----- Original Message -----
From: "Jeffrey Miller" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Brin-L" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Tuesday, December 04, 2001 2:29 PM
Subject: Re: Secret Military Tribunals


> Dan Minette wrote:
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> >
> > > There's plenty of information pointing to this being a state-sponsored
> > > attack rather than any terrorist organization,
> >
> > Care to provide some of it.  I haven't seen it.
>
> No need to be snide.

That wasn't meant to be snide.  I admit that I have little patience for
arguments like "everyone thought the world was flat" as a dismissal of
consensus views.  I guess I had my fill of those arguments when I repeatedly
read them in posts on sci.physics  from people who claim that quantum
mechanics and special relativity are false.

FWIW, the time period when the consensus opinion of those who were the
"experts" at the time was that the world was flat was a long long time ago.
It wasn't 1492, it was long before that, before the experiments of the
Greeks.  The opponents of Columbus had the size of the earth right, he had
it wrong and thought the shorter route from the Iberian peninsula to India
was West instead of around Africa.

>If you look at patterns and purposes of terrorism,
> you can see larger bits that don't fit into the neat AQ model.  Why did
> they not claim responsibility?

It fits their pattern to have plausible deniability while still claiming
credit for all those who know the code phrases.  (code phrases here is not
necessarily in the most technical sense..but more in the line of David
Duke's code phrases.) One has seen this in earlier attacks.   AQ members
have been convicted for involvement earlier terrorist attacks.  I think you
would have to either accept that this is their pattern or contest the
validity of earlier convictions.  And, since those convictions included
evidence that includes recordings of cell phone conversations, you would
have to argue that this evidence is suspect.

The other alternative to expecting that the pattern of terrorists claiming
responsibility to continue is to look at AQ and Bin Laden as having
developed a more sophisticated technique.  This view is supported by the
understanding of a variety of folks who have taken on studying Bin Laden as
a full time job.  In particular, I'm thinking of the British journalist who,
IIRC, was the last Western journalist who interviewed Bin Laden and who had
just published a book on him.  He pointed out a pattern of predictions,
actions, and praise but no claim of credit for actions that occurred before
the Cole, the embassy bombings, and Sept. 11th.

>The role of terrorism is to create fear and disillusionment in the enemy,
not just randomly blowing stuff >up and cackling about it.

Sure, and it had  worked.  We did withdraw our forces in Somalia and after
the Cole attacks.  I'm guessing he misjudged the US with the Sept 11th
attack.

>
> Whatever.. you don't respect my perspective, and I don't seem to have
> the ability to communicate what I'm thinking clearly, so go ahead -
> write another long, massive screed that tries to shut me up with the
> volume of your words, another set of poisoned prose that seeks only to
> make yourself feel grand by trying to squash someone else's exploration
> of a topic.

Well, I'm not opposed to exploration of a topic.  I do have a tendency to
dislike sloppy argumentation.  Its easy to simply dismiss the logic and
evidence provided by another by calling it a screed or poisoned prose.  If
you want examples of those, there are plenty of newsgroups where flaming is
rampant.

I try to use evidence and reasonable argumentation to back up my claim.  The
only exception that I can is my reference to Sid Caesar's bit about this
argument, but that's part of the culture...part of the way we understand the
argument "but they said X was wrong."
>
> Walking home last night, I realized I've been on Brin-L for over 4
> years, and lately its been nothing but people like you being snide,
> condescending, and unwelcoming.
>

Nah.  There are some tremendously talented people on this list.  I stay here
because there are folks who can give a very reasonable argument based on
tremendous experience and knowledge.

Dan M.

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