Charles wrote: >(BTW, would I be right in thinking that, applying the SSA to a person who >"finds himself" to be 1 year old, the chances that he'll >live to be 80 is 1/80?)
This argument (against Leslie Bayesian Doomsday argument) has been developped by Jean Paul Delahaye in the journal "Pour la Science" (french version of the "Scientific American"). I have not the precise reference under the hand. I think it is a good point against too quick use of Bayes in infinite or continuous context. Bruno
