to have your own
viewpoint threatened.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread shempmcgurk
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 
  shempmcgurk wrote:
  In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
  movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
  nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient 
Truth,' 
  Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for 
accuracy. ?
 
 I am not sure I yet understand what occurred. 
 
 There are clearly more than 100 climate scientists in the US / 
world.
 I have heard the figure 10,000 used. Though perhaps not explicitly
 stated in the article, its strongly implied that these 100 
scientists
 contacted were a sample of the 10,000 (or so) qualified scientists.
 Probably a reasonable sample size. Hopefully the list was drawn in 
a
 random fashion. At a minumum, I presume no one has pointed to any
 extreme biases in the sample.
 
 That 19 of the 100 in the sample responded is pretty typical. Most
 research, marketing and political samples have high non-respondent
 rates. Its an issue, but not an unsurmountable problem. 
Particllary if
 the sample size was targeted at being larger than necessary, to
 account for non-respondents.
 
 Did all 19 that did respond support Gore's main points? If so, 
thats
 phenomenal. To have 100% of a sample (respondents) supporting the 
same
 view, indicates a high degree of concensus among the larger 
population
 of 10,000 (or so). Very little divergence (low sigman, low standard
 deviation from the population mean.)


Your questions above sound similar to what the GOP writer's of that 
majority report wanted to know.

And I'd like to know it, too.





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
shempmcgurk@ 
  wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam 
   jpgillam@ wrote:
   
--- shempmcgurk wrote:

 Here's the article in question, Billie:
 
 http://tinyurl.com/hmron
 
 I, for one, would indeed like to know what the 
nation's top 
 scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 
   contacted 
 who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?

Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article 
only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.

Those who have seen it had the same general impression...

Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, 
the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.
   
   In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
   movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
   nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient
   Truth,' Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for 
   accuracy. ?
  
  Some of the nation's top climate scientists who
  haven't seen Al Gore's documentary are giving it
  low marks for accuracy.
  
  Would that work better for you, Shemp?
 
 Yes, that would have been alot more accurate.

And you would take the opinion of the movie's
accuracy of those who hadn't seen the movie as
perfectly valid, right, Shemp?

  In other words: If you're giving a movie or a book
  marks for accuracy, it's *assumed* that you're among
  those who have seen the movie or read the book.
  
  AP could have written: Of the nation's top 100 climate
  scientists who have seen Al Gore's documentary, all
  give it five stars for accuracy.
  
  Of course, that's what it *did* say if you read beyond
  the first two paragraphs.
 
 ...but that's precisely my point: it is my understanding that the 
 first paragraph, in particular of a news item, is supposed to 
 fairly represent the entire article.  You're an editor...is this 
 not true?

That's true, and in fact it does.
 
 And that first paragraph did NOT accurately reflect what was
 written in the rest of the article

Sure it did.  The other top climate scientists who
commented hadn't seen it, so their opinions aren't
significant.


 (aside from the fact that the 19 probably 
 did NOT all say that they gave it five stars for accuracy...but 
 that's another issue).







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread shempmcgurk
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk shempmcgurk@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
  wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
   shempmcgurk@ 
   wrote:
   
Majority Press Release 
U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public Works 
Contact:  MARC MORANO 202-224-5762, MATT DEMPSEY 202-224-9797
 snip
AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE  
 snip
 
  AND I'd like to know how AP justifies the lead paragraph of the 
  article -- The nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An 
  Inconvenient Truth,' Al Gore's documentary on global warming, 
five 
  stars for accuracy -- when the next paragraph tells us that only 
19 
  of 100 contacted were in a position to even say such a thing.
  
  Tell me, Billie, do you think that was proper or fair of AP to 
lead 
  with such a paragraph?
 
 (Sometimes right-wing hypocrisy is *so* outrageous,
 it goes right by me.)
 
 Tell me, McGoo, do you think it was proper or fair of
 the U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public
 Works to give that title to its press release?



I think it was subtitled majority report (sorry, but I am having 
SO much trouble navigating around the forum I can't quickly find the 
original post to confirm the exact words) and, as such, it is 
partisan in nature so, yes, is the answer.






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning no_reply@ 
 wrote:
 
  
   shempmcgurk wrote:
   In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen 
the 
   movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
   nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient 
 Truth,' 
   Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for 
 accuracy. ?
  
  I am not sure I yet understand what occurred. 
  
  There are clearly more than 100 climate scientists in the US / 
 world.
  I have heard the figure 10,000 used. Though perhaps not explicitly
  stated in the article, its strongly implied that these 100 
 scientists
  contacted were a sample of the 10,000 (or so) qualified 
scientists.
  Probably a reasonable sample size. Hopefully the list was drawn 
in 
 a
  random fashion. At a minumum, I presume no one has pointed to any
  extreme biases in the sample.
  
  That 19 of the 100 in the sample responded is pretty typical. Most
  research, marketing and political samples have high non-respondent
  rates. Its an issue, but not an unsurmountable problem. 
 Particllary if
  the sample size was targeted at being larger than necessary, to
  account for non-respondents.
  
  Did all 19 that did respond support Gore's main points? If so, 
 thats
  phenomenal. To have 100% of a sample (respondents) supporting the 
 same
  view, indicates a high degree of concensus among the larger 
 population
  of 10,000 (or so). Very little divergence (low sigman, low 
standard
  deviation from the population mean.)
 
 Your questions above sound similar to what the GOP writer's of that 
 majority report wanted to know.

Which majority report was that, Shemp?

 And I'd like to know it, too.

Of course, new.morning's questions are based on a
misunderstanding of how the survey was conducted, so
they aren't valid.  But I'm sure that's exactly the
kinds of questions those reflexively opposed to the
consensus view on global warming would attempt to
raise, in order to confuse the issue as much as
possible.






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Re: [FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread Bhairitu
shempmcgurk wrote:

--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Bhairitu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  

shempmcgurk wrote:



--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, Patrick Gillam 
jpgillam@ wrote:
 

  

--- shempmcgurk wrote:
   



Here's the article in question, Billie:

http://tinyurl.com/hmron

I, for one, would indeed like to know what the nation's top 
scientists thought of the movie...not JUST the 19 of 100 
 

  

contacted 
 

  

who had seen the movie or read the book.  Wouldn't you?
 

  

Thanks for the link. I got the impression the article 
only gathered impressions from those who had seen the movie.

Those who have seen it had the same general impression...

Many had not seen the movie, hence, I would surmise, 
the relatively low number of citations vs. contacts.

   



In light of the fact that only 19 of 100 contacted had seen the 
movie, do you think it was fair of the AP to lead with: The 
nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An Inconvenient 
  

Truth,' 
  

Al Gore's documentary on global warming, five stars for 
  

accuracy. ?
  

So Shemp, you've seen the film?  I'm sure you wouldn't be one of 


these 
  

people criticizing without having seen it?




I haven't seen it not do I intend to. 

But that's not what my post was about: it was about the response to 
it by the scientists and the reporting of the response. 

Then you don't know for sure what they're talking about do you?

Do you like eggs that much? :-D




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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
shempmcgurk@ 
  wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
   wrote:
   
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
shempmcgurk@ 
wrote:

 Majority Press Release 
 U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public Works 
 Contact:  MARC MORANO 202-224-5762, MATT DEMPSEY 202-224-
9797
  snip
 AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE  
  snip
  
   AND I'd like to know how AP justifies the lead paragraph of the 
   article -- The nation's top climate scientists are giving 'An 
   Inconvenient Truth,' Al Gore's documentary on global warming, 
 five 
   stars for accuracy -- when the next paragraph tells us that 
only 
 19 
   of 100 contacted were in a position to even say such a thing.
   
   Tell me, Billie, do you think that was proper or fair of AP to
   lead with such a paragraph?
  
  (Sometimes right-wing hypocrisy is *so* outrageous,
  it goes right by me.)
  
  Tell me, McGoo, do you think it was proper or fair of
  the U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public
  Works to give that title to its press release?
 
 I think it was subtitled majority report (sorry, but I am having 
 SO much trouble navigating around the forum I can't quickly find 
 the original post to confirm the exact words) and, as such, it is 
 partisan in nature so, yes, is the answer.

Irrelevant.  It's misrepresentational.  Look at it again:

AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread shempmcgurk
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk shempmcgurk@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
  wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
 shempmcgurk@ 
   wrote:
   
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
 shempmcgurk@ 
 wrote:
 
  Majority Press Release 
  U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public 
Works 
  Contact:  MARC MORANO 202-224-5762, MATT DEMPSEY 202-224-
 9797
   snip
  AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE  
   snip
   
AND I'd like to know how AP justifies the lead paragraph of 
the 
article -- The nation's top climate scientists are 
giving 'An 
Inconvenient Truth,' Al Gore's documentary on global 
warming, 
  five 
stars for accuracy -- when the next paragraph tells us that 
 only 
  19 
of 100 contacted were in a position to even say such a thing.

Tell me, Billie, do you think that was proper or fair of AP 
to
lead with such a paragraph?
   
   (Sometimes right-wing hypocrisy is *so* outrageous,
   it goes right by me.)
   
   Tell me, McGoo, do you think it was proper or fair of
   the U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public
   Works to give that title to its press release?
  
  I think it was subtitled majority report (sorry, but I am 
having 
  SO much trouble navigating around the forum I can't quickly find 
  the original post to confirm the exact words) and, as such, it 
is 
  partisan in nature so, yes, is the answer.
 
 Irrelevant.  It's misrepresentational.  Look at it again:
 
 AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE



...and in their first -- and most important paragraph -- the AP did 
incorrectly make that claim.













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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
shempmcgurk@ 
  wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
   wrote:
   
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
  shempmcgurk@ 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend 
jstein@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
  shempmcgurk@ 
  wrote:
  
   Majority Press Release 
   U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public 
 Works 
   Contact:  MARC MORANO 202-224-5762, MATT DEMPSEY 202-
224-
  9797
snip
   AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE  
snip

 AND I'd like to know how AP justifies the lead paragraph of 
 the 
 article -- The nation's top climate scientists are 
 giving 'An 
 Inconvenient Truth,' Al Gore's documentary on global 
 warming, 
   five 
 stars for accuracy -- when the next paragraph tells us that 
  only 
   19 
 of 100 contacted were in a position to even say such a 
thing.
 
 Tell me, Billie, do you think that was proper or fair of AP 
 to
 lead with such a paragraph?

(Sometimes right-wing hypocrisy is *so* outrageous,
it goes right by me.)

Tell me, McGoo, do you think it was proper or fair of
the U.S. Senate Committee on the Environment and Public
Works to give that title to its press release?
   
   I think it was subtitled majority report (sorry, but I am 
 having 
   SO much trouble navigating around the forum I can't quickly 
find 
   the original post to confirm the exact words) and, as such, it 
 is 
   partisan in nature so, yes, is the answer.
  
  Irrelevant.  It's misrepresentational.  Look at it again:
  
  AP INCORRECTLY CLAIMS SCIENTISTS PRAISE GORE'S MOVIE
 
 ...and in their first -- and most important paragraph -- the AP did 
 incorrectly make that claim.

Not incorrectly, Shemp.  You saw the quotes.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread new . morning
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
 wrote:
  
 I'm having alot of trouble navigating around this new Yahoo! 
 format.  I completely missed an important post by new.morning on tax 
 and only responded to it much later than I would have liked to.
 
Thanks for your reply, btw. I didn't know about the IRA rules





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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk shempmcgurk@
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
  wrote:
   
  I'm having alot of trouble navigating around this new Yahoo! 
  format.  I completely missed an important post by new.morning on
  tax and only responded to it much later than I would have liked to.

BTW, Shemp wrote the above, not me.

 Thanks for your reply, btw. I didn't know about the IRA rules







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread new . morning
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk shempmcgurk@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning no_reply@ 
  wrote:
 
 Of course, new.morning's questions are based on a
 misunderstanding of how the survey was conducted,

Since you are a stickler for correctness, I did not misunderstand how
the survey was conducted. It appears to have been a telephone or
e-mail survey and I am familiar their hows -- and have been involved
with such. But I believed I knew what you meant, which is that I
misunderstood -- actually misassumed -- that the 100 was sampling of
the larger population of climate experts. 

 so
 they aren't valid.  

I don't have my questions in front of me, but I as I recall them, they
are valid regardless of my assumptions of whether the survey was a
sample of all climate experts, or a total polling of the so called
top 100. 

Frankly, on the latter point, I don't think a valid top 100 list could
well be constructed -- such lists typically are much more a political
prestige, lobbying thing. So regardless, I would take 100 'known, have
a publicist, are on a contact for quotes list'-- type climate
scientists as a sample of a larger group of competent climate
scientists in many fields who actually make up the day to day findings
of climate science -- and whose broader representation, IMO, is
necessary to see where the field actually stands. 

Ideally, lots of supporting data on each scientist in the sample would
be highly insightful to allow breaking down the sample via cross-tabs
on and regressions including information on who they recieve funding
from, how many lead and other authorships of relevant papers in the
fieled they have published, the caliber of such journals, their
education, current university or reserch affiliation, current research
budgets for which they have direct management, etc. This would allow
one to break down the concensus(es) among the real movers and shakers
who are not funded by strongly biased sourses.

But I'm sure that's exactly the
 kinds of questions those reflexively opposed to the
 consensus view on global warming would attempt to
 raise, in order to confuse the issue as much as
 possible.

And as my example testifies, that's ALSO exactly the kinds of
questions asked by those who support the consensus view on global
warming, and have since working on the issue professional in 1990-92.
And I raised such, without partisian intent, but to gain understand.
Ironically, the points I raised, in my view, subject to further
clarification of the sample, minimized shemps POV that the AP story
was misleading.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread new . morning
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning no_reply@ wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk shempmcgurk@
  wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
   wrote:

   I'm having alot of trouble navigating around this new Yahoo! 
   format.  I completely missed an important post by new.morning on
   tax and only responded to it much later than I would have liked to.
 
 BTW, Shemp wrote the above, not me.
 
  Thanks for your reply, btw. I didn't know about the IRA rules

Yes, i am fully aware of that. Apologies for not deleting your name
from the header. Sometimes in a block of names, non-relevant ones slip
through.






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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
shempmcgurk@ 
  wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning no_reply@ 
   wrote:
  
  Of course, new.morning's questions are based on a
  misunderstanding of how the survey was conducted,
 
 Since you are a stickler for correctness, I did not misunderstand 
 how the survey was conducted.

LOL!  Sure you did.  You assumed the 100 scientists they
attempted to contact were a (hopefully random) sample
of all the climate scientists in the US/world, first
of all, rather than somebody's list of the 100 *top*
climate scientists in the U.S.

Then you assumed the 19 scientists cited were the only
respondents to the survey out of that 100, rather than
the only respondents who had seen the movie or read the
book.

snip
 I don't have my questions in front of me, but I as I recall them, 
 they are valid regardless of my assumptions of whether the survey 
 was a sample of all climate experts, or a total polling of the so 
 called top 100.

See #2 above.

 Frankly, on the latter point, I don't think a valid top 100 list 
 could well be constructed

Right.  As I said (did you miss it?):  The question you
*want* to be asking is, Who decides which are the 100 top
climate scientists in the U.S.?

snip
 But I'm sure that's exactly the
  kinds of questions those reflexively opposed to the
  consensus view on global warming would attempt to
  raise, in order to confuse the issue as much as
  possible.
 
 And as my example testifies, that's ALSO exactly the kinds of
 questions asked by those who support the consensus view on global
 warming, and have since working on the issue professional in 1990-
 92.

But not about *this* survey.

 And I raised such, without partisian intent, but to gain understand.

Of course.  Those I was referring to, unlike you, would
be misrepresenting the relevant questions deliberately.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread authfriend
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning no_reply@ 
wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
shempmcgurk@
   wrote:
   
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ 
wrote:
 
I'm having alot of trouble navigating around this new Yahoo! 
format.  I completely missed an important post by new.morning 
on
tax and only responded to it much later than I would have 
liked to.
  
  BTW, Shemp wrote the above, not me.
  
   Thanks for your reply, btw. I didn't know about the IRA rules
 
 Yes, i am fully aware of that. Apologies for not deleting your name
 from the header. Sometimes in a block of names, non-relevant ones
 slip through.

I know, it's easy to do.  No problem.  Just stating for
the record.







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[FairfieldLife] Re: Fear-monger Gore's wacky science debunked

2006-06-28 Thread new . morning
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning no_reply@ 
 wrote:
 
  --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, authfriend jstein@ wrote:
  
   --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, shempmcgurk 
 shempmcgurk@ 
   wrote:
   
--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, new.morning no_reply@ 
wrote:
   
   Of course, new.morning's questions are based on a
   misunderstanding of how the survey was conducted,
  
  Since you are a stickler for correctness, I did not misunderstand 
  how the survey was conducted.
 
 LOL!  Sure you did.  You assumed the 100 scientists they
 attempted to contact were a (hopefully random) sample
 of all the climate scientists in the US/world, first
 of all, rather than somebody's list of the 100 *top*
 climate scientists in the U.S.

Your lack of precision surprises me. I said how the survey was
conducted. Apparently you are not aware of the distinction of
conducting a survey, operative word conducting,  and the preceeding
steps -- sample design, etc.

Anyway, I was simply offering you some feedback on a subtle point of 
imprecision. If you don't care to understand it, Ok. Its not a point
of argument.
 

 
 snip
  But I'm sure that's exactly the
   kinds of questions those reflexively opposed to the
   consensus view on global warming would attempt to
   raise, in order to confuse the issue as much as
   possible.
  
  And as my example testifies, that's ALSO exactly the kinds of
  questions asked by those who support the consensus view on global
  warming, and have since working on the issue professional in 1990-
  92.
 
 But not about *this* survey.

??? 
 
  And I raised such, without partisian intent, but to gain understand.
 
 Of course.  Those I was referring to, unlike you, would
 be misrepresenting the relevant questions deliberately.

Ok. Just clarifying my response was not knee-jerk reflexive. Not that
it matters. Just pointing out, in a well-intentioned  feedback sort of
way, Those reflexively opposed to the ... was not clear if you were
including me in that group -- having just referenced me in your post.
Ne way, its just feedback, not argumentation. Take it or leave it as
suits you.












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