CNN makes the Call https://www.cnn.com/
On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:20 AM PGage <[email protected]> wrote: > Nate Silver has a thankless job (luckily he is making a lot of money, so > doesn’t need thanks). No matter how many times and how many different ways > he tries to explain the nature if probabilistic prediction, most people > will neither understand nor care. > > My Electoral College prediction map, which I made Sunday night, based on > analysis from Nate and others like him, looks like it will be pretty good: > I had Biden getting NC instead of GA, otherwise it looks exactly like the > current map using where each candidate is ahead in counted votes. Nate had > Biden winning the popular vote by 8 points, looks like it will end up being > between 4 and 5. Nate told us that if Biden’s popular vote lead fell under > 5 points there was like a 33% chance he could lose the EC. > > Nate doesn’t do polling folks; he tries to combine polling results done by > others to make best predictions about the range of outcomes possible. > > On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:01 AM 'Bob Jersey' via TVorNotTV < > [email protected]> wrote: > >> But of course, some consider it more important that Silver admit he isn't >> perfect, to which he replied "F*** you, we did a good job"... >> >> >> https://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/ny-nate-silver-fires-back-at-fivethirtyeight-critics-20201105-d5ho3nfkmrc2lo7tsags6jtdi4-story.html >> (link/possible >> $) >> >> B >> >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "TVorNotTV" group. >> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an >> email to [email protected]. >> To view this discussion on the web visit >> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/bdf4e999-088d-49c4-9459-0e986bdb1466n%40googlegroups.com >> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/bdf4e999-088d-49c4-9459-0e986bdb1466n%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> >> . >> > -- > Sent from Gmail Mobile > -- Sent from Gmail Mobile -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "TVorNotTV" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/CAKGtkYJ22sKtEZmd1mBzG-Tr7R8kJGLOcw9be%3DfJ%2BV9Uuq1bkA%40mail.gmail.com.
