More and more I'm beginning to wonder if we're going to get a TIP report
that shows something interesting, but nowhere guaranteeing the power
densities shown in the first report.

While I believe that Rossi believes he has something and that IH believes
they have something and that there is no fraudulent behavior going on here,
I think the truth is somewhere in the middle.

And the middle is, yes energy, just not very exciting energy.  And
possibly, after some analysis, it could be just an impressive new source of
chemical energy that's competitive perhaps with Rocket Fuel in the best
case scenario, but in reality it's just competitive with optimal Geothermal.

In this scenario, I consider the eCat not to have lived up to its promises
which is why my estimate is around 35%.


On Wed, May 21, 2014 at 6:19 PM, Blaze Spinnaker <blazespinna...@gmail.com>
wrote:

> Decreasing the probability to 31% based on smelly stock offering.
>
>
> http://freeenergyscams.com/andrea-rossi-e-cat-hydro-fusion-cashing-in-before-the-collapse/
>
> HydroFusion is ran by Dr. Magnus Holm.  Seems credible - but why didn't he
> wait until after the report to ask for more money?  Why is Rossi doing
> shout outs about Dr Holm?
>
> Andrea Rossi
> May 18th, 2014 at 11:20 PM
> <http://www.journal-of-nuclear-physics.com/?p=848&cpage=1#comment-957368>
>
> Orsobubu:
> Thank you for your comment, that indroduces us to the paper published
> today on the Journal of Nuclear Physics:
> GEOMETRY OF STRING THEORY SOLITONS
> by Dr Magnus Holm . It is an important work of this scientist made in
> 1999, but I find his work dense of important information. It is not an easy
> reading, the work is rigorous, but this is the Journal of Nuclear Physics,
> and the paper is perfectly in line with the field of application of our
> Journal. Dr Magnus Holm is presently working also with me for the E-Cat.
> About the comment of our friend Orsobubu: I do not share his certainties
> regarding the so called “social sciences”.
> Warm Regards,
> A.R.
>
> This could be just really inane business strategy or perhaps Magnus just
> doesn't have a good contract with Rossi/IH.
>
> For those who really believe in Rossi, my suggestion would be to contact
> Hydro fusion and buy up as many shares as you possibly can.
>
> I think everything comes down to this report that should be coming over
> the next month.   We could see a rise over over 20-30% on the basis of this
> report.
>
> Another possibility is that the report may reveal a low COP which is
> competitive only with geothermal and could be the result of uninteresting
> fuel sources. (which means a drop in probability of 10% or so)
>
> Another (unlikely in my mind) possibility is that the report will reveal
> that it doesn't do anything useful, which will be a drop in 25%.
>
>
>
> On Mon, May 12, 2014 at 10:41 PM, Blaze Spinnaker <
> blazespinna...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> Decreasing the probability to 35% based on shattering news of the
>> Defkalion demo being completely worthless.  I hesitate to say it, but It
>> almost sounds like fraud is being implied.
>>
>>
>> http://animpossibleinvention.com/2014/05/12/defkalion-demo-proven-not-to-be-reliable/
>>
>>
>> On Sun, May 11, 2014 at 5:03 PM, Blaze Spinnaker <
>> blazespinna...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>>> Decreasing probability to 46% based on lack of news from Nanor but up to
>>> 47% based on recent news from Darden in China:
>>>
>>> http://www.icebank.cn/news/detail_2.php?id=118
>>>
>>> hat tip:
>>>
>>>
>>> http://www.e-catworld.com/2014/05/09/tom-darden-involved-in-opening-of-nickel-hydrogen-energy-research-center-in-tianjin-china/
>>>
>>> Note:  I suspect there will be an up to (-30%, +15%) swing in
>>> probability when the june report comes out.  Big news indeed.
>>>
>>>
>>> On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 11:25 AM, Blaze Spinnaker <
>>> blazespinna...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> Increasing the probability to 47% on the basis on Nanor / MIT videos.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:42 PM, Blaze Spinnaker <
>>>> blazespinna...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> Put that back to 43%:
>>>>>
>>>>> Mr. Darden earned an MRP in environmental planning from the University
>>>>> of North Carolina at Chapel Hill,* a JD from Yale Law School* and a
>>>>> BA from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, where he was a
>>>>> Morehead Scholar.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:22 PM, Blaze Spinnaker <
>>>>> blazespinna...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> Correction, make that 41%.  It's not Cherokee but rather  Tom Darden
>>>>>> (investor, co founder of Cherokee) and Mr. Vaughn (senior analyst at
>>>>>> Cherokee, BA Economics)  who are the players here.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> It'd be good to find out who those other investors are.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 2:35 PM, Blaze Spinnaker <
>>>>>> blazespinna...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Increasing the probability to 44% on the basis of Cherokee PR
>>>>>>> release.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Big big BIG news.   Now this is no longer about Rossi, but about
>>>>>>> Cherokee.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> I know you guys think I'm a git for my doubt, but hey, my model is
>>>>>>> waaaay ahead of the curve than the vast majority of the investing 
>>>>>>> universe.
>>>>>>>    XOM is still trading near historical highs, for example.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Thu, Jan 16, 2014 at 12:39 PM, Blaze Spinnaker <
>>>>>>> blazespinna...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Increasing the probability back to 35% based on the latest news
>>>>>>>> coming out of BLP and McKubre.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>  Hopefully we'll see some more encouraging things soon.   The next
>>>>>>>> indie report on the ecat should be an interesting inflection report.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> On Mon, Jan 6, 2014 at 7:52 AM, Blaze Spinnaker <
>>>>>>>> blazespinna...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Fulvio , the tech Director & R.D. at Leonardo Corporation MIAMI -
>>>>>>>>> FL - USA previous job was:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> " Frelance Consultant
>>>>>>>>> <http://www.linkedin.com/search?search=&title=Frelance+Consultant&sortCriteria=R&keepFacets=true&currentTitle=CP&trk=prof-exp-title>
>>>>>>>>>  European
>>>>>>>>> Gaming and Gambling Tech Market
>>>>>>>>> <http://www.linkedin.com/search?search=&company=European+Gaming+and+Gambling+Tech+Market&sortCriteria=R&keepFacets=true&trk=prof-exp-company-name>
>>>>>>>>> "
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> -4%
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Now back to 31%.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> On Mon, Jan 6, 2014 at 6:21 AM, Blaze Spinnaker <
>>>>>>>>> blazespinna...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> This is based on
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>    - STMicro patent (Increased about 4.5%)
>>>>>>>>>>    - Cherokee Investments (Increased about 2.5%)
>>>>>>>>>>    - Rossi stating third party reports in March (increased 2%)
>>>>>>>>>>    - Lack of news from Defkalion (-1%)
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> News seems to be coming in fairly rapidly at this point.   Could
>>>>>>>>>> be updating this probability more frequently.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>
>

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