Because the "Earth resources" being consumed is an illusion of natural scarcity. Moore's Law should continue. The fundamental application of the overly-constrained physics model is artificial, not natural.
With AI, this deliberate mould may be shattered. The Sun offers more than fusion power. A foundational shift towards wave-function-powered quantum computing seems inevitable. Only WW3 would stop civilization from advancing. WW1 shocked civilization to falter. WW2 put it back 120 years. WW3 would put it back 10 times more. On Wed, 27 May 2026, 07:45 swkane, <[email protected]> wrote: > The current trajectory is the expansion of the Computronium Abyss: > https://github.com/dissipate/computronium_abyss as more and more of the > Earth's resources is converted to data centers and computing devices in > general, and more and more power is used to power computing devices. There > is no way to predict the precise trajectory or nature of the Abyss once it > hits a certain takeoff point and Moore's Law ends, to be taken over by a > new 'Law' for a different computing substrate. > A paradox to ponder: if the Earth's current trajectory is the evolution > and expansion of the Computronium Abyss, why hasn't it already happened > somewhere else and consumed a visible part of the Universe? > > On Tue, May 26, 2026 at 9:37 PM Quan Tesla <[email protected]> wrote: > >> I predict Shannon's compression limit would be mathematically achievable >> by 2028. >> >> I also predict how the technology for testing this limit would bottom >> out at being available to less than 3% of 3% of empirical researchers. >> >> I predict Mahoney would derive an analog solution for the future Shannon >> Entropic Damping testing problem. This would be a very-big deal. >> >> Last, I predict how Homo Sapiens would increase its inverse-scaled >> development of collective intelligence. >> >> On Wed, 27 May 2026, 05:41 Matt Mahoney, <[email protected]> wrote: >> >>> When I was 13 (in 1968) I was reading about how neurons represent >>> concepts and can stimulate or inhibit other neurons, but that memory and >>> learning was a mystery. I had the idea that synapses could change their >>> state, so that if both fire together then the synapse changes to excitory, >>> and if the output doesn't fire then it changes to inhibitory. I was so >>> excited I told everyone that would listen that I knew how the brain works. >>> Years later (about 1980) I wrote about my theory for how classical >>> conditioning worked in my freshman psychology class and got a B because it >>> was off topic. It wasn't until over a decade later that I learned about >>> Hebb's rule. Not fair! I wasn't even born in 1949. >>> >>> Of course all the LLMs praised your papers for your precience that you >>> wrote as a teenager criticizing the Turing test. That's what they do. >>> People reward AI for flattery. But lots of other people criticized it too >>> for the same reasons you did. It's not like Turing wasn't aware of the >>> problems in his 1950 paper. He gave an example of the computer taking 30 >>> seconds to solve an arithmetic problem and give the wrong answer. >>> >>> Anyway, I was asking about your predictions for the future, not 200 >>> pages explaining all the past predictions you got right. I mean, I could >>> point to my 1999 paper "text compression as a test for artificial >>> intelligence" or my 2013 paper estimating the cost of AGI at $1 >>> quadrillion. The Turing test is certainly not the right test for universal >>> intelligence in the sense of achieving arbitrary goals. But it is the right >>> test for modeling human behavior, which is the actual reason for building >>> AGI for profit. We don't want machines that are smart enough to kill us. We >>> just want machines to do everything we would otherwise need people to do >>> for us. Just predict what I want by running a copy of my brain and then >>> give it to me. >>> >>> I predict that we are a long way from the limits of computation. That in >>> the far future, nanotechnology will replace DNA based life, build Dyson >>> spheres, and spread to other stars and galaxies. In the near future, humans >>> will become socially isolated and stop having children in a world where >>> machines grant all our wishes except happiness. >>> >>> What are your predictions? >>> >>> -- Matt Mahoney, [email protected] >>> >>> On Tue, May 26, 2026, 9:12 PM twenkid <[email protected]> wrote: >>> >>>> There's another form of Singularity, called *"Singularity of Tosh". *It >>>> has already happened many times in the scale of hundreds or thousands or >>>> millions and decades in time, but the expected "great singularity" will >>>> happen when a sufficient implementation of Вседържец/Vsy=Jack of All Trades >>>> = Master of All Arts = Allmighty/EMIL/VLESI/Vseboravitel/ACS/"the AGI >>>> infrastructure" are published and get out of stealth. >>>> (...) >>>> >>>> The picture below is an example of ST - from the introduction of *"Stack >>>> Theory is yet Another Fork of Theory of Universe and Mind"**, 2025 >>>> >>>> *Artificial General Intelligence List <https://agi.topicbox.com/latest>* > / AGI / see discussions <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi> + > participants <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/members> + > delivery options <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription> > Permalink > <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T7daa29d46d037f94-M7e3e3ca1219c0f2fe00321a6> > ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T7daa29d46d037f94-M7f47d40b56da830989752cfa Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
