On 1/27/24 10:25 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
People are rightly livid with the gas and electric utilities here in
California, but the state is doing better than other states on
renewables. More than half the grid is solar during the day. Large
installations of batteries are in use and investments in offshore wind
are expanding.
I'm a fan of localizing and distributing as best we can. It is
probably overly optimistic on my part but combinations of home-scale PV
with storage including EVs (with two-way interconnect) might really
help unload the grid and displace grid-growth with grid-upgrade.
I'm not a fan of massive/centralized *anything* even though the "economy
of scale" arguments tend to have some advantage...
I don't know what is really happening in TX/ERCOT, but my liberal bias
has me believing that all the squealing going on among TX GOP types
about how somehow wind/solar is the *reason* for their various
grid-failures in the last few years... surely there are some anecdotal
edge/corner cases where there is a germ of truth... but ....
My own electric co-op (Jemez Mtn Coop) started after WWII when the
soldiers returning tried to repair/renew the small turbine in the creek
that fed DC to a few dozen households and got carried away. Now they
(we) are entirely captive to a multi-state regional provider who has us
locked into primarily coal mined and sluiced 100 miles across the
Navajo Reservation (but only for a few more years) while Kit Carson COOP
(Taos county) recently announced some net-sustainable success story (not
sure of the details... electrons in the grid don't have
block-chain-class identity, so short of being an isolated island, nobody
knows their provenance?). I'm hoping for a similar (r)evolution in
our COOP, but plan to (continue to) take matters into my own hands
locally, even if I remain grid-tied to be a "good neighbor". The
power-distribution for my neighborhood (4 in an isolated island) is on
my property and last time JMEC did service they bolt-cut the lock and
left it that way... I could slap an induction ammeter on the gear and
see how much of any excess power I might peak with on PV was going
downstream, and how much upstream (likely all downstream)...
*From:*Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> *On Behalf Of *cody dooderson
*Sent:* Saturday, January 27, 2024 4:27 PM
*To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
<friam@redfish.com>
*Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Bad news about the climate
I am convinced that in the next 30 years, there will be some massive
geo-engineering projects to reverse the course of climate change. We
can only hope that they will be well thought out. Harvard has a
geoengineering program with a nice web page. I check it from time to
time and it helps me feel a bit more optimistic about the future.
_ Cody Smith _
c...@simtable.com
On Sat, Jan 27, 2024 at 3:11 PM Jochen Fromm <j...@cas-group.net> wrote:
I am not a big fan of Sabine. Her book "Lost in math" is too
pessimistic and too negative for me. She earns money from her
YouTube video channel. The more sensational the content, the more
clicks. That being said I agree that climate change is one of the
biggest problems, and the outlook is not good.
If we don't act now temperatures will rise inevitably, and there
is a real possibility our economies will collapse. But if we
prohibit all fossil fuels now our economies will collapse too,
because they depend on it. Airplanes, ships, trucks, cars,
heatings in our homes, plastic products,... everything is based on
fossil fuels.
What our leaders do is take they planes and private jets to fly to
climate conferences and economic forums where they agree on lofty
goals but when they return it is business as usual.
What we can do is voting for better politics - besides getting an
emission free car, using electric trains and public transport,
switching to sustainable energy, using less plastic, etc.
Eventually it will also mean less travelling by plane and cruise
ships. This means no longer vacation in exotic places - but
imagine how much better the air in our cities would be if the
majority of cars are emission free.
-J.
-------- Original message --------
From: Russ Abbott <russ.abb...@gmail.com>
Date: 1/27/24 10:01 PM (GMT+01:00)
To: ICE - debora shuger <shu...@gmail.com>, Rob Watson
<rnwat...@humnet.ucla.edu>, Richard Abbott
<richard.e.abb...@gmail.com>, "Michael, Maria, and Luna
Abbott-Whitley/Penado" <mabbottwhit...@gmail.com>, Danielle
Abbott-Whitley <dlw0...@gmail.com>, "Whitley, Julian"
<jln.whit...@gmail.com>, Dale Shuger <shuger02...@yahoo.com>, The
Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com>
Subject: [FRIAM] Bad news about the climate
I apologize for this relatively mass email. It was prompted by a
video <https://youtu.be/4S9sDyooxf4?si=_A767WzYTxriYGdl> by Sabine
Hossenfelder, Sabine is a theoretical physicist who has spent
much of her recent life as a popular science writer and video
maker. See her Wikipedia page
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sabine_Hossenfelder>.
The video linked to above talks about climate models. The bottom
line is that it appears that most of the current models have
underestimated how quickly earth will warm. The consequences are
frightening.
-- Russ Abbott
Professor Emeritus, Computer Science
California State University, Los Angeles
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