----- Original Message ----- From: "William T Goodall" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Thursday, June 26, 2003 6:32 PM Subject: Re: Comparision of ecconomic growth
> > On Thursday, June 26, 2003, at 11:57 pm, Dan Minette wrote: > > Well, complacency is never good, but the challenge to the US will not > > be > > from Europe in 30 years. How will an old society that is shrinking be > > able > > to challenge for supremacy? Europe is in the process of fading away. > > The > > only way I can see this being stopped is: > > > > 1) Women start having kids out of as sense of loyalty to Europe. > > > > 2) Europe decides it wants to be multi-ethnic. > > > > I don't think either will happen. > > > > http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/1657826.stm > > "Britain's population is set to rise by more than 5 million over the > next 25 years - boosted by a growing number of immigrants, according to > the latest survey. That's interesting. At http://www.library.uu.nl/wesp/populstat/populframe.html they project a 1 million increase over that time. > Figures produced by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) predict > the net number of immigrants coming into the country by 2025 will be > around 135,000 a year. It would be interesting to see if that will actually be allowed. I know in the CIA factbook, that the ethnic makup of the UK is listed as English 81.5%, Scottish 9.6%, Irish 2.4%, Welsh 1.9%, Ulster 1.8%, West Indian, Indian, Pakistani, and other 2.8% So, over 20 years, this immigration rate would more than double the percentage of foreign born people. > These numbers will provide a boost to the overall UK population - last > year an estimated 59.8 million - which is expected to grow to nearly 65 > million by 2025." Roughly an 8% increase. The US increase from 2000 to 2025 is projected to be about 36 million, or about a 14% increase. And, one has to remember, GB has a significantly higher birth rate than Germany or Italy. Indeed, Gautam's website's numbers indicates that Britian is the shining star of Europe in being able to handle an aging population. > "Britain's population will continue to age over the next 25 years, with > the average age expected to rise from last year's 38.8 up to 42.6. > > The workforce will be able to draw on more people of working age in the > future, with numbers expected to rise by 6% to 39 million by 2011. " Right, but that includes an increase in the pension age. They kinda cheated to get the increase :-) Dan M. _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
