ABC also.

Looks like Nate Silver was right, they were waiting for the margin in PA to
get to .5%. Latest results from Allegheny County put him over that mark.

On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:30 AM PGage <[email protected]> wrote:

> CNN makes the Call
>
> https://www.cnn.com/
>
>
>
> On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:20 AM PGage <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> Nate Silver has a thankless job (luckily he is making a lot of money, so
>> doesn’t need thanks). No matter how many times and how many different ways
>> he tries to explain the nature if probabilistic prediction, most people
>> will neither understand nor care.
>>
>> My Electoral College prediction map, which I made Sunday night, based on
>> analysis from Nate and others like him, looks like it will be pretty good:
>> I had Biden getting NC instead of GA, otherwise it looks exactly like the
>> current map using where each candidate is ahead in counted votes. Nate had
>> Biden winning the popular vote by 8 points, looks like it will end up being
>> between 4 and 5. Nate told us that if Biden’s popular vote lead fell under
>> 5 points there was like a 33% chance he could lose the EC.
>>
>> Nate doesn’t do polling folks; he tries to combine polling results done
>> by others to make best predictions about the range of outcomes possible.
>>
>> On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:01 AM 'Bob Jersey' via TVorNotTV <
>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> But of course, some consider it more important that Silver admit he
>>> isn't perfect, to which he replied "F*** you, we did a good job"...
>>>
>>>
>>> https://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/ny-nate-silver-fires-back-at-fivethirtyeight-critics-20201105-d5ho3nfkmrc2lo7tsags6jtdi4-story.html
>>>  (link/possible
>>> $)
>>>
>>> B
>>>
>>>
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>>> .
>>>
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>>
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