> Sam wrote: > Those faulty exit polls were sabotage > Dick Morris > http://www.thehill.com/morris/110404.aspx
This analysis fails the conspiracy test because: 1.) It would've required the willful cooperation of thousands of pollsters - not only to use bad methodology, but to keep it quiet. (If they were only doing what they were told, all you'd have to do is ask one of them what the methodology was to figure it out.) 2.) It would've required the willful cooperation of the networks, but they didn't broadcast the numbers. 3.) Reporting high Kerry numbers could easily have pushed the Bush numbers up rather than down. Meaning this would've been a massive high risk fraud with no guarantee of an outcome even if it were successful - it was just as likely that it would fail. Looking at vote manipulation on the other side makes more sense because: 1.) The voting machine software could've had a bug or an intentional routine that discarded Kerry votes after x%. That is, the machines could be preset to deliver Bush a 54% vote count. This would've only taken one person - the coder. There's no audit trail so the chances of discovery are slim; especially if the coder knew the CEO was a Bush supporter. 2.) As the author points out, exit polls are notoriously accurate. Certainly Kerry's team would've had their own pollers and certainly they would've been trained on how to do it right. 3.) Some people in Kerry's campaign were popping champagne - a sign that they had confidence in their polling methodology, and then it was coming back very positive. As I said, the machines and the results merit further investigation - your article makes that clear. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Special thanks to the CF Community Suite Gold Sponsor - CFHosting.net http://www.cfhosting.net Message: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=i:5:134486 Archives: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/threads.cfm/5 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=s:5 Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=11502.10531.5 Donations & Support: http://www.houseoffusion.com/tiny.cfm/54
