ABC also. Looks like Nate Silver was right, they were waiting for the margin in PA to get to .5%. Latest results from Allegheny County put him over that mark.
On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:30 AM PGage <[email protected]> wrote: > CNN makes the Call > > https://www.cnn.com/ > > > > On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:20 AM PGage <[email protected]> wrote: > >> Nate Silver has a thankless job (luckily he is making a lot of money, so >> doesn’t need thanks). No matter how many times and how many different ways >> he tries to explain the nature if probabilistic prediction, most people >> will neither understand nor care. >> >> My Electoral College prediction map, which I made Sunday night, based on >> analysis from Nate and others like him, looks like it will be pretty good: >> I had Biden getting NC instead of GA, otherwise it looks exactly like the >> current map using where each candidate is ahead in counted votes. Nate had >> Biden winning the popular vote by 8 points, looks like it will end up being >> between 4 and 5. Nate told us that if Biden’s popular vote lead fell under >> 5 points there was like a 33% chance he could lose the EC. >> >> Nate doesn’t do polling folks; he tries to combine polling results done >> by others to make best predictions about the range of outcomes possible. >> >> On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:01 AM 'Bob Jersey' via TVorNotTV < >> [email protected]> wrote: >> >>> But of course, some consider it more important that Silver admit he >>> isn't perfect, to which he replied "F*** you, we did a good job"... >>> >>> >>> https://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/ny-nate-silver-fires-back-at-fivethirtyeight-critics-20201105-d5ho3nfkmrc2lo7tsags6jtdi4-story.html >>> (link/possible >>> $) >>> >>> B >>> >>> >>> -- >>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>> Groups "TVorNotTV" group. >>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send >>> an email to [email protected]. >>> To view this discussion on the web visit >>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/bdf4e999-088d-49c4-9459-0e986bdb1466n%40googlegroups.com >>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/bdf4e999-088d-49c4-9459-0e986bdb1466n%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> >>> . >>> >> -- >> Sent from Gmail Mobile >> > -- > Sent from Gmail Mobile > -- Sent from Gmail Mobile -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "TVorNotTV" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/CAKGtkY%2BSmzCJJtBdLdckFW72Uv-rbCTauU-mRkZ%3DFdPw5p37FQ%40mail.gmail.com.
