On Wed, Jan 30, 2013 at 12:53 PM, MarkI-ZeroPoint <zeropo...@charter.net>wrote:

If you’re smart, sell the place now while beachfront property is valuable…
> when your house is underwater it won’t be worth much!
>

I live in the East Bay, across a bridge from San Francisco.  A group of us
were discussing over lunch onetime what would happen as the water rises in
New York.  It seems to me that the water will before long make much of the
coastal area of Manhattan uninhabitable.  There are various contingencies
that are being discussed, including putting up barriers and dams at various
places along the lines of what has been done in the Netherlands (and hiring
Dutch experts to help out).  But eventually I think Manhattan and the
surrounding areas might lose some of their luster as a center of culture
and commerce, especially if there are regular floods coming through and
leveling older neighborhoods.  Over a period of decades, I don't think
there is much that can be done except to move to higher ground or leave the
area.  So we were thinking that there might be a gradual exodus from New
York once it sinks in that things are not the way they used to be.

Where would all of the people go?  A natural destination would be the Bay
area -- it's quite sleepy compared to New York, but it's got its own allure
as a chic place to live.  The problem with that idea is that the Bay area
itself will start to lose land to the encroaching waters.  The New York
Times had a what-if scenario, and much of the Bay area costal land ended up
disappearing, if I remember correctly.  So maybe not the Bay.  Perhaps
people might come through the Bay and then gradually move up to Sacramento;
the problem there is that Sacramento is surrounded by flood planes and does
not seem to be far above sea level.  When you set aside Sacramento, you
start losing some options.  Eventually you begin to wonder whether
Stockton, an industrial city quite a drive out into California's Central
Valley, and similar cities, might be a destination for the all of the New
Yorkers.

Eric

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