On 12/18/2019 7:44 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
and on those days the Helsinki Man would be a fool to expect that the
Helsinki Man would experience one and only one thing tomorrow.
Yet, he can predict, when still in Helsinki (as always since day one),
that he will feel to live being in only one city.
That's where you introduce amibiguities. "he...when still in Helsinki",
i.e. H-man can predict many things. H-man might predict he will feel
being in both cites. Whether that will be borne out depends on how
consciousness works and what "he" refers to in "he will feel". If it
he=whom ever remembers being H-man I think that it is likely true that
he will feel being in both cities. If he=either M-man or W-man, then he
will either experience M or experience W.
Both copies confirms that fact. If he was just asked “do you predict
that you will feel to be in W and in M, or do you predict that you
will feel to be in M or in M, but not in both at once”, the obvious
correct (with resect to mechanism) is the first one.
That's far from obvious to me. It's possible, but the second answer,
"...you predict that you will feel to be in M or in M, but not in both
at once." seems more likely.
Brent
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