On 12/12/2016 10:57 AM, Clark Goble wrote:
I think the bigger problem is that most of the big theories (loop
quantum gravity, string theory) don’t really have even “in theory” tests
that are limited by technology. String theory in particular has the
problem that it explains too much.

I would compare today's physics to the period between Copernicus
and Newton or to the phlogiston theories in the 18th c.

Copernicus made a major leap that went beyond observation, and
Ptolemy's math was more accurate in the details.  In fact,
Tycho Brahe made the best observations of his day primarily
because he was trying to add *support* for Ptolemy.

But Kepler, Brahe's assistant, found that ellipses fit
the data better than circles upon circles.  But he had no
explanation for the choice of ellipses.  Newton's "unified"
theory related the data gathered by Galileo and Kepler.

Phlogiston has been rejected, but it was a useful theory
that enabled chemists to design experiments that gathered
more precise data.

[String theoy] gets at some key issues in philosophy of science
regarding what is or isn’t a legitimate theory and why.

That's true, but the word 'legitimate' sounds like an attempt
to "block the way of inquiry".

Ptolemy's circles upon circles were science fiction that
enabled very precise measurements and predictions.  Brahe
was unwilling to give up that precision for a different
version of science fiction by Copernicus.

Newton's "action at a distance" was also science fiction,
but it was a very useful fiction.  Phlogiston was a useful
fiction before the discovery of hydrogen and oxygen.

For statistical mechanics, Boltzmann's atoms were another
useful science fiction.  Ernst Mach's condemnation of atoms
as illegitimate not only blocked the way of inquiry, it drove
Boltzmann to suicide.

I'm not claiming that we should accept any current version
of string theory as more than a hypothesis.  But it might
give somebody like Kepler, Lavoisier, or Boltzmann some
insights that could lead to a more testable hypothesis.

John
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