[EM] A few methods that pass, and a few methods that fail CD

2012-10-19 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Kristofer: > A few methods that pass CD: > > ICT > Symmetrical ICT > MMPO > MDDTR > > A few methods that fail CD: > > Beatpath, RP, Kemeny, VoteFair, MinMax(wv) and apparently all > traditional unimproved Condorcet versions. > > Approval and Score don't pass CD either. But, as I said before, it's

[EM] A few methods that pass, and a few methods that fail CD

2012-10-18 Thread Michael Ossipoff
A few methods that pass CD: ICT Symmetrical ICT MMPO MDDTR A few methods that fail CD: Beatpath, RP, Kemeny, VoteFair, MinMax(wv) and apparently all traditional unimproved Condorcet versions. Approval and Score don't pass CD either. But, as I said before, it's so easy to automatically avoid the

[EM] The Chicken Dilemma Criterion (CD)

2012-10-17 Thread Michael Ossipoff
This is almost identical with the final version of CD that I posted before, at EM. At that time, I meant "CD" to stand for "Co-operation/Defection". But it was pointed out that "Chicken-Dilemma is the accepted name for the problem. Also (and I knew this at the time, but missed its importance), the

[EM] An omission in my EM posting about Symmetrical ICT

2012-10-17 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Though it was by accident that I posted my Electowiki Symmetrical ICT revision to EM, still, having done so, I should also post to EM what was missing from the version that I posted to EM. In that version, I left out the very thing that was needed to make Symmetrical ICT work as intended: After th

Re: [EM] Symmetrical ICT can work as intended, and meet Later-No-Help.

2012-10-12 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Fri, Oct 12, 2012 at 9:09 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote: > > > 2012/10/12 Michael Ossipoff >> >> It's easily fixed. >> >> To the definition, after the line >> >> X beats Y iff (X>Y) + (X=Y)B > (Y>X) + (X=Y)T... >> >> insert:

[EM] Voting systems for other societies, electorates and choices

2012-10-07 Thread Michael Ossipoff
We've discussed this before, but I'd like to comment on it again: -- Ideal Society with completely honest voters: Try to satisfy Rawls' standard. Score balloting. Instruct voters to rate the candidates propor

Re: [EM] 3 or more choices - Condorcet

2012-10-05 Thread Michael Ossipoff
>He determines how often strategy (of any kind) works for the > voters engaged in the strategy In academic writing, there's a popular fallacy that strategy is a bane, something to be thwarted. Academics don't seem to get that strategy is an inherent part of voting. Yes, it's desirable that certa

Re: [EM] Let's clear up some confusion

2012-10-04 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Thu, Oct 4, 2012 at 6:51 PM, Juho Laatu wrote: > On 4.10.2012, at 23.53, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > >>> I think you recommended Symmetrical ICT for informational polling. I guess >>> you like and trust it within that framework. >> >> I like and trust Sy

Re: [EM] Let's clear up some confusion

2012-10-04 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Thu, Oct 4, 2012 at 3:24 PM, Juho Laatu wrote: > On 4.10.2012, at 16.18, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > >> You said: >> >> Maybe you don't worry about recommending voters to turn strategic in >> Condorcet elections since you don't like (or trus

[EM] Another question for Strong Condorcet advocates

2012-10-04 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Is before, with Strong Condorcet vs Symmetrical ICT, I'm going to list some disadvantages of Strong Condorcet in comparison to Approval and Score. Then I'll ask what redeeming advantages Strong Condorcet has, to outweigh those disadvantages. But, in this case, I'll supply an answer for you, though

Re: [EM] Let's clear up some confusion

2012-10-04 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Thu, Oct 4, 2012 at 4:01 AM, Juho Laatu wrote: > On 4.10.2012, at 7.49, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > >> You said: >> >> , maybe the question if you recommend the voters to rank sincerely or >> if you recommend them to sometimes use the top ties (although the >

Re: [EM] Let's clear up some confusion

2012-10-03 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Juho-- A follow-up addendum to my answer to your question: Of course a method's count-rule should always be available to anyone who wants it. When recommending Symmetrical ICT for informational polling, or even when introducing a poll (if time &/or print-space permits it) I'd certainly tell what

Re: [EM] Let's clear up some confusion

2012-10-03 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Wed, Oct 3, 2012 at 3:28 PM, Juho Laatu wrote: > On 3.10.2012, at 20.37, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > >>> (In that case, probably you should include that difference also in the >>> definition of what the ballots mean.) >> >> Wrong. My definition of Symmetrica

Re: [EM] Let's clear up some confusion

2012-10-03 Thread Michael Ossipoff
nition of what the ballots mean.) Wrong. My definition of Symmetrical ICT fully specifies the method and its count rule. I stated, above, the guarantees of which the voter can be assured, when the method is Symmetrical ICT, but not when the method is unimproved Condorcet ("Strong Condorcet").

Re: [EM] Let's clear up some confusion

2012-10-03 Thread Michael Ossipoff
27;s why Symmetrical ICT treats equal top and equal bottom ranking differently, in keeping with (as I said) the preferences, intent and wishes of the equal top and equal bottom ranking voters. Some here don't like to hear this: The emperor (unimproved Condorcet) doesn't have any clothes. M

Re: [EM] Let's clear up some confusion

2012-10-03 Thread Michael Ossipoff
in your best interest, in keeping with what you prefer and intend, when ranking X and Y equal top, or when ranking W and Z equal bottom. Mike Ossipoff > > Juho > > > On 3.10.2012, at 6.06, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > >> Juho: >> >> In improved Condorcet, the voter

Re: [EM] 3 or more choices - Condorcet

2012-10-02 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Tue, Oct 2, 2012 at 12:55 AM, Juho Laatu wrote: > On 2.10.2012, at 4.37, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > >> A) What is it that is gained by using traditional (unimproved) >> Condorcet instead of Symmetrical Improved Condorcet? >> >> The downsides of unimproved are: >

Re: [EM] 3 or more choices - Condorcet

2012-10-01 Thread Michael Ossipoff
To advocates of traditional (unimproved) Condorcet versions, such as Beatpath, Ranked-Pairs, River, Kemeny, VoteFair, etc: I'm just asking a few questions about the methods that you advocate. Method advocates are usually willing to answer questions about their method proposals. In this posting, I

Re: [EM] Strong methods (was Re: 3 or more choices - Condorcet)

2012-10-01 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Sun, Sep 30, 2012 at 4:56 AM, Kristofer Munsterhjelm wrote: > On 09/29/2012 10:49 PM, Juho Laatu wrote: [...] [in answer about what a strong method is]: > ...and not giving weird results > or having weird result dynamics that could be used to discredit the method. You mean like failing Part

Re: [EM] 3 or more choices - Condorcet

2012-10-01 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Everyone here agrees that natural (sincere) circular ties would be rare. Also, the choice is a lot less clear when there isn't a circular tie. For those reasons, it matters much less what a rank method does when there isn't a CW. I read that Condorcet(margins) fails the Plurality Criterion. Did yo

Re: [EM] Amateur peer-reviewed "journal" for voting methods, criteria, and compliances?

2012-09-30 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Jameson-- First, thanks for putting in some good words for Approval, at EM yesterday. But I note that, in your message at or to wiiipedia, as part of your proposal of MJ there, you referred to Approval and Score as "inferior methods". Didn't we make a pledge to support (at minimum, that means no

Re: [EM] Amateur peer-reviewed "journal" for voting methods, criteria, and compliances?

2012-09-29 Thread Michael Ossipoff
The journal project sounds better as Adrian proposed it. Jameson: I'm not sure about the wisdom of just dealing with what we agree on--criterion-compliances and equivalences, compiance-implication relationships among criteria. Hasn't that mostly been done anyway? You spoke of all the many methods

Re: [EM] I don't oppose hosting of the "journal" by DC

2012-09-29 Thread Michael Ossipoff
(regarding Jameson's explanation of his proposed "journal" 's policy) Sure, then who could disagree with that. So one amateur can't exclude an article--He can merely rule on its "acceptability", and (at least by implication) he can pretend to rule on its validity. I guess the puzzling thing is th

Re: [EM] Amateur peer-reviewed "journal" for voting methods, criteria, and compliances?

2012-09-28 Thread Michael Ossipoff
er kind of forum. Democracy Chronicles is about the advancement of democracy, reporting it, demonstrating it. The non-democratic forum that you want is not appropriate for DC. You should host it elsewhere. Mike Ossipoff , and this proposal has nothing to do with > you. > > Jameson > &

Re: [EM] Amateur peer-reviewed "journal" for voting methods, criteria, and compliances?

2012-09-28 Thread Michael Ossipoff
To: Jameson and all who received his message: Whose head-up-the-a** idea was that? Certainly not. Who decides who your "peers" are? Who chooses them? At Democracy Chronicles, there is free and open discussion. If you don't agree with something said in an article, then there is a comments space

Re: [EM] Juho: I agree to disagree

2012-09-28 Thread Michael Ossipoff
I'd said: >>> But thank you for demonstrating (as if it needed more demonstrating on >>> EM) the impossibility of ever adopting or enacting a rank-method, due >>> to the innumerable different methods advocated by rank-method >>> advocates, who will never be able to agree on one; and due to the >>>

Re: [EM] MJ for use on wikipedia?

2012-09-28 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Fri, Sep 28, 2012 at 8:59 AM, Jameson Quinn wrote: > I've written a "wikipedia essay" on how Majority Judgment would be a good > option for resolving certain disputes, in the extremely rare (but real) case > when it does come down to a vote. This essay has garnered a positive mention > in a pen

[EM] Juho: I agree to disagree

2012-09-27 Thread Michael Ossipoff
It's time to agree to disagree. But thank you for demonstrating (as if it needed more demonstrating on EM) the impossibility of ever adopting or enacting a rank-method, due to the innumerable different methods advocated by rank-method advocates, who will never be able to agree on one; and due to t

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-24 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Juho: Here's the MinMax(margins) chicken dilemma example that I promised, in which defection by B voters is successful and rewarded:: Sincere preferences: 75: A>B>>C 51: B>A>>C 100: C>>(A=B) Voted rankings: 75: A>B 51: B 100: C Try MinMax(margins) with that example. Note that it's a Dodgson

[EM] SITC vs [what?]

2012-09-24 Thread Michael Ossipoff
anding is now solved. My example best sincere winner criterion was meant to refer to the Minmax(margins) philosophy. > > On 24.9.2012, at 16.33, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > >> If you think that >> MinMax(margins) or Dodgson is better than Symmetrical ICT, under >&g

Re: [EM] Divided Majorities - Number Votes Matrix - Left Vote Shifts

2012-09-24 Thread Michael Ossipoff
DNOW: You said: > Again -- the minority may/will in most cases also be divided in real > elections. Then Symmetrical ICT would be better than unimproved Condorcet methods such as Beatpath, etc., because SITC doesn't have the chicken dilemma. > Elections for all elected executive officers and a

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-24 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Sep 24, 2012 at 4:13 AM, Juho Laatu wrote: > On 24.9.2012, at 8.43, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > >> You said that you don't support unimproved >> Condorcet. But then, later, maybe in the same post, you cited Dodgson >> and Beatpath as methods that you seem to

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-23 Thread Michael Ossipoff
>> >> You're the one who wants to use the notion of "the best winner with >> sincere votes". Odd that you need to ask me to describe your ideal >> sincere winner. If you want to object that ICT and SITC don't choose >> the ideal sincere winnner well enough, then you're the one who needs >> to say w

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-22 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Sat, Sep 22, 2012 at 6:11 PM, Juho Laatu wrote: > On 22.9.2012, at 22.06, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > >> 2. Your statement above implies that Symmetrical ICT doesn't choose as >> well as [...what?] when >> people rank sincerely. That statement requires specification

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-22 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Just a few words about the matter of whether chicken dilemma is a genuine problem for Approval. Let's put this in perspective: Though I'll again post about it later, I've described strong mitigations and natural deterrents that exist in actual public elections, and I've described strategic defecti

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-21 Thread Michael Ossipoff
I call Strategic Fractional Ratings. You of course must have missed my posting of that. I've posted so much and so recently about the reasons why chicken dilemma won't be a problem in Approval, and, posted specifically, about SFR, that I don't think that I should repeat it again this s

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-21 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Maybe you meant to compare unimproved Condorcet to Approval (because you didn't want to compare it to ICT and Symmetrical ICT). Ok. You mentioned the Chicken Dilemma. It exists in Approval and Condorcet. Unimproved Condorcet doesn't get rid of the Chicken Dilemma. It's basically the same in both m

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-21 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Juho: You said: What kind of comparisons would you like me to make? [endquote] Whatever comparisons you think could favor unimproved Condorcet over Symmetrical ICT. I'll repeat my question: Do you claim that unimproved Condorcet can be defended in a comparison with Symmetrical ICT, or ordinary

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-21 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Fri, Sep 21, 2012 at 7:30 AM, Juho Laatu wrote: > On 21.9.2012, at 4.05, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > >> When you say "can't be elected", you need to examine what you mean by >> that. Do you mean "can't be elected under combination of a selective >

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-20 Thread Michael Ossipoff
>> In what sense doesn't it "fly well"? What does that mean? > > I just meant that it is a waste of effort and energy to have "fake" > candidates that appear as they >could be elected, but they can't, or whose > presence may make the "natural" winner not win. Again, you're quite right. We do hav

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-19 Thread Michael Ossipoff
>> You said: >> >>> For example FBC is an important criterion, but I can accept methods that do >>> not meet it, but that are good enough in the sense that they allow voters to >>> rank their favourite always first, as a safe enough rule of thumb. I don't >>> like methods that fail FBC in the sense

Re: [EM] Scoring (was Re: OpenSTV 2.1.0 released)

2012-09-19 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Juho-- This thread is demonstrating something that I spoke of earlier: There are an unlimited number of things that different people can ask for from voting systems, just as there are infinitely-many ways to count rank ballots. It couldn't be any more obvious, could it, that there's just no way t

Re: [EM] Divided Majorities - Number Votes Matrix - Left Vote Shifts

2012-09-18 Thread Michael Ossipoff
ckets; and on budget priorities. [endquote] We'd find a very different tax rate structure, and a very different budget, wouldn't we. Ones actually chosen by us. Michael Ossipoff Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Divided Majorities - Number Votes Matrix - Left Vote Shifts

2012-09-18 Thread Michael Ossipoff
l votes. > > i.e. NO endless amendments about filling number blanks. > Yes, choosing the median of all the proposed values is a good way of making a numerical choice. ...probably, unless it would have a problem that I don't know about. The public could thereby vote directly

[EM] Conclusion--MJ

2012-09-12 Thread Michael Ossipoff
MJ advocates claim this "advantage" for MJ: MJ prevents extreme rating from having such extreme effect. To say it differently, a non-extreme rating might (or might not) have as great effect as an extreme rating. (Of course, because it might not, and if you want to maximize the effect of a rating

Re: [EM] MJ SFR (preliminary). Score vs Approval, based on considerations discussed.

2012-09-11 Thread Michael Ossipoff
>> Ok. I've heard the claim that MJ is ER-Bucklin. Maybe it's true. > > Here is where you go off track: > > I don't think this has ever been claimed, and certainly not by myself. Fine. They aren't equivalent. Issue resolved, and subject closed. >> But what would their equivalence (if valid) > > T

Re: [EM] MJ SFR (preliminary). Score vs Approval, based on considerations discussed.

2012-09-11 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Ted: You said: > Majority Judgment (MJ) and Continuous Majority Judgment (CMJ) are both > Median Ratings methods. No sh*t ! :-)...But wait, isn't that explicit in their definition? > As is ER-Bucklin(whole). You're probably > most familiar with the latter, so let me start there. I will

Re: [EM] MJ, Approval, Score, and Chicken Dilemma

2012-09-11 Thread Michael Ossipoff
n, Sep 10, 2012 at 6:46 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote: > Michael Ossipoff recently claimed to have shown that MJ had a bigger problem > with the chicken dilemma than approval or score. Though he'd made a basic > mistake (apparently he thought that MJ used a coinflip as a tiebreaker), &g

[EM] MJ SFR (preliminary). Score vs Approval, based on considerations discussed.

2012-09-11 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Two topics: 1. Brief preliminary comments in reply to Jameson's MJ SFR posting. 2. Score vs Approval based on considerations that have been discussed. 1. At first I said here that MJ doesn't have SFT. But later I said that it does have SFR, but that it's SFR is more complicated than that of Scor

[EM] Sorry--1 more thing: SFR formula vs subjective SFR

2012-09-09 Thread Michael Ossipoff
When I first spoke of SFR, I suggesting calculating, based on faction-size estimates, how many points would make B beat C if the faction is bigger than the A faction, but not otherwise. I posted some formulas for that purpose, given various different kinds of assumptions about that faction-size in

[EM] Just one more thing about Chicken Dilemma

2012-09-09 Thread Michael Ossipoff
How to react to it is an individual choice, depending on the person and on the situation. Sometimes (but hopefully not) the defection could be so blatant and offensive, and the principle of not being taken advantage of could be so important, that you'd refuse to top-rate an acceptable in a u//a ele

[EM] Clarification

2012-09-08 Thread Michael Ossipoff
I'd said: And, because preferrers of MJ could strategically 0-rate Approval and Score, I didn't want to co-operate with tha [endquote] ...when it could result in my MJ winning instead of one of my favorites. I'd said: If you equal top-rate a compromise in a poll, and then notice that the compr

[EM] SFR as f(Ub, p(config)). Sincere rating.

2012-09-08 Thread Michael Ossipoff
It seems to me that the Chicken Dilemma must involve a candidate whom you'd approve or give max rating to if there weren't a Chicken Dilemma. ...if you didn't care if you were taken advantage of by the other faction. So the giving of SFR, it seems to me, depends on the candidate qualifying for an

Re: [EM] MJ: Worse Chicken Dilemma than Approval or Score, elaborate bylaws, computation-intensive count.

2012-09-08 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Sat, Sep 8, 2012 at 5:18 AM, Kristofer Munsterhjelm wrote: > On 09/06/2012 03:43 PM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: >> >> Not exactly a winning combination of properties. > > > Weren't you retiring from voting systems? Yes. Don't worry. But remember what I sai

Re: [EM] MJ: Worse Chicken Dilemma than Approval or Score, elaborate bylaws, computation-intensive count.

2012-09-07 Thread Michael Ossipoff
> And I just explained the tiebreaker in that popular proposal, as put forth > in the book Majority Judgment. You apparently had never even heard of that > tiebreaker, so I don't see why you think you're qualified to say anything > about MJ. Well, what you've just said qualifies me to say that MJ

Re: [EM] MJ: Worse Chicken Dilemma than Approval or Score, elaborate bylaws, computation-intensive count.

2012-09-07 Thread Michael Ossipoff
onduct-guidelines ask you to not repeat claims that have been answered and criticized, unless you can answer the criticisms of the claims. Michael Ossipoff Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] MJ: Worse Chicken Dilemma than Approval or Score, elaborate bylaws, computation-intensive count.

2012-09-07 Thread Michael Ossipoff
> On Fri, Sep 7, 2012 at 4:36 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote: > Two-level MJ is approval, because of the tiebreaker. > > Example: Say A gets 52% approval and B gets 57%. Both will have a median of > "approved". After removing 4% "approved" votes from each Whoa. I'm guessing that removing 4% is the resul

Re: [EM] MJ: Worse Chicken Dilemma than Approval or Score, elaborate bylaws, computation-intensive count.

2012-09-07 Thread Michael Ossipoff
I'd said: >> ...and it [SFR] isn't available in MJ, for the reasons that I described in >> my previous reply to you. > Jameson replied: > Yes it is. Because with approval-style votes, MJ gives approval results. No. Not with a different count-rule. I'm just guessing, but you seem to want to say

Re: [EM] MJ: Worse Chicken Dilemma than Approval or Score, elaborate bylaws, computation-intensive count.

2012-09-06 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Jameson: I'd said: >> With Score, you add each ballot's rating of X to X's total. >> >> With MJ, if one or two newly-counted ballots rate X above hir current >> median, then you must raise X's MJ score to hir rating on the ballot >> with the lowest X-rating above X's median (or maybe to the mean

Re: [EM] MJ: Worse Chicken Dilemma than Approval or Score, elaborate bylaws, computation-intensive count.

2012-09-06 Thread Michael Ossipoff
eachother nearly maximally against C, and yet whichever of {A,B} has more voters will be the winner. That's another thing that won't work in MJ. (But now we aren't talking about the Chicken Dilemma. I'm discussing the kind of trust and ethical voting that you were assuming for

Re: [EM] Majority Judgment

2012-09-06 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Thu, Sep 6, 2012 at 10:08 AM, Andy Jennings wrote: > Hi Mike, > > Can you elaborate on "worse chicken dilemma than approval or score"? Or > point me to a specific message on the list where you prove that? Yes. I refer you to my posting just before this one, in which I replied to Jameson. Mik

Re: [EM] MJ: Worse Chicken Dilemma than Approval or Score, elaborate bylaws, computation-intensive count.

2012-09-06 Thread Michael Ossipoff
e one with the lowest X-rating above X's median. ...unless you've sorted all of the ballots, by their ratings, for each candidate. You don't think that's a lot more computation-intensive than Score? (see above). Michael Ossipoff Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] Symmetrical ICT program with missing line included

2012-08-27 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Where I'd said "(If some but not all candidates are unbeaten:)", I'd neglected to add, below that, the program statement that contains that "if": If NBeaten > 0 AND NBeaten < NC Also, instead of just specifying that the section is the same as the previous one except for two changes, I should writ

[EM] Summary of some of my suggestions at EM

2012-08-26 Thread Michael Ossipoff
hat's Approval, or maybe Score. So I'd suggest that Approval, or maybe Score, should be used for organizations, committees, academic departments, etc. But if something fancier is insisted on, or if a rank method is insisted on, then I'd suggest ICT, or, better yet, Symmetrical ICT. Michael Ossipoff . Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] Misunderstood purpose of suggested test

2012-08-26 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Kristofer: As I said, the purpose of my comment was good-natured agressiveness, to provoke comparison of ICT, Symmetrical ICT, and unimproved Condorcet. I was using an excuse to confrontationally push that comparison. I claim that such comparison can only favor ICT and Symmetrical ICT in comparis

Re: [EM] Symmetrical ICT program, with errors fixed

2012-08-25 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Sat, Aug 25, 2012 at 5:09 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote: > > > 2012/8/25 Michael Ossipoff >> >> ... >> >> Are you desperately reaching, in an effort to save unimproved >> Condorcet from a comparison to ICT and Symmetrical ICT? > > > I think you&#

Re: [EM] Symmetrical ICT program, with errors fixed

2012-08-25 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Sat, Aug 25, 2012 at 4:18 AM, Kristofer Munsterhjelm wrote: > On 08/24/2012 04:56 PM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: >> >> I've printed the program out, and now I feel that I've probably found >> and corrected all of its errors. > > > Do you have any test v

Re: [EM] Symmetrical ICT program, with errors fixed

2012-08-24 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Janeson-- We're using different notation, but, below, I'll clarify the difference. On Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 11:21 AM, Jameson Quinn wrote: > > > 2012/8/24 Michael Ossipoff >> >> I've printed the program out, and now I feel that I've probably found >&

[EM] Symmetrical ICT program, with errors fixed

2012-08-24 Thread Michael Ossipoff
I've printed the program out, and now I feel that I've probably found and corrected all of its errors. This pseudocode is for counting Symmetrical ICT, a rank-count which, I claim, avoids the strategy problems otherwise distort voters sincere expression of preferences--does so better than any othe

[EM] Error found. Program re-posted with error fixed.

2012-08-22 Thread Michael Ossipoff
I'm re-posting my Symmetrical ICT count-code posting, with the error corrected. But first, let me show where the error is. It's in the Pairwise Totals section, section 2. Here is the part where the error is. I'll show it with the error, and then with the error fixed. Then I'll show the entire posti

[EM] Symmetrical ICT count-program pseudocode

2012-08-22 Thread Michael Ossipoff
This, below, is pseudocode for Symmetrical ICT. And,at this point, I emphasize that Symmetrical ICT does very well by criteria and properties: It can fairly be said to meet the Condorcet Criterion because, as I said, it meets that criterion when "beats" is defined consistently with the intentions

Re: [EM] minguo presidential poll with direct links

2012-08-17 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Fri, Aug 17, 2012 at 10:49 AM, Michael Allan wrote: > Michael and Augustin, some suggestions for improving the site: > Michael Allan: Thanks for your suggestions. > * Display live counts and other signs of activity. Otherwise > newcomers will assume the site is dead or dying. As each

[EM] Omission in SFR assumptions

2012-08-16 Thread Michael Ossipoff
I left out an assumption, a different interpretation of the 2008 poll results, in which Obama, Paul, and Kuccinich respectively received 99, 74, and 66 top-rating marks. Maybe some of the Kuccinich-preferrers top-rated Paul too, but none of the Paul-preferrers top-rated Kuccinich. Maybe, really, t

[EM] Formulas for strategic fractional rating (SFR)

2012-08-16 Thread Michael Ossipoff
As I was saying, the idea of SFR is for A voters to give to B a fraction of max rating, just enough to help B to beat C and win, if certain conditions are met. A, B, and C stand for the votes, or vote-percents, of candidates A, B, and C. The obvious way to choose the fraction, f, of max points to

Re: [EM] Score MCA, or MCA Score

2012-08-12 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Jameson: >> The idea is to give to B just enough so that B will be able to beat C >> and win, only if the B voters are more numerous than the A voters. >> After all, if B is bigger, then you don't mind helping B win for you. >> B is then the rightful winner in {A,B}. But you don't want to help B >

[EM] Score MCA, or MCA Score

2012-08-12 Thread Michael Ossipoff
I don't know which name would be better. First, some background: The trouble with rank methods, and with all of the defection-resistant methods (so far as I'm aware), is that they're too labor-intensive for a count-fraud-secure handcount. Additionally, rankings can be counted in innumerable ways,

[EM] ICT and Approval presidential poll results so far.

2012-08-08 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Two presidential polls are currently ongoing at Democracy Chronicles. The Approval poll: With 48 ballots, Barak Obama is winning, so far. Dr. Jill Stein is in 2nd place. Obama leads Stein by 33%. The ICT poll: With 6 ballots, Jill Stein is winning, so far. She, Obama, and Rosanne Barr are curre

[EM] Dropping IC-Smith-T and iC-Schwartz-T

2012-08-04 Thread Michael Ossipoff
older proposal that has been looked at more, with Improved Condorcet having been proposed by Kevin Venzke, and ICT by Chris Benham. Michael Ossipoff Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] What it takes to give meaning to a criterion "failure"

2012-07-31 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Tue, Jul 31, 2012 at 1:15 AM, Jameson Quinn wrote: > The equal-top-ranking voters are not the ones who have a right to complain > about a CC violation. Quite so. The equal-top-ranking voters would have a right to complain only if their ballots weren't counted in a way that reflects their wish

Re: [EM] What it takes to give meaning to a criterion "failure"

2012-07-30 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Jul 30, 2012 at 1:45 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote: > As far as I can tell, you are arguing that ICT meets the majority Condorcet > criterion No, I'm arguing that ICT meets Condorcet's Criterion, if Condorcet's Criterion is about electing the candidate who beats each one of the others, or who

Re: [EM] ICT doesn't meaningfully fail CC. CC isn't meaningfully incompatible with FBC.

2012-07-29 Thread Michael Ossipoff
unting equal top rankings is more in keeping with the equal top ranking voter's intent and wishes (in comparison to unimproved Condorcet's way of counting them). So unimproved Condorcet's definition of "beat", its interpretation of top-rankings, and its CW, can't be sai

[EM] IC-Smith-T, IC-Schwartz-T, Double-Ended IC-Smith-T, Double-Ended IC-Schwartz-T

2012-07-29 Thread Michael Ossipoff
I mentioned Double-Ended ICT as an enhancement of ICT. Here's another possibility: If no one is unbeaten, then you could do the top-count for winner only among the Smith set or the Schwartz set. Someone asked me which criteria ICT meets, other than the properties for which I value it. For one thi

[EM] More complete posting of FBC versions.

2012-07-28 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Today I posted the definition of FBC7. Let me post some other ones; FBC1 (the first one, also called "Weak FBC"): Premise: V is a set of voters who have the same preferences and all vote in the same way. Everyone other than V has already voted. Requirement: By voting someone over their favorit

Re: [EM] Simpler, obvious, easily-used FBC, directly describing the relevant basic property

2012-07-28 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Sat, Jul 28, 2012 at 9:04 PM, Jameson Quinn wrote: > Is this [FBC7] essentially equivalent to the normal statement of FBC? It's roughly similar in strength, in the sense that the methods I know to pass one also pass the other. But it's not just another way of saying the same thing. The two cr

[EM] Small addtion to FBC4 & FBC5

2012-07-27 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Should also say, in the Requirement: for FBC4, "...and if V vote Compromise over Worst" for FBC5, "...and if V vote Set A over Set B". Mike Ossipoff Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] Stronger FBC met by Double-Ended ICT

2012-07-27 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Double-Ended ICT meets these stronger FBC versions: FBC4: Premise: V is a set of voters who have the same preferences and vote in the same way. Everyone but V has already voted. The only way that V can keep Worst from winning is by making Compromise win instead. They have a way of voting that wo

[EM] Double-ended ICT? That bottom-end feature is what I used to call "Power Truncation".

2012-07-27 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Or, to put it the other way around, Improved-Condorcet is the top-end counterpart to Power-Truncation. I used to propose Power-Truncation as a ballot-option. There may have been some reason why I abandoned it. Maybe it had some problem, some violation, or some bad-example embarrassment. I don't kn

Re: [EM] Taylor or McLaurin polynomial for the complicated functions would reduce the numerical work.

2012-07-24 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Robert-- I probably won't do test-simulations of Weighted-Ballot-Free, because, with such a method, unbias ( in the form of equal expected s/q, in every interval between two successive integers in q's range) is a certainty, assuming that the probability-density function, F(q), being used is accura

[EM] Announcing a rank-balloting 2012 presidential poll at Democracy Chronicles

2012-07-23 Thread Michael Ossipoff
A rank-balloting poll, a mock election for the 2012 U.S. Presidential election, is now being conducted at Democracy Chronicles. The candidates are the same six candidates who are in the (currently ongoing) Approval poll. There are now 47 ballots in the Aprpoval poll. The rank-balloting poll has ba

[EM] A correction for nonuniform distribution. Two clarifications of previous posting.

2012-07-22 Thread Michael Ossipoff
First, the correction: This correction isn't about eliminating or determining bias with a uniform distribution. What I've said about that situation is correct. Bias-Free is genuinely without bias, in the sense that the expected s/q is the same in every interval between two successive integers, if

Re: [EM] Taylor or McLaurin polynomial for the complicated functions would reduce the numerical work.

2012-07-22 Thread Michael Ossipoff
On Sun, Jul 22, 2012 at 6:23 AM, Kristofer Munsterhjelm wrote: > On 07/21/2012 08:01 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: >> >> I spoke of using a polynomial approximation of G(q), the cumulative >> state number,and differentiating it to get F(q), the >> probability-density. &

[EM] A deletion and a typo-correction for my previous post.

2012-07-21 Thread Michael Ossipoff
In my previous post about less biased divisor methods, I spoke of a Taylor or McLaurin polynomial approximation of the "complicated function" (the log-normal function, or the exponential of a fitted sum of log-normal functions that Kristofer spoke of). Actually, the McLaurin form of the Taylor pol

[EM] Taylor or McLaurin polynomial for the complicated functinos would reduce the numerical work.

2012-07-20 Thread Michael Ossipoff
I spoke of using a polynomial approximation of G(q), the cumulative state number,and differentiating it to get F(q), the probability-density. I'd like to add that a Taylor or McLaurin polynomial approximation of a complicated function could be used. ...after you've determined, by whatever method,

Re: [EM] The Sainte-Lague index and proportionality

2012-07-18 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Oops! Two typos: I said "parties" at one point,when I meant "states". I said 1/q when I meant s/q. Mike Ossipoff Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] The Sainte-Lague index and proportionality

2012-07-18 Thread Michael Ossipoff
>> So either approach would be proposable, if that one overall >> exponential is a good approximation. But Warren himself admitted that, >> at the low-population end, it isn't accurate, because the states, at >> some point, stop getting smaller. But Warren said that his single >> exponential functi

Re: [EM] Raph: Sainte-Lague. Transfers in party-list PR.

2012-07-18 Thread Michael Ossipoff
>> And the parties needn't publish whole rankings. Each party need only >> publish one other party to which it wants to transfer to if it >> transfers. > > I think full rankings would be better. If excess is being > transferred, then even large parties will transfer some of their vote. Yes, but i

[EM] Various ways of judging bias and approaches to eliminating it

2012-07-17 Thread Michael Ossipoff
This posting accidentally got sent when I was partway through writing it. I have no idea which keys on the keyboard somehow sent the message. I'm sending it again. This time I'll make sure that it only gets sent when it's completed. I'll do that by not filling in the "To:" field until I've finishe

[EM] Various measures of bias and approaches to eliminating it

2012-07-17 Thread Michael Ossipoff
When I say "interval" without qualifying it, I'm referring to the interval between two intgers, for the value of q, the quotient of dividing states' populations by some common divisor. Divisor methods, expected s/q: Divisor methods can eliminate bias by makiing equal, for all of the intervals, th

[EM] Replies to Warren's apportionment webpag, in which I am featured.

2012-07-17 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Warren's apportionment webpage was recently (accurately) quoted to say that Webster's method minimizes, for every pair of states, the difference between the s/q of those two states. Warren actually posted that statement at his website. When that quote was posted, I immediately posted a demonstrati

Re: [EM] Juho: Seat% and vote%--What I mean by "unattainable".

2012-07-16 Thread Michael Ossipoff
Juho: {referring to making seat% as close as possible to vote%] > I note again that I have not set any such target. [endquote] Excuse me, I thought you had, because you repeatedly spoke of that as a goal. >> You said that you agree that people have a right to equal >> representation for everyo

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