Ben,
I absolutely agree with the solar investment,
that is why - next week, someone will come to inspect my home
to establish whether he wants to make a bid on delivering me a system
and I have already received a bid from SolarCity.
Three in fact - one for pre-buying the electricity, one for post-paying for 
electricity
and one for leasing the system. IF I go with them, then pre-buying the 
electricity
looks like the better option, probably because it offsets their borrowing 
money, so
I get a discount for avoiding their interest.
All of them make some sense, especially seeing that the last year our electric 
rates
have gone from $0.10 to $0.16 for the base tariff (and higher for the higher 
tiers)
so, pre-financing a fixed electric rate makes a lot of sense, similar to 
getting a
fixed rate mortgage, but with solar you are *earning* money at an increasing 
rate!

Cor van de Water
Chief Scientist
Proxim Wireless

office +1 408 383 7626          Skype: cor_van_de_water
XoIP   +31 87 784 1130          private: cvandewater.info
www.proxim.com


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-----Original Message-----
From: Ben Goren [mailto:[email protected]] 
Sent: Monday, May 04, 2015 4:49 PM
To: Cor van de Water; Electric Vehicle Discussion List
Subject: Re: [EVDL] virtual power plant

On May 4, 2015, at 4:39 PM, Cor van de Water via EV <[email protected]> wrote:

> After 10 years of daily full-cycling, I am presuming that the value of 
> the pack and the 10-year old electronics is approaching zero

I don't think that's a valid assumption in this case. Tesla is including a 
ten-year warranty, meaning they're going to have to typically be nearly as good 
after 9 years and 364 days as they are new (presumably within some sort of 
specified degradation, such as 80% capacity). And Tesla's vehicular batteries 
are significantly outperforming expectations.

The resale value of these units might not be anywhere near $10,000, but they'll 
still be doing the job you bought them to do and will likely continue to keep 
doing that job for at least as long as a typical mortgage.

And if, in ten years, you can buy a comparable battery for, say, a mere $1,000? 
Well, then, we're _all_ that much wealthier.

That's the great thing about alternative energy investments: barring complete 
loss, you basically can't lose. With my solar panels, I effectively pre-bought 
several years worth of electricity at then-market rates. Everything after that 
is free electricity. If rates go up, I win even bigger because I'm not spending 
that money. Rates aren't going to go down, but, even if they do, that means 
that other goods and services made using that electricity will be cheaper. My 
own payoff time may be theoretically stretched out...but that's already money 
under the bridge and I was happy to pay what I felt was a fair price at the 
moment.

b&
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