RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-28 Thread Ritu
JDG wrote:

 --- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Ritu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Similarly, I find the notion of bombing a people into democracy and
  gratitude stupid. And I really honestly do not believe that Bush's 
  failure of imagination and my recognition of the same makes me 
  responsible for Saddam's crimes, or the hypothetical continuation 
  thereof.
 
 
 And I find the notion of winning gratitude while standing
 idly by as a megalamoniac dictator terrorizes the population, 
 starts futile wars with his neighbors, and leaves his country 
 impoversihed while completely enriching himself to be even stupider.
 
 See, I can mock your position as easily as you can mock mine

*g*

Would have worked better had that really been my position. :) But I
don't think I've ever said anything that can be construed to mean that
one can stand by idly while others are being tortured/killed and earn
gratitude that way. So hold on to these lines and trot them out when I
do make such a silly proposition. :)

  Now if there had been a serious attempt to find a different, less
  destructive way to get rid of Saddam before the invasion and the
 tarring
  of every opposer as a supporter of Saddam you might have
 had a point.
  But there wasn't, and therefore you don't.
 
 
 You wouldn't be referring to the generally-supposed policy of
 France, Russia, and China, among others, to work towards the 
 lifting of
 sanctions on Saddam Hussein's Iraq, would you?   

No I wasn't refering to that at all. If you re-read my lines above,
you'd see that I was talking of alternate ways to remove Saddam, and not
on the totally different subject of removal of sanctions.

 On the other hand, the policy of sanctions, No-Fly-Zones,
 diplomatic isolation, etc. was given something on the order 
 of 10+ years to work.

And, to refresh my memory, which one of these policies was aimed at
*removing* Saddam instead of containing him, and neutralising the threat
posed by him?

 If a American Republicans/conservatives were proposing
 sticking with a policy that had failed for 10+ years, I 
 wonder what your reaction would have been...

*shrug*

Depends on the issue, the costs and who'd be paying them, how strongly I
feel about a subject, and a host of other factors. You'd have to propose
a hypothetical situation to find out how I'd  react.

But one thing I can say for sure, I would react the same way whether the
notion was proposed by a Democrat or a Republican. I respond to the
idea, not to the proposer. :)

Ritu

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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-28 Thread Ritu

Doug wrote:

  AQ wants to prolong
 the violence because they are aware that Americans have a 
 limited amount of patience; that by prolonging the violence 
 they will force us to leave.  

I'll disagree with you here. I do not think that AQ wants the US to
withdraw. Not right now at any rate. A couple of captured AQ documents
clearly indicate that AQ is hoping that the US stays in Iraq for a long
time to come. The American presence in Iraq is accomplishing what OBL
had hoped the Afghanistan war would do - act as a motivator and
radicalise the Muslim youth, and provide a target for the new recruits
to practice on. Some analysts and intelligence institutions have already
pointed toward a trend wherein jihadis get their 'training' in Iraq and
then move to Afghanistan.

Also, it is a drain on your economy and OBL is on record about wanting
that. He has said as much in a letter about Iraq. Another cache of
letters, caught when Zwahiri was killed, showed that AQ is also worried
that it doesn't have enough representation in Iraq [estimates about AQ
involvement put them at about 5-10% of the Iraqi insurgents/whatever the
current term might be]. So if the US withdraws, AQ is not sure that they
have enough of a toe-hold to stay on in Iraq.

None of this means, of course, that they wouldn't crow to high heaven
and proclaim victory the minute a departure is announced.

Ritu

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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-28 Thread Ritu
Finally!

I have been reading excerpts but it took me almost the entire day to
work my way down to this message.

JDG wrote:

 Ritu, it seems that you, Nick, and even Dan missed the point here.
 
 The proposition was made here that the US is responsible for all the
 deaths currently occuring in Iraq.   While this was a reasonable
 proposition when the deaths in Iraq were occuring largely as
 a result of US military action, or else as a result of an 
 anti-US insurgency in
 Iraq, that no longer seems to be the case.   As the events of the past
 week have painfully demonstrated, the predominant form of 
 violence in Iraq is of an inter-sectarian kind as the various 
 Iraqi factions jockey for position in the post-Saddam order.

Well, actually it is more than that. That sentence well describes what
was happening earlier. Now we have a civil war. And that is infinitely
bloodier than any jockeying-for-position.

And as for the blame, John, well, consider this: In 1947, India was
partitioned. We asked for the partition, we agreed to it, and it was
carried out. But a lot still blame the British for the Partition, and
insist that they could have done more, not only to prevent it but also
to ensure that it was less violent. Because they were the ones with the
power, and they were the ones who could have done it.

Now Iraqis didn't ask for the invasion. They didn't ask for an
occupation. And they certainly didn't ask for a bungled occupation where
no attempts were ever made to see if the secular nature of the Iraqi
state could survive Saddam's downfall. They also didn't ask for a govt
so enfeebled by a lack of decent police and army that it cannot maintain
order within its own borders. All these things were decided by the
Coalition. So I am not sure why you think that the responsibility for
enabling this sectarian madness shouldn't fall on the Coalition too.

 In my mind, if one is to blame the US for these deaths, then
 the alternative would be to support the prolonged the 
 perpetuation of Saddam Hussein or similar ad infinitum as a 
 means of holding the country
 together.  

Yes, I know you think that way. 

But I don't and I have never advocated that Saddam should have carried
on just so Iraq doesn't break up. It is not an 'either-or' situation,
John. You don't need a genocidal maniac as a dictator to keep a country
together. A strong efficient govt does the trick.

  Alternatively, I suppose you could explain why you think
 that there would have been less sectarian violence in Iraq if
 the regime of Saddam Hussein (or similar) had only collapsed 
 *without* 150,000+ US troops on the ground trying to help 
 keep the peace...

Right after you explain why you assume I think that. :)

Ritu

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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-28 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Ritu
 Sent: Tuesday, November 28, 2006 3:37 AM
 To: 'Killer Bs Discussion'
 Subject: RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them
 
  On the other hand, the policy of sanctions, No-Fly-Zones,
  diplomatic isolation, etc. was given something on the order
  of 10+ years to work.
 
 And, to refresh my memory, which one of these policies was aimed at
 *removing* Saddam instead of containing him, and neutralising the threat
 posed by him?

Sanctions and diplomatic isolation are, typically, the strongest
non-military techniques the world has to push for regime change.  This is
what was attempted with Cuba, South Africa, and North Korea, for example. It
is true that, in cases where the US has a great deal of influence (say the
Philippines), regime change can be afforded by using influence (in that case
the US convinced members of the Philippines military to stand down when
Marcos wanted them to stop a regime change via elections).  But, I think it
is safe to say that outside countries had little leverage with the
leadership in Iraq.

The best chance for regime change came right after Gulf War I.  Hussein had
been humiliated; his army had totally collapsed against the US.  The US
supported uprisings within the country, which were stamped down quickly,
efficiently, and mercilessly.  What we didn't take into account was the fact
that the Republican Guard had been held out of the fighting, was intact, and
still strongly loyal.

The US and Britain then instituted no-fly zones, in an effort to reduce
Hussein's ability to attack the Shiites and the Kurds.  AFAIK, it was an
unprecedented limitation of the sovereign power within a country, outside of
a war of course. As a result of this, the Kurds were able to hold their own
in the North, and run that part of Iraq as a semi-autonomous region.  I know
that regime change was a goal of Bush Sr. and Clinton, but not considered an
attainable one, short of invasion.  Thus, they focused on the lesser goal of
containment, after the attempt at regime change failed. 

One might argue for a targeted assignation, but that's problematic in three
ways.  First, while we tend to focus on the leader himself, eliminating that
one person doesn't eliminate the dictatorship.  The best we could reasonable
hope for is that a less talented dictator takes over.  Our hopes for a quick
regime change in N. Korea were based on Kim Jr. not having the chops of Kim
Sr.  In all likelihood, he doesn't, but he's in power 12 years later. So, if
we magically got rid of Hussein, the next in line (say his brother or
Chemical Ali) would not represent a regime change.

Second, during both Gulf Wars, we did include command and control as
legitimate bombing targets.  Neither time did we get Hussein.  Even after we
control Iraq, it took quite a while to find him.

Third, these techniques have been declared illegal in the US, mostly for
reasons of self interest.  We did try them with Castro, to no avail.  Since
the Kennedy assignation, we saw that the use of this technique as a means of
could risk starting big wars that no-one wants.  In particular, no one
wanted the USSR to think it's the USA if the chairman of the communist
party were to be killed.  Given the problems we have with asymmetric war
now, I don't think Western governments want to put this on the table.  AQ
and Bin Laden are different, of course, because they are not a government.
 
And, the US and Britain actually bombed military targets when Hussein
stonewalled inspections.  The next step after bombing is a military campaign
involving boots on the ground. Indeed, I could argue that Iraq between the
Gulf Wars could be used as an example of trying everything short of
invasion, with no success.

Dan M.


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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-28 Thread Nick Arnett

On 11/27/06, jdiebremse [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



If Iraqis are
 killing Iraqis at a stunning rate today, and they are, it is because
the
 Coalition enabled such a situation to arise. So, for quite a lot of
us,
 all the Iraqi deaths post 2003 are on the Coalition's head.



Okay... Ritu, did you really mean to say that the Coalition (not the US,
John) is totally responsible for all of the Iraqis killing Iraqis these
days?  Surely that is only partial responsibility?

Nick



--
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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-28 Thread Ritu

Nick Arnett asked:

 Okay... Ritu, did you really mean to say that the Coalition 
 (not the US,
 John) is totally responsible for all of the Iraqis killing 
 Iraqis these days? 

Nope. The Coalition, as I mentioned in the mail John quoted, is
responsible for enabling the situation to arise. This kind of chaos was
by no means the inevitable result and better administration could have
warded off a lot of the problems which currently feed off each other.

 Surely that is only partial responsibility?

Yep.

Most of the responsibility for the individual acts of violence is shared
by those who pull the trigger or plant the IEDs, or decorate a car with
explosives, etc. etc. But the fact that such a large number of idiots
find it so easy to perpetrate such a large number of crimes daily is
very much the responsibility of those who overturned the previous order
without knowing how to replace it with a functioning state. The
preparation was woeful, the execution appalling, and it needn't have
been this way.

Ritu

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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-28 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Ritu
 Sent: Tuesday, November 28, 2006 3:37 AM
 To: 'Killer Bs Discussion'
 Subject: RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them
 
 JDG wrote:
 
  --- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Ritu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
   Similarly, I find the notion of bombing a people into democracy and
   gratitude stupid. And I really honestly do not believe that Bush's
   failure of imagination and my recognition of the same makes me
   responsible for Saddam's crimes, or the hypothetical continuation
   thereof.
 
 
  And I find the notion of winning gratitude while standing
  idly by as a megalamoniac dictator terrorizes the population,
  starts futile wars with his neighbors, and leaves his country
  impoversihed while completely enriching himself to be even stupider.
 
  See, I can mock your position as easily as you can mock mine
 
 *g*
 
 Would have worked better had that really been my position. :) But I
 don't think I've ever said anything that can be construed to mean that
 one can stand by idly while others are being tortured/killed and earn
 gratitude that way. So hold on to these lines and trot them out when I
 do make such a silly proposition. :)

But, JDG never said anything that can reasonably be construed to match your
characterization given above.  So, I think a reasonable reading of this was
that both of you can make quick, easy, cartoons of the more complex, nuanced
position of the other, but why bother.

My understanding of your position was that there were some things that had
some reasonable chance to result in regime change that should have been
tried before war.  I've been racking my brain, thinking of what has been
proposed, and cannot come up with anything that was proposed pre-war that
was either innovative or had a reasonable basis for plausibility.  

I'm kinda curious, what were these other possibilities?

Dan M.


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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-28 Thread Doug
Ritu wrote:

 I'll disagree with you here. I do not think that AQ wants the US to
 withdraw. Not right now at any rate. A couple of captured AQ documents
 clearly indicate that AQ is hoping that the US stays in Iraq for a long
 time to come. The American presence in Iraq is accomplishing what OBL
 had hoped the Afghanistan war would do - act as a motivator and
 radicalise the Muslim youth, and provide a target for the new recruits
 to practice on. Some analysts and intelligence institutions have already
 pointed toward a trend wherein jihadis get their 'training' in Iraq and
 then move to Afghanistan.

 Also, it is a drain on your economy and OBL is on record about wanting
 that. He has said as much in a letter about Iraq. Another cache of
 letters, caught when Zwahiri was killed, showed that AQ is also worried
 that it doesn't have enough representation in Iraq [estimates about AQ
 involvement put them at about 5-10% of the Iraqi insurgents/whatever the
 current term might be]. So if the US withdraws, AQ is not sure that they
 have enough of a toe-hold to stay on in Iraq.

 None of this means, of course, that they wouldn't crow to high heaven
 and proclaim victory the minute a departure is announced.

I'll agree with the above with the caveat that anyone that knows the U.S. at 
all knows that the public has little patience for failure.  The machinations of 
the Bush administration which, while it is abysmal at nation building, is 
rather proficient at deception and manipulation of the public (a la Rove), have 
prolonged the acceptance of the conflict somewhat.  Now that public opinion has 
turned sharply against the war, it's only a matter of time before we leave.

There is one other reason AQ doesn't want us to leave; they're Sunnis and 
aren't particularly interested in another Shi'a state in the region.

-- 
Doug
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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-28 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

At 08:39 AM Tuesday 11/28/2006, Dan Minette wrote:



 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Ritu
 Sent: Tuesday, November 28, 2006 3:37 AM
 To: 'Killer Bs Discussion'
 Subject: RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

  On the other hand, the policy of sanctions, No-Fly-Zones,
  diplomatic isolation, etc. was given something on the order
  of 10+ years to work.

 And, to refresh my memory, which one of these policies was aimed at
 *removing* Saddam instead of containing him, and neutralising the threat
 posed by him?

Sanctions and diplomatic isolation are, typically, the strongest
non-military techniques the world has to push for regime change.  This is
what was attempted with Cuba, South Africa, and North Korea, for example. It
is true that, in cases where the US has a great deal of influence (say the
Philippines), regime change can be afforded by using influence (in that case
the US convinced members of the Philippines military to stand down when
Marcos wanted them to stop a regime change via elections).  But, I think it
is safe to say that outside countries had little leverage with the
leadership in Iraq.

The best chance for regime change came right after Gulf War I.  Hussein had
been humiliated; his army had totally collapsed against the US.  The US
supported uprisings within the country, which were stamped down quickly,
efficiently, and mercilessly.  What we didn't take into account was the fact
that the Republican Guard had been held out of the fighting, was intact, and
still strongly loyal.

The US and Britain then instituted no-fly zones, in an effort to reduce
Hussein's ability to attack the Shiites and the Kurds.  AFAIK, it was an
unprecedented limitation of the sovereign power within a country, outside of
a war of course. As a result of this, the Kurds were able to hold their own
in the North, and run that part of Iraq as a semi-autonomous region.  I know
that regime change was a goal of Bush Sr. and Clinton, but not considered an
attainable one, short of invasion.  Thus, they focused on the lesser goal of
containment, after the attempt at regime change failed.

One might argue for a targeted assignation,




We send him a[nother] mistress?




 but that's problematic in three
ways.  First, while we tend to focus on the leader himself, eliminating that
one person doesn't eliminate the dictatorship.  The best we could reasonable
hope for is that a less talented dictator takes over.  Our hopes for a quick
regime change in N. Korea were based on Kim Jr. not having the chops of Kim
Sr.  In all likelihood, he doesn't, but he's in power 12 years later. So, if
we magically got rid of Hussein, the next in line (say his brother or
Chemical Ali) would not represent a regime change.

Second, during both Gulf Wars, we did include command and control as
legitimate bombing targets.  Neither time did we get Hussein.  Even after we
control Iraq, it took quite a while to find him.

Third, these techniques have been declared illegal in the US, mostly for
reasons of self interest.  We did try them with Castro, to no avail.  Since
the Kennedy assignation,




Marilyn?  Or another one?




 we saw that the use of this technique as a means of
could risk starting big wars that no-one wants.  In particular, no one
wanted the USSR to think it's the USA if the chairman of the communist
party were to be killed.  Given the problems we have with asymmetric war
now, I don't think Western governments want to put this on the table.  AQ
and Bin Laden are different, of course, because they are not a government.

And, the US and Britain actually bombed military targets when Hussein
stonewalled inspections.  The next step after bombing is a military campaign
involving boots on the ground. Indeed, I could argue that Iraq between the
Gulf Wars could be used as an example of trying everything short of
invasion, with no success.

Dan M.



Aren't Spell Checkers Fun Maru


-- Ronn!  :)



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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-28 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

At 10:24 AM Tuesday 11/28/2006, Ritu wrote:


Nick Arnett asked:

 Okay... Ritu, did you really mean to say that the Coalition
 (not the US,
 John) is totally responsible for all of the Iraqis killing
 Iraqis these days?

Nope. The Coalition, as I mentioned in the mail John quoted, is
responsible for enabling the situation to arise. This kind of chaos was
by no means the inevitable result and better administration could have
warded off a lot of the problems which currently feed off each other.

 Surely that is only partial responsibility?

Yep.

Most of the responsibility for the individual acts of violence is shared
by those who pull the trigger or plant the IEDs,




Sorry to have nothing to contribute tonight but nitpicks, but someone 
on TV yesterday mumbled that term so badly that at first it sounded 
like IUDs . . .



Both Associated With Bangs Maru


-- Ronn!  :)



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Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread jdiebremse


--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Ritu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  And that's because the policy of the rest of the world was to
  support the reign of terror of Saddam Hussein ad infinitum

 Only if you share Bush's Manichean world-view. I don't. But we have
 covered this ground earlier, before the invasion.


Ritu, it seems that you, Nick, and even Dan missed the point here.

The proposition was made here that the US is responsible for all the
deaths currently occuring in Iraq.   While this was a reasonable
proposition when the deaths in Iraq were occuring largely as a result of
US military action, or else as a result of an anti-US insurgency in
Iraq, that no longer seems to be the case.   As the events of the past
week have painfully demonstrated, the predominant form of violence in
Iraq is of an inter-sectarian kind as the various Iraqi factions jockey
for position in the post-Saddam order.

In my mind, if one is to blame the US for these deaths, then the
alternative would be to support the prolonged the perpetuation of Saddam
Hussein or similar ad infinitum as a means of holding the country
together.Alternatively, I suppose you could explain why you think
that there would have been less sectarian violence in Iraq if the regime
of Saddam Hussein (or similar) had only collapsed *without* 150,000+ US
troops on the ground trying to help keep the peace...

JDG



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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread Nick Arnett

On 11/26/06, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



If need be, I can make a general case that our decision making process is
better informed when we do study pact actions and results in such a manner
than when we don't.  Indeed, arguing against such a case would reject a
great deal of how we learn through empirical observations.



I'm quite sure that's not needed, since it is common sense that one can
prophet from the past.

Nick


--
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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread Nick Arnett

On 11/27/06, jdiebremse [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



The proposition was made here that the US is responsible for all the
deaths currently occuring in Iraq.



Cite, please.

I don't recall anybody making any such argument.

Nick


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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of jdiebremse
 Sent: Monday, November 27, 2006 8:34 AM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them
 
 
 
 --- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Ritu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
   And that's because the policy of the rest of the world was to
   support the reign of terror of Saddam Hussein ad infinitum
 
  Only if you share Bush's Manichean world-view. I don't. But we have
  covered this ground earlier, before the invasion.
 
 
 Ritu, it seems that you, Nick, and even Dan missed the point here.
 
 The proposition was made here that the US is responsible for all the
 deaths currently occuring in Iraq.   While this was a reasonable
 proposition when the deaths in Iraq were occuring largely as a result of
 US military action, or else as a result of an anti-US insurgency in
 Iraq, that no longer seems to be the case.   As the events of the past
 week have painfully demonstrated, the predominant form of violence in
 Iraq is of an inter-sectarian kind as the various Iraqi factions jockey
 for position in the post-Saddam order.

I think that it is reasonable to assume that the overwhelming majority of
the recent violence is sectarian. And, it's also reasonable to think that if
the Bathist party fell (Hussein's death alone would not have been sufficient
if the strongest of his relatives/lieutenants took power afterwards), that
there would be some violent score settling.

But, from what I've read, there were many factors involved in Iraq
sectarianism.  For example, even at this late date, there are still mixed
Sunni/Shiite neighborhoods in Baghdad where Shiites look out for Sunni
neighbors as best they can. There have been a number of inter-sect
marriages.

Unfortunately, the way we've handled things, we have fostered the
development of multiple militia.  Chaos reigns.  As things continue to slip,
I expect the civil war to become extremely nasty.  By extremely nasty, I
mean noticeably worse than what we had seen in the Balkans.  

 In my mind, if one is to blame the US for these deaths, then the
 alternative would be to support the prolonged the perpetuation of Saddam
 Hussein or similar ad infinitum as a means of holding the country
 together.   

 Alternatively, I suppose you could explain why you think
 that there would have been less sectarian violence in Iraq if the regime
 of Saddam Hussein (or similar) had only collapsed *without* 150,000+ US
 troops on the ground trying to help keep the peace...

I think I understand your point. Collapses of minority sect totalitarian
rule can often be the source of tremendous chaos.  Civil wars often result.
In Iraq, some of the factors that would lead to a civil war were present.

But, I think that our presence allowed various militias to form up under the
banner of anti-Americanism as well as tribal loyalties.  Then, by keeping a
lid on things with our troops, we allowed this mess to simmer for 3+ years.
We also tied our own hands concerning a sharp intervention to prevent Shiite
genocide against Sunni.  If we hadn't occupied the country for almost 4
years already, we would have had options...as would other countries.

When Bush Sr. pushed for the fall of Hussein after Gulf War I, the projected
levels of violence after an overthrow were nowhere near what the level of
violence is now.  I think there is significant historical evidence to show
that Bush. Sr.'s team was far less likely to underestimate problems than
Bush Jr.'s. 

My projection for Iraq is dismal.  I think the best we can hope for is a
swift and decisive Shiite victory in a civil war, and the death tool in the
aftermath to be kept in the tens of thousands...as ethnic cleansing takes
place.  The reasonable worst case scenario is now a horror.  

Dan M. 


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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread Doug
JDG wrote:

 Ritu, it seems that you, Nick, and even Dan missed the point here.

 The proposition was made here that the US is responsible for all the
 deaths currently occurring in Iraq.   While this was a reasonable
 proposition when the deaths in Iraq were occurring largely as a result of
 US military action, or else as a result of an anti-US insurgency in
 Iraq, that no longer seems to be the case.   As the events of the past
 week have painfully demonstrated, the predominant form of violence in
 Iraq is of an inter-sectarian kind as the various Iraqi factions jockey
 for position in the post-Saddam order.

The sectarian violence now occurring in Iraq was sparked when the Al-Askari 
Mosque (the Golden Mosque) was destroyed last February by Al Qaida.  Why did Al 
Qaida do it?  To prolong the violence in Iraq.  Why did they want to prolong 
the violence?  Because of the presence of the U.S. in Iraq.  Would the 
Sunni/Shi'a have occurred anyway?  There's no way to know, but it's significant 
that before that bombing, violence between sects was minimal.

 In my mind, if one is to blame the US for these deaths, then the
 alternative would be to support the prolonged the perpetuation of Saddam
 Hussein or similar ad infinitum as a means of holding the country
 together.

So since we aren't invading North Korea, we support the perpetuation of Jong?  
Come on John, what kind of whacked out logic is that?

 Alternatively, I suppose you could explain why you think
 that there would have been less sectarian violence in Iraq if the regime
 of Saddam Hussein (or similar) had only collapsed *without* 150,000+ US
 troops on the ground trying to help keep the peace...

Yes, I believe that that is quite possible and even probable.

-- 
Doug
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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread Andrew Crystall
On 27 Nov 2006 at 8:45, Doug wrote:

 The sectarian violence now occurring in Iraq was sparked when the
 Al-Askari Mosque (the Golden Mosque) was destroyed last February by
 Al Qaida.  Why did Al Qaida do it?  To prolong the violence in Iraq. 
Why did they want to prolong the violence?  Because of the presence  of the  
U.S. in Iraq.  

And that is what I call absolute and total nonsense. Your causative 
chain of thought is founded on the basis that, somehow, Al Qaida's 
hostility to America is BECAUSE of Iraq.

...

Do you REALLY need cites on previous actions they took?

No. What's clear is they planned and carried out a major attack. If 
it had not been there, then it would probably of been in America. 
(And if not, Europe). Iraq is simply another battle front for what 
they see as a war against America.

Would the Sunni/Shi'a have occurred anyway?  There's no way to know,
but it's significant that before that bombing, violence between 
sects was minimal.

Absolutely, yes. It was a powerkeg allways waiting to go off, that 
was only the spark. Why? Because of the strong central government 
that America tried to set up. Which remains, to me, nonsensical.

AndrewC

Dawn Falcon

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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread Doug
Andrew wrote:

I wrote:

 The sectarian violence now occurring in Iraq was sparked when the
 Al-Askari Mosque (the Golden Mosque) was destroyed last February by
 Al Qaida.  Why did Al Qaida do it?  To prolong the violence in Iraq.
 Why did they want to prolong the violence?  Because of the presence  of the 
  U.S. in Iraq.

 And that is what I call absolute and total nonsense. Your causative
 chain of thought is founded on the basis that, somehow, Al Qaida's
 hostility to America is BECAUSE of Iraq.

How do you arrive at that conclusion?  AQ wants to prolong the violence because 
they are aware that Americans have a limited amount of patience; that by 
prolonging the violence they will force us to leave.  And in fact they have 
pretty much done that because public opinion has turned against the war and 
it’s only a matter of time before we begin to withdraw.

So we're going to loose, and Iran will step into the void we leave in Iraq, put 
down the Sunni resistance, and form a dangerous anti-American, anti-Israeli 
alliance.

And short of reinstating the draft and widening the war (which will never 
happen under the current political climate) - essentially initiating WWIII, 
there is very little we can do about it.

-- 
Doug
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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

At 08:58 AM Monday 11/27/2006, Nick Arnett wrote:


I'm quite sure that's not needed, since it is common sense that one can
prophet from the past.




Aargh.


-- Ronn!  :)



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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread Andrew Crystall
On 27 Nov 2006 at 12:42, Doug wrote:

 Andrew wrote:
 
 I wrote:
 
  The sectarian violence now occurring in Iraq was sparked when the
  Al-Askari Mosque (the Golden Mosque) was destroyed last February by
  Al Qaida.  Why did Al Qaida do it?  To prolong the violence in Iraq.
  Why did they want to prolong the violence?  Because of the presence  of 
  the  U.S. in Iraq.
 
  And that is what I call absolute and total nonsense. Your causative
  chain of thought is founded on the basis that, somehow, Al Qaida's
  hostility to America is BECAUSE of Iraq.
 
 How do you arrive at that conclusion?  

No, re-read what I typed. It's not a conclusion, it's pointing out 
that the causative chain of though I was replying to stated that.

 AQ wants to prolong the violence because they are aware that Americans have 
 a limited amount of patience; that by prolonging the 

Huh? No, again, you're somehow focusing on AQ hates Americans in 
Iraw. They PLAIN HATE AMERICANS. They're prolonging the violence 
by attacking Americans because it hurts American interests and 
Americans. Iraq happens to be the current best place for them to do 
that.

 So we're going to loose, and Iran will step into the void we leave in Iraq,
 put down the Sunni resistance, and form a dangerous anti-American,
 anti-Israeli alliance.

Dangerous to who? American interests, sure. As for anti-Isralie, 
Saddam wasn't precsely pro-Isralie in the first place.

AndrewC
Dawn Falcon

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Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread jdiebremse


--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Ritu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Similarly, I find the notion of bombing a people into democracy and
 gratitude stupid. And I really honestly do not believe that Bush's
 failure of imagination and my recognition of the same makes me
 responsible for Saddam's crimes, or the hypothetical continuation
 thereof.


And I find the notion of winning gratitude while standing idly by as a
megalamoniac dictator terrorizes the population, starts futile wars with
his neighbors, and leaves his country impoversihed while completely
enriching himself to be even stupider.

See, I can mock your position as easily as you can mock mine


 Now if there had been a serious attempt to find a different, less
 destructive way to get rid of Saddam before the invasion and the
tarring
 of every opposer as a supporter of Saddam you might have had a point.
 But there wasn't, and therefore you don't.


You wouldn't be referring to the generally-supposed policy of France,
Russia, and China, among others, to work towards the lifting of
sanctions on Saddam Hussein's Iraq, would you?   Oh nevermind

On the other hand, the policy of sanctions, No-Fly-Zones, diplomatic
isolation, etc. was given something on the order of 10+ years to work.

If a American Republicans/conservatives were proposing sticking with a
policy that had failed for 10+ years, I wonder what your reaction would
have been...

JDG


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Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread jdiebremse


--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  The proposition was made here that the US is responsible for all the
  deaths currently occuring in Iraq.

 Cite, please.

 I don't recall anybody making any such argument.

 Nick


Ok



11/22 at 12:37am according to Yahoo!

--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Ritu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 And nobody knows how many Iraqis have been killed by the non-American,
 non-Iraqi actors either. But what I do know is that the distinction
made
 by you is not being made by the majority of the world. If Iraqis are
 killing Iraqis at a stunning rate today, and they are, it is because
the
 Coalition enabled such a situation to arise. So, for quite a lot of
us,
 all the Iraqi deaths post 2003 are on the Coalition's head.



JDG


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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-27 Thread Doug
Andrew wrote:



 Huh? No, again, you're somehow focusing on AQ hates Americans in
 Iraw. They PLAIN HATE AMERICANS. They're prolonging the violence
 by attacking Americans because it hurts American interests and
 Americans. Iraq happens to be the current best place for them to do
 that.

Why do they hate Americans?  Primarily due to American hegemony in the Middle 
East and American support for Israel.  If we were just some country on the 
other side of the world with cultural differences they wouldn't care one way or 
the other about us.  Our pressence in Iraq incites their hatred.  People there 
that would otherwise not be interested in how much AQ hates us are swayed by 
our pressence there.

Look at it this way, Andrew.  Think of someone you really don't get along with, 
but you don't see very often.  Now think how you would feel if that person 
pitched a tent in your yard.  How would you feel?

That's what we're dealing with in Iraq.

 Dangerous to who? American interests, sure. As for anti-Isralie,
 Saddam wasn't precsely pro-Isralie in the first place.

An alliance between Iraq and Iran is potentially much worse than what we have 
dealt with in the past. Mix in an anti American bias and potential support from 
countrys like Russia, France and China - places that care little for the 
security of Israel and you begin to see how dire the situation can become.

-- 
Doug
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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-26 Thread Ritu

Dan Minette wrote:

  Only if you share Bush's Manichean world-view. I don't. But we have 
  covered this ground earlier, before the invasion.
 
 We have, and I think there is a reasonable view that might address 
 some of what you and some of what JDG argues for.
 Which probably means that neither of y'all will like it.

Because, of course, JDG and I are the epitome of unreasonableness... *g*

 I believe that we have responsibility for our actions and for our 
 inactions. But, the type of responsibility we have varies with how 
 directly we are the agents of the results of our actions/inactions.

Agreed.

 Turning back to the question we argued before the 2nd Iraq war, those 
 like me who argued against going in needed to accept the consequences 
 of Hussein remaining in power as a result of the path we favored being

 taken.  By the same token, those who favored invasion need to accept 
 the consequences of that invasion.

Now this is where you too fall prey to Bush's Manichean world view. The
object was [for argument's sake] the removal of a dictator. Bush's plan
was invasion and re-building. And *no other alternatives* were ever
explored. You either had to buy Bush's vision or be declared a supporter
of Saddam's regime of torture. Frankly, I find that nonsensical and do
not buy the argument. 

Let's say I read a newspaper report about a man taking his one month old
baby for a walk by the river. He sees a small kid drowning. He jumps in
with the baby, can't save the boy, and all three die. I read the story
and remark, 'Oh, that's stupid.' Now that does not automatically make me
a supporter of drowning, or of the notion that small kids should drown.
All it means is that I think the dad should have lay the baby down
somewhere before jumping in to effect a rescue, that it is stupid to
jump in with at least one arm already occupied. 

Similarly, I find the notion of bombing a people into democracy and
gratitude stupid. And I really honestly do not believe that Bush's
failure of imagination and my recognition of the same makes me
responsible for Saddam's crimes, or the hypothetical continuation
thereof.

 So, I'd argue that those who argue for invading Iraq must accept the 
 consequences of that action being taken in the exact same sense that 
 those of us who opposed going in needed to accept the consequences of 
 the continued rule of Hussein.

Argue all you want, I'm not buying it. :)

Now if there had been a serious attempt to find a different, less
destructive way to get rid of Saddam before the invasion and the tarring
of every opposer as a supporter of Saddam you might have had a point.
But there wasn't, and therefore you don't.

 Neither side needed to want the bad consequences of their 
 chosen path...they just needed to accept the responsibility 
 inherent in choosing those consequences instead of others. 

Yes, and what we are seeing here is an attempt to avoid responsibility
for the choice made by saying 'your choice was bad too!' The fact is
that no other choice was explored or offered. 'Your agreement or
accusations of being a supporter of a genocidal murderer' is not a valid
choice. Not when the proposed plan is ridiculous.
 
 In doing so, the other alternatives were all worse would be 
 a valid argument.

Yes, but to say that other alternatives would have had to be explored.

Ritu

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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-26 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Ritu
 Sent: Sunday, November 26, 2006 6:07 AM
 To: 'Killer Bs Discussion'
 Subject: RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them
 
 
 Dan Minette wrote:
 
   Only if you share Bush's Manichean world-view. I don't. But we have
   covered this ground earlier, before the invasion.
 
  We have, and I think there is a reasonable view that might address
  some of what you and some of what JDG argues for.
  Which probably means that neither of y'all will like it.
 
 Because, of course, JDG and I are the epitome of unreasonableness... *g*
 
  I believe that we have responsibility for our actions and for our
  inactions. But, the type of responsibility we have varies with how
  directly we are the agents of the results of our actions/inactions.
 
 Agreed.
 
  Turning back to the question we argued before the 2nd Iraq war, those
  like me who argued against going in needed to accept the consequences
  of Hussein remaining in power as a result of the path we favored being
 
  taken.  By the same token, those who favored invasion need to accept
  the consequences of that invasion.
 
 Now this is where you too fall prey to Bush's Manichean world view. The
 object was [for argument's sake] the removal of a dictator. Bush's plan
 was invasion and re-building. And *no other alternatives* were ever
 explored. 

I'm not sure why you made the last statement.  I'm sure you have at least
passing familiarity with the previous 10+ years since the end of the first
Gulf War.  A number of different alternatives were tried during that time.
The first alternative, of Bush I, was to rely on the implosion of Hussein's
army in the face of the Americans to provide a spark for an internal
revolution.  The idea was that after that army surrendered en mass, its
capacity would be reduced, along with Hussein's status.  The US encouraged
the Shiites to revolt, and they were brutally put down by the Republican
Guard. After that, the US and Britain enforced no-fly zones in the north and
south to limit the carnage.  That proved very successful in the north, where
the Kurds were able to hold their own.

The peace treaty allowed for inspections and sanctions.  They had some
success during the '90s.  But, in late '97 and '98, Hussein stopped/limited
inspections at gun point, declaring vast areas presidential palaces and
off limits to any inspections.  At that point, the US decided to bomb the
suspected sites and the inspectors withdrew.

During the late '90s and early '00, the sanctions leaked more and more.  The
oil for food program of the UN was rife with corruption.  France and Russia,
which had lucrative contracts with Hussein, were pushing to end sanctions
entirely.  It's amazing to me that the French Ambassador to the UN admitted
that Hussein paid him $100,000 for consulting work before/during the time
he was arguing to end sanctions.  At the same time, the people of Iraq were
suffering because the money wasn't going to them.

You either had to buy Bush's vision or be declared a supporter
 of Saddam's regime of torture. Frankly, I find that nonsensical and do
 not buy the argument.

But, that's not what I said.  Remember _I_ was opposed to Gulf War II.
Honestly, I'm not so far gone that I would stoop to an ad honimen attacks on
myself. :-)  

But, at the time and now I agreed that, by supporting containment, I would
accept the moral consequences of allowing Hussein to remain in power because
I honestly felt it was the lesser evil.  There's a difference between that
and supporting Hussein.  

 
 Let's say I read a newspaper report about a man taking his one month old
 baby for a walk by the river. He sees a small kid drowning. He jumps in
 with the baby, can't save the boy, and all three die. I read the story
 and remark, 'Oh, that's stupid.' Now that does not automatically make me
 a supporter of drowning, or of the notion that small kids should drown.
 All it means is that I think the dad should have lay the baby down
 somewhere before jumping in to effect a rescue, that it is stupid to
 jump in with at least one arm already occupied.

I understand that.  I see that this argument has an obvious easy outlay
the baby down first, stupid.  But, there isn't always an easy out.  A more
realistic true life story would be stopping a parent from going back into a
burning building to find their childknowing that this may eliminate the
only chance the child has to livebut also knowing that the odds were
strong that all that would happen is that both would die.

Someone who did that would have to accept the consequences of their
actionsthey eliminated the chance of that child living.  But, someone
who didn't stop the parent would also have to accept the consequences of
their inaction...if the parent never came out alive.  I think part of being
human is the fact that we must make moral choices based on incomplete
information.  We don't know

Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-26 Thread Nick Arnett

On 11/26/06, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



... a critical part of this is
accepting the consequences of one's own preferred path, as well as the
consequences of the path one opposes.



Unfortunately, that's based in fantasy because God only knows what would
have happened if another course had been taken.  Those who argue that things
would have been worse if... etc., are arguing from imagination, not
experience.  Even experience is tainted by our inability to be objective;
fantasy far more so.

The knowledge that we'll never know what could have been is one source from
which I'm able to draw some compassion for the leaders who got us into this
mess.  I cannot be certain that there was a better way.  My opinion is that
there was, but that can never be more than just an opinion.  We will never
know.

Nick


--
Nick Arnett
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-26 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Nick Arnett
 Sent: Sunday, November 26, 2006 1:49 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them
 
 On 11/26/06, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
  ... a critical part of this is
  accepting the consequences of one's own preferred path, as well as the
  consequences of the path one opposes.
 
 
 Unfortunately, that's based in fantasy because God only knows what would
 have happened if another course had been taken.  Those who argue that
 things would have been worse if... etc., are arguing from imagination, not
 experience.  Even experience is tainted by our inability to be objective;
 fantasy far more so.

Indeed, nothing is known with certainty.  We don't know that, if Lincoln
didn't defend the Union, that the slaveholders wouldn't have all decided on
January 14th, 1862 to free the slaves and to ask to be readmitted to the
union as states which gave full civil rights to all.  But, I certainly would
have betted against it.  We don't know that, if the US invaded China during
the Korean war, that China wouldn't have immediately given up.  But, the
odds were long.  

What we do know is probability.  Given the previous twelve years of history,
given other historical precedents, one would have to consider it improbable
that Hussein's government would fall within a few years. Just as right now,
it is very likely that the genocide in the Sudan will continue and worsen
without outside intervention.  We don't know this, but that doesn't mean
that we shouldn't gauge the most likely outcome of inaction as well as
action.


 The knowledge that we'll never know what could have been is one source
 from which I'm able to draw some compassion for the leaders who got 
 us into this mess.  I cannot be certain that there was a better way.  My
opinion is that there was, but that can never be more than just an opinion.
We will never know.

There is something between certain knowledge and just opinion: there is
likelihood.  I'm familiar with the history of attempts to nail down certain
knowledge...and they have not proven fruitful in the past. We place our
bets, and take our chances. History isn't a science, but there are patterns
and probabilities and general rules that can be developed.  There seems to
be evidence of the existence in talent in leadership; some leaders are
better than others.

Part of the study of history involves the analysis of the decision making
process. This study typically includes both the information available to the
decision maker at the time, and the information available to us now.  One
cannot make an assessment of the actions without determining the likelihood
of outcomes for other choices.  And, without such analysis, it becomes
harder to use historical decisions and their aftermaths to inform the
decisions one has to make oneself.

If need be, I can make a general case that our decision making process is
better informed when we do study pact actions and results in such a manner
than when we don't.  Indeed, arguing against such a case would reject a
great deal of how we learn through empirical observations.

Dan M. 



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Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-25 Thread jdiebremse


--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Ritu [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 And nobody knows how many Iraqis have been killed by the non-American,
 non-Iraqi actors either. But what I do know is that the distinction
made
 by you is not being made by the majority of the world. If Iraqis are
 killing Iraqis at a stunning rate today, and they are, it is because
the
 Coalition enabled such a situation to arise. So, for quite a lot of
us,
 all the Iraqi deaths post 2003 are on the Coalition's head.

And that's because the policy of the rest of the world was to support
the reign of terror of Saddam Hussein ad infinitum

JDG


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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-25 Thread Ritu
JDG wrote:

 And that's because the policy of the rest of the world was to 
 support the reign of terror of Saddam Hussein ad infinitum

Only if you share Bush's Manichean world-view. I don't. But we have
covered this ground earlier, before the invasion.

Ritu

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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-25 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Ritu
 Sent: Saturday, November 25, 2006 10:07 AM
 To: 'Killer Bs Discussion'
 Subject: RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them


 Only if you share Bush's Manichean world-view. I don't. But we have
 covered this ground earlier, before the invasion.

We have, and I think there is a reasonable view that might address some of
what you and some of what JDG argues for.  Which probably means that neither
of y'all will like it.

I believe that we have responsibility for our actions and for our inactions.
But, the type of responsibility we have varies with how directly we are the
agents of the results of our actions/inactions.  For example, the
responsibility the United States has for the action of its soldiers is
greater than the responsibility it has for the actions of the militia that
are torturing and killing wantonly in Iraq.  It would not be reasonable to
argue that the US soldiers torture and kill Iraqi's less than Hussein's men
as a defense for the morality of US actions in Iraq.  It would, however, be
reasonable to argue that, while there is wanton murder by some, the levels
are lower than what they were before.  To use a separate example, crimes
committed by members of the police are not an acceptable tool of law
enforcement.  But, at the same time, the crime rate in a city need not be
zero for us to consider the new police strategy to be a success because
crime rates have been lowered by it.

Turning back to the question we argued before the 2nd Iraq war, those like
me who argued against going in needed to accept the consequences of Hussein
remaining in power as a result of the path we favored being taken.  By the
same token, those who favored invasion need to accept the consequences of
that invasion.  Now, I'll admit that a reasonable person could have thought
Bush would have handled things better than he did, but I do think that my
initial prediction that we'd win the initial conflict and bungle managing
the peace afterwards (with a civil war as a real risk) turned out to be
generally accurate.

So, I'd argue that those who argue for invading Iraq must accept the
consequences of that action being taken in the exact same sense that those
of us who opposed going in needed to accept the consequences of the
continued rule of Hussein.  Neither side needed to want the bad consequences
of their chosen path...they just needed to accept the responsibility
inherent in choosing those consequences instead of others.  In doing so,
the other alternatives were all worse would be a valid argument.

Dan M. 


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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-25 Thread Nick Arnett

On 11/25/06, jdiebremse [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 So, for quite a lot of
us,
 all the Iraqi deaths post 2003 are on the Coalition's head.

And that's because the policy of the rest of the world was to support
the reign of terror of Saddam Hussein ad infinitum



Very, very bad logic.  Those who failed to remove Saddam (the rest of the
world) for years and years weren't supporters.  Otherwise, you and I can be
counted among his former supporters (and good luck getting on an
airplane).

I allow you to state almost any idea you care to, but that doesn't mean I'm
supporting them.

Do you dare argue that we are not responsible for the present situation in
Iraq, with all the death and destruction that has resulted?  Not completely
responsible, certainly, but surely you aren't trying to evade any
responsibility?  If people who failed to remove Saddam from power were his
supporters, then surely those who who made war on him are supporters of
the deaths of tens of thousands in the resulting conflict.

Even when the law and morality create an obligation to act, failure to do
so doesn't equate to support or responsibility for the ill that is taking
place, does it?

Nick

--
Nick Arnett
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-25 Thread Robert Seeberger
- Original Message - 
From: Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: 'Killer Bs Discussion' brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Saturday, November 25, 2006 10:42 AM
Subject: RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them


 It would, however, be
 reasonable to argue that, while there is wanton murder by some, the 
 levels
 are lower than what they were before.

IIRC the death rate in Iraq is double pre-war levels, mostly due to 
the insurgency.

Or were you pointing to something else and I missed your meaning?



xponent
Numbers Game Maru
rob 


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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-25 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Robert Seeberger
 Sent: Saturday, November 25, 2006 1:54 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them
 
 - Original Message -
 From: Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: 'Killer Bs Discussion' brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Sent: Saturday, November 25, 2006 10:42 AM
 Subject: RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them
 
 
  It would, however, be
  reasonable to argue that, while there is wanton murder by some, the
  levels
  are lower than what they were before.
 
 IIRC the death rate in Iraq is double pre-war levels, mostly due to
 the insurgency.
 
 Or were you pointing to something else and I missed your meaning?

I probably wasn't clear.  I was putting forth categories of arguementation,
not talking about the actual facts in Iraq.  For example, someone who
expected a competently run post-invasion period could argue that we should
expect life to be better after Hussein than under him.  If it were run
competently, and death rates were no higher than they were in the last half
of 2003, then that would be, IMHO a persuasive argument.  Now, it is clear
that the US damaged its own interests through the Iraq invasion and it's
aftermath, and its probable that Iraq will be worse off after Hussein than
under Hussein.  So, I was not arguing for the proposition that things are
better off than under Hussein.  Rather, I was arguing that better or worse
than Hussein was a valid measuring stick.

Dan M.  


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Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-25 Thread Robert Seeberger
- Original Message - 
From: Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: 'Killer Bs Discussion' brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Saturday, November 25, 2006 3:15 PM
Subject: RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them




 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
 [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Robert Seeberger
 Sent: Saturday, November 25, 2006 1:54 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

 - Original Message -
 From: Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: 'Killer Bs Discussion' brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Sent: Saturday, November 25, 2006 10:42 AM
 Subject: RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them


  It would, however, be
  reasonable to argue that, while there is wanton murder by some, 
  the
  levels
  are lower than what they were before.

 IIRC the death rate in Iraq is double pre-war levels, mostly due to
 the insurgency.

 Or were you pointing to something else and I missed your meaning?

 I probably wasn't clear.  I was putting forth categories of 
 arguementation,
 not talking about the actual facts in Iraq.  For example, someone 
 who
 expected a competently run post-invasion period could argue that we 
 should
 expect life to be better after Hussein than under him.  If it were 
 run
 competently, and death rates were no higher than they were in the 
 last half
 of 2003, then that would be, IMHO a persuasive argument.  Now, it is 
 clear
 that the US damaged its own interests through the Iraq invasion and 
 it's
 aftermath, and its probable that Iraq will be worse off after 
 Hussein than
 under Hussein.  So, I was not arguing for the proposition that 
 things are
 better off than under Hussein.  Rather, I was arguing that better or 
 worse
 than Hussein was a valid measuring stick.

That explains things thenG
Heck I've made such arguments.


xponent
Anti-Gravitas Maru
rob 


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Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-21 Thread jdiebremse
--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], pencimen [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  1993 (Oct.): Killing of U.S. soldiers in Somalia.  etc.

 And how does that 13+ years of attacks compare to just the last month
 in Iraq?

I dunno, how many Iraqis did the US kill last month?   And how many
Iraqis did Iraqis kill?

JDG


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RE: Iraq Re: Someone Must Tell Them

2006-11-21 Thread Ritu
JDG wrote:

  And how does that 13+ years of attacks compare to just the 
 last month 
  in Iraq?
 
 I dunno, how many Iraqis did the US kill last month? 

Who knows? You guys don't do body counts when you are doing the killing.

 And how many Iraqis did Iraqis kill?

Again, who knows? 

And nobody knows how many Iraqis have been killed by the non-American,
non-Iraqi actors either. But what I do know is that the distinction made
by you is not being made by the majority of the world. If Iraqis are
killing Iraqis at a stunning rate today, and they are, it is because the
Coalition enabled such a situation to arise. So, for quite a lot of us,
all the Iraqi deaths post 2003 are on the Coalition's head. Shouldn't be
a surprise as Powell did give a fair warning about breaking and owning.

Ritu


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