Hi GameOfDeath,

Stefan and I fully understand that running a simulation is not a 
mathematical proof.  However, we have given a mathematical proof many 
times.  In fact, Stefan has given the exact same mathematical proof, 
which is why we've resorted to simulations in an attempt to convince 
people that the answer is in deed 2/3 winning probability when one 
switches doors.

You know... having 76 successes out of 100 is very nearly (order of 
magnitude) the probability of getting lucky on a Rubik's Cube is it 
not?

Tyson Mao
MSC #631
California Institute of Technology

On Dec 30, 2005, at 10:00 AM, Stefan Pochmann wrote:

> --- In [email protected], "Daniel Hayes"
> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>>
>> Thus, the probability of having 76 success out of 100 without
>> switching doors = 2.59697e-18 = 0.000000000000000259697%
>
> Bah, using % is a cheap trick to make it look larger.
> I prefer 0.00000000000000000259697
>
> I did know the formula, just didn't think I have a tool good enough to
> handle these very large and very small numbers. I was wrong, actually
> even my pocket calculator easily can...
>
> It's btw close to the probability that a random scramble results in a
> solved 3x3. Just to get on-topic again... :-)
>
> Cheers!
> Stefan
>
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> Yahoo! Groups Links
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