Hi Dave,

Thanks for the stats - as disconcerting as they are.

As an Australian software developer I was very disappointed to see
Australia up top in the percentages on your scale of software pirates,
wrt to your app - which I find hard to explain, subjectively or
otherwise.

I'll make a few points though (I'm assuming your figures are for your
utility 'Screebl Pro', via your link):

* Having some background in data analysis, I don't consider sample
sizes under 300 to be statistically significant - which leaves you
with 4 rows of data at this stage.

* Going on your app, the US is the only place where Android is a big
success thus far -  I do know that 'utility' programs are a bit
'techie' for most regular phone users, but I'm thinking percentages
here.

* Android phones are fairly few on the ground in Australia (in my
limited experience with other Android owners - other owners have been
either software developers/publishers or university students, many of
whom are from overseas - many/most countries). That said, since the
'main' telco here (Telstra) began selling Android phones here in April
2010, some regular folk/mums-and-dads are now starting to buy them….
i.e. The fact that australia is 4th in your list of overall downloads
is very surprising to me, given the great lack of Google/Android-phone
focus upon Australia - I thought it would be down around the NZ
figures. Note: Most ads I've seen for Android phones here do 'not'
even mention 'Android' at all (E.g. the recent ads for the Samsung
i9000 Galaxy S ) - so I assume its either a perceived marketing
negative, or its not worth the 'copy' space the single word would take
up.

* As a former president of the Australian Software Publishers
Association, I know that Australians generally 'do' buy their software
when its not open source - which is the main precursor to a country
having a software industry. Its a part of the 'a fair go mate' ethos
here - so Indy developers are likely to do well here - and do, given
an avenue to market.

* I do know that there are lots of software developers in Australia
'very pissed-off' with Google in that we are unable to 'sell' our
programs in the Android Market (even though our customers can buy them
from elsewhere) - e.g. I've had programs sitting here collecting dust
for 12 months (yes, 365 days, one planetary orbit around the Sun [the
one thats 93 million miles away] - no actions, and worse, no words
about actions, from Google) come Tuesday this week see:
http://www.digitalfriend.org/blog/month2009-09.html - but that is
unlikely to cause a software developer to pirate other software
developers hard work. I certain haven't and wouldn't. That kama is
reserved for Google (and then Android), not for fellow software
developers.  i.e. If you are unable to circulate your own work, ones
enthusiasm eventually dries up and withers on the vine, such that, in
my case at least, I've abandoned my daily usage of the Android phone
itself, and now use an alternative smart phone from a company with a
global perspective instead.

* Its true that, within the list of countries wrt your downloads,
Canadian, Kiwi and Swiss developers also cannot sell their apps on
Google Android Market to their own customers - so if it was 'a
disgruntled developer issue' re Australia, you would likely see it
there too - but as I've pointed out, your figures for those countries
are statistically insignificant, so that doesn't constitute evidence
either way.

* I'm not surprised at your figures for Japan - even major software
contracts with Japanese companies usually only require a hand-shake to
seal an honorable relationship. (I wonder if they even have local
lawyers? )

* As much as I am surprised at your figures for Australia, I am also
surprised at your figures for the US. They seem overly high to me. It
makes me wonder what your software does and how much it costs wrt
other apps? More so, it makes me wonder if the 'Lite' version is an
overly crippled version of the 'Pro' version, such that large numbers
of people are justifying an illegal download of the Pro version. I.e.
Is the Lite version 'really' useful in its own right - or is it little
more than 'an ad' that constitutes an expensive download to the
unwitting customer/phone user? It would also be of general interest to
know what the respective download numbers for your 'Lite' version are,
over the same period of time? (Note: I really have no knowledge of
your app - so these are just very general questions/ponderings by me,
and are certainly 'not' reflections upon your apps, Lite version or
Pro)…

If your figures are indeed generally representative of Android apps of
all sorts, then yes, your experience is indeed a worry for all - and
it makes a Licensing approach totally necessary for paid apps - sad
but true, given the low retail cost of phone apps in general.

Cheers
Steve

On Aug 27, 7:15 am, keyeslabs <keyes...@gmail.com> wrote:
> Actually, the largest *contributor* to piracy was the US, but the
> highest piracy rates (as a percentage of total installs) were
> elsewhere.  For example, the US has a piracy rate (on my app) of about
> 70%, but Australia is more like 92%.  For the countries where apps may
> be purchased, here's the breakdown:
>
> Country Purchases       Installs        Pirated Installs        Piracy Rate
> Australia       26      321     295     92%
> Austria 6       13      7       54%
> Canada  25      96      71      74%
> France  23      104     81      78%
> Germany 38      161     123     76%
> Italy   4       36      32      89%
> Japan   467     467     0       0%
> Netherlands     24      98      74      76%
> New Zealand     4       8       4       50%
> Spain   7       63      56      89%
> Switzerland     7       21      14      67%
> United Kingdom  108     335     227     68%
> United States   2051    6105    4054    66%
>
> The US isn't the highest, but still, it's disturbing how high the rate
> is in ALL of these countries where purchases could be made...
>
> Dave
>
> On Aug 26, 4:59 pm, niko20 <nikolatesl...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> > Excellent analysis. Once again showing that you can't make assumptions
> > about a market without cold hard data to back it up. Your results
> > found that the largest piracy rates actually occurred in countries
> > where users COULD buy apps ! I guess USA is just a bunch of cheap
> > *sses :)
>
> > -niko
>
> > On Aug 26, 3:22 pm, keyeslabs <keyes...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> > > Recently did an analysis of piracy rates by country for my app.  Found
> > > some very interesting tidbits that I think may be of interest to
> > > members of this group:  http://bit.ly/bSaoBe
>
> > > Dave

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