On 12/9/2012 12:08 PM, Jason Resch wrote:
This reminded me a bit of "The Presumptuous Philosopher" thought experiment:
It is the year 2100 and physicists have narrowed down the search for a theory of
everything to only two remaining plausible candidate theories, T1 and T2 (using
considerations from super-duper symmetry). According to T1 the world is very, very
big but finite, and there are a total of a trillion trillion observers in
cosmos. According to T2, the world is very, very, very big but finite, and
are a trillion trillion trillion observers. The super-duper symmetry
seem to be roughly indifferent between these two theories. The physicists
planning on carrying out a simple experiment that will falsify one of the
Enter the presumptuous philosopher: "Hey guys, it is completely
unnecessary for you
to do the experiment, because I can already show to you that T2 is about a
times more likely to be true than T1 (whereupon the philosopher runs the
Toss thought experiment and explains Model 3)!"
One suspects the Nobel Prize committee to be a bit hesitant about awarding
presumptuous philosopher the big one for this contribution.
Which is why the anthropic principle is useless until you have something else determine
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