2008/5/25 Nathan Cravens <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>:
> yet AGI has
> potentially dramatic concrete consequences in one direction or another.
> Money will only be made from this in the short run, and if not, for those
> with a capacity to muster life, misery will prevail, unless you are the last
> one or ones standing after (or ongoing) a ruthless zero-sum game for which
> may or may not consist of human survivors.


In many ways we may at present be living in a golden age, although it
might not seem like it.  There's no doubt that AGI will bring about
substantial changes in time.  If a machine with even the intelligence
of a five year old child could be created that would have huge
implications for the economy, meaning that many jobs currently done by
humans could be automated.  But even the idea of replacing human
workers with robot equivalents is probably too conservative, in the
same manner that early computer systems simply tried to replace legacy
card file systems with an equivalent database.  There will be a period
of time, and optimistically this could be a few decades in duration,
during which AGI tycoons can prosper, riding the technological wave.
But once tools turn into sentient beings the reign of the tycoons will
be over.


-------------------------------------------
agi
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