Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-11-02 Thread John Mikes
George, great. - Absolute measures? So you want to supersede the Archimede-Einstein wisdom ('gimme a fixed point...to: total relativity) - which is OK with me. I like the way you approach questions (big deal for youG). Main topic: Reverse Hubble? do we go towards a ;Big Bang', which is indeed a

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-31 Thread marc . geddes
On Oct 31, 7:40 pm, Brent Meeker [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Decisions require some value structure. To get values from an ontology you'd have to get around the Naturalistic fallacy. Brent Meeker- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Decision theory has this same problem. Decision

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-30 Thread Bruno Marchal
Le 26-oct.-07, à 20:18, Brent Meeker a écrit : Bruno Marchal wrote: ... Is God good? Well, according to Plato, accepting the rather natural theological interpretation of the Parmenides (like Plotinus), there is a sense to say that God is good, but probably not in the Christian sense

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-30 Thread Rolf Nelson
In (3) the universe doesn't have a high aIgorithmic complexity. I should have said that in (3) our decisions don't have any consequences, so we disregard them even if we do care what happens in them. The end result is the same: I'll act as if I only live in (2). In the (3) I gave, you're

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-30 Thread Brent Meeker
Wei Dai wrote: Rolf Nelson wrote: In the (3) I gave, you're indexed so that the thermal fluctuation doesn't dissolve until November 1, so your actions still have consequences. Still not a problem: the space-time region that I can affect in (3) is too small (i.e., its measure is too

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-30 Thread Wei Dai
Rolf Nelson wrote: In the (3) I gave, you're indexed so that the thermal fluctuation doesn't dissolve until November 1, so your actions still have consequences. Still not a problem: the space-time region that I can affect in (3) is too small (i.e., its measure is too small, complexity too

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-30 Thread marc . geddes
On Oct 31, 3:28 pm, Wei Dai [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: 4. For someone on a practical mission to write an AI that makes sensible decisions, perhaps the model can serve as a starting point and as illustration of how far away we still are from that goal. Heh. Yes, very interesting indeed.

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-30 Thread Brent Meeker
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: On Oct 31, 3:28 pm, Wei Dai [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: 4. For someone on a practical mission to write an AI that makes sensible decisions, perhaps the model can serve as a starting point and as illustration of how far away we still are from that goal. Heh.

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-29 Thread Bruno Marchal
How do the UDASSA, or the UDISTASSA, people take the difference between first person and third person into account? Do they? With the RSSA (through the use of the UD) it should be clear that THIRD person determinism and computability entails FIRST person indeterminacy and observable non

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-28 Thread Rolf Nelson
On Oct 25, 7:59 am, Wei Dai [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I don't care about (1) and (3) because those universes are too arbitrary or random, and I can defend that by pointing to their high algorithmic complexities. In (3) the universe doesn't have a high aIgorithmic complexity. Any theory that

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-28 Thread Rolf Nelson
However, to demonstrate would probably be difficult, and if we had something powerful enough to do this, we might have a theory that allows UDASSA to make novel predictions about the observed Universe. To give examples of how hard this is: 1. What is the probability that our Universe has

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-28 Thread Wei Dai
Rolf Nelson wrote: On Oct 25, 7:59 am, Wei Dai [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I don't care about (1) and (3) because those universes are too arbitrary or random, and I can defend that by pointing to their high algorithmic complexities. In (3) the universe doesn't have a high aIgorithmic

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-27 Thread Rolf Nelson
Wei, your examples are convincing, although other decision models have similar problems. If your two examples were the only problems that UDASSA had, I would have few qualms about adopting it over the other decision models I've seen. Note that even if you adopt a decision model, you still in

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-27 Thread Rolf Nelson
To put it more generally, thinking in terms of how much you care about the consequences of your actions *allows* you to have an overall preference about A and B that can be expressed as an expected utility: P(A) * U(A) + P(B) * U(B) since P(A) and P(B) can denote how much you care about

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-27 Thread Günther Greindl
Hi all, One thing I still don't understand, is in what sense exactly is the Measure Problem a problem? Why isn't it good enough to say that everything exists, therefore we (i.e. people living in a lawful universe) must exist, and therefore we shouldn't be surprised that we exist. If the

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-27 Thread Brent Meeker
Günther Greindl wrote: Hi all, One thing I still don't understand, is in what sense exactly is the Measure Problem a problem? Why isn't it good enough to say that everything exists, therefore we (i.e. people living in a lawful universe) must exist, and therefore we shouldn't be

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-27 Thread Wei Dai
Rolf Nelson wrote: Wei, your examples are convincing, although other decision models have similar problems. If your two examples were the only problems that UDASSA had, I would have few qualms about adopting it over the other decision models I've seen. Note that even if you adopt a decision

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-27 Thread Wei Dai
Brent Meeker wrote: That's a good argument assuming some laws of physics. But as I understood it, the measure problem was to explain the law-like evolution of the universe as a opposed to a chaotic/random/white-rabbit universe. Is it your interpretation that, among all possible worlds,

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-26 Thread Bruno Marchal
Le 25-oct.-07, à 18:22, Tom Caylor a écrit : How about SAI (Super Intelligence)? Or God? Seriously, of course. The problem with generic SAI is the one you brought up: how do you know the SAI is good? This problem does not exist with a good God. Also the problem of what is the arrow, how

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-26 Thread Brent Meeker
Bruno Marchal wrote: ... Is God good? Well, according to Plato, accepting the rather natural theological interpretation of the Parmenides (like Plotinus), there is a sense to say that God is good, but probably not in the Christian sense (if that can be made precise). Indeed, Plato's God

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-26 Thread Wei Dai
Rolf Nelson wrote: In standard decision theory, odds (subjective probabilities) are separated from utilities. Is how much you care about the consequences of your actions isomorphic to odds, or is there some subtlety I'm missing here? Your question shows that someone finally understand what

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-25 Thread Bruno Marchal
Le 25-oct.-07, à 03:25, Wei Dai a écrit : Rolf Nelson wrote: 1. Provides a possible explanation for the Measure Problem of why we shouldn't be extremely surprised to find we live in a lawful universe, rather than an extremely chaotic universe, or a homogeneous cloud of gas. One thing I

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-25 Thread Wei Dai
Rolf Nelson wrote: Your observations to date are consistent with all three models. What are the odds that you live in (2) but not (1) or (3)? Surely the answer is extremely high, but how do we justify it *mathematically* (and philosophically)? My current position is, forget the odds. Let's

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-25 Thread Tom Caylor
On Oct 25, 3:25 am, Bruno Marchal [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Le 25-oct.-07, à 03:25, Wei Dai a écrit : Rolf Nelson wrote: An example that Yudowsky gave: you might spend resources on constructing a unique arrow pointing at yourself, in order to increase your measure by making it easier

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-24 Thread Bruno Marchal
Le 21-oct.-07, à 20:33, Rolf Nelson a écrit : (Warning: This post assumes an familiarity with UD+ASSA and with the cosmological Measure Problem.) I am afraid you should say a little more on UD + ASSA. to make your points below clearer. I guess by UD you mean UDist (the universal

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-24 Thread Wei Dai
Rolf Nelson wrote: 1. Provides a possible explanation for the Measure Problem of why we shouldn't be extremely surprised to find we live in a lawful universe, rather than an extremely chaotic universe, or a homogeneous cloud of gas. One thing I still don't understand, is in what sense

Re: What are the consequences of UD+ASSA?

2007-10-24 Thread Rolf Nelson
On Oct 24, 9:25 pm, Wei Dai [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Rolf Nelson wrote: 1. Provides a possible explanation for the Measure Problem of why we shouldn't be extremely surprised to find we live in a lawful universe, rather than an extremely chaotic universe, or a homogeneous cloud of gas.