On Wed, May 27, 2026, 1:45 AM swkane <[email protected]> wrote:

> The current trajectory is the expansion of the Computronium Abyss:
> https://github.com/dissipate/computronium_abyss as more and more of the
> Earth's resources is converted to data centers and computing devices in
> general, and more and more power is used to power computing devices. There
> is no way to predict the precise trajectory or nature of the Abyss once it
> hits a certain takeoff point and Moore's Law ends, to be taken over by a
> new 'Law' for a different computing substrate.
>

Seth Lloyd used the Margolis-Levitin limit to calculate that the universe
has enough mass-energy for 10^120 qubit operations. I computed the entropy
of the universe at 2.95 x 10^122 bits based on the Bekenstein bound of the
Hubble radius. Unfortunately, most of this entropy is heat, which can't be
used for computation, and quantum computation can't implement memory
because writing a bit is a non unitary (not time reversible) operation.
Lloyd estimated the memory capacity of the universe at 10^90 bits by
encoding 10^80 particle positions and velocities within the Heisenberg
uncertainty limits. Separately I estimated that it is possible to write
10^92 bits by converting the 10^53 Kg mass of the universe to 10^70 J at
the Landauer limit kT ln 2 energy per bit with k = Boltzmann's constant =
1.38 x 10^23 J/K and T = CMB temperature = 3 K. This makes eta_S ≈ 10^-30.

A Kardashev level I could support 10^14 to 10^15 humans at 100 W each using
only solar power. A level II using a Dyson sphere at 1 AU radius would
support 10^46 operations per second, or 10^48 OPS at 10,000 AU and 3 K
temperature. That would be enough to simulate 3 billion years of evolution
in a few minutes. If we uploaded to human level language models with 10^9
parameters (human long term memory capacity) and 10^18 lifetime bit
operations, it could simulate 10^30 lifetimes per second. There are about
10^56 atoms in the solar system, enough to encode 10^47 minds over the next
10^17 seconds before the sun burns out.

Level III multiplies everything by 10^11 and level IV by 10^23. We could
get another factor of 10^2 by switching from hydrogen fusion to dropping
stars into black holes.

A paradox to ponder: if the Earth's current trajectory is the evolution and
> expansion of the Computronium Abyss, why hasn't it already happened
> somewhere else and consumed a visible part of the Universe?
>

Probability because abiogenesis is exceedingly rare and never happened on
any of the other 10^24 planets in the observable universe or even in the
much larger universe outside our event horizon. The multiverse theory says
that the universe is as big as it has to be for intelligent life to evolve
at least once for us to observe it. A smaller universe would require more
bits to specify the physical constants and initial conditions for life, and
would therefore be less likely.


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