I doubt they conferred, working in isolation and independently is a big part of the process. They probably have several criteria, but the .5 rule (or rather, the outside the recount threshold rule) is probably one they all have.
I think what happened in PA was that they probably had hit all of their criteria for making a projection (some of which may have been unique to each shop) for some time, but because of the unique contours of 2020, the last hurdle they all had to clear was the recount margin. When the margin got to .05, it triggered a call for everyone. On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 7:56 PM Doug Eastick <[email protected]> wrote: > Thanks for the AP criteria in that. But my question is.... Since at least > 3or 4 main tv Nets made the declaration on air within 60 seconds of each > other, are they all waiting on the same criteria??? > > Or did they all align on criteria and a phone call? > > I figured they all chatted on making the call. > > > > On Sat., Nov. 7, 2020, 6:38 p.m. PGage, <[email protected]> wrote: > >> More support fir Nate Silver’s theory that the call for PA, and hence the >> election was held until the PA lead exceeded .5%, from the AP: >> >> “By Saturday afternoon, Biden’s lead in the state had climbed to over >> 34,000 votes, an edge over Trump of 0.51 percentage points that placed him >> outside the margin for a mandatory recount. >> >> Under Pennsylvania law, a recount is automatic when the margin between >> two candidates in a statewide race is less than 0.5 percentage points. >> Biden’s lead over Trump was on track to stay outside of that margin as >> final votes are counted.” >> >> https://apnews.com/article/fe79276cd9175fffc7cf4fb58045fcf9 >> >> >> >> On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:40 AM PGage <[email protected]> wrote: >> >>> ABC also. >>> >>> Looks like Nate Silver was right, they were waiting for the margin in PA >>> to get to .5%. Latest results from Allegheny County put him over that mark. >>> >>> On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:30 AM PGage <[email protected]> wrote: >>> >>>> CNN makes the Call >>>> >>>> https://www.cnn.com/ >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:20 AM PGage <[email protected]> wrote: >>>> >>>>> Nate Silver has a thankless job (luckily he is making a lot of money, >>>>> so doesn’t need thanks). No matter how many times and how many different >>>>> ways he tries to explain the nature if probabilistic prediction, most >>>>> people will neither understand nor care. >>>>> >>>>> My Electoral College prediction map, which I made Sunday night, based >>>>> on analysis from Nate and others like him, looks like it will be pretty >>>>> good: I had Biden getting NC instead of GA, otherwise it looks exactly >>>>> like >>>>> the current map using where each candidate is ahead in counted votes. Nate >>>>> had Biden winning the popular vote by 8 points, looks like it will end up >>>>> being between 4 and 5. Nate told us that if Biden’s popular vote lead fell >>>>> under 5 points there was like a 33% chance he could lose the EC. >>>>> >>>>> Nate doesn’t do polling folks; he tries to combine polling results >>>>> done by others to make best predictions about the range of outcomes >>>>> possible. >>>>> >>>>> On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:01 AM 'Bob Jersey' via TVorNotTV < >>>>> [email protected]> wrote: >>>>> >>>>>> But of course, some consider it more important that Silver admit he >>>>>> isn't perfect, to which he replied "F*** you, we did a good job"... >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> https://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/ny-nate-silver-fires-back-at-fivethirtyeight-critics-20201105-d5ho3nfkmrc2lo7tsags6jtdi4-story.html >>>>>> (link/possible >>>>>> $) >>>>>> >>>>>> B >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> -- >>>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>>>>> Groups "TVorNotTV" group. >>>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, >>>>>> send an email to [email protected]. >>>>>> To view this discussion on the web visit >>>>>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/bdf4e999-088d-49c4-9459-0e986bdb1466n%40googlegroups.com >>>>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/bdf4e999-088d-49c4-9459-0e986bdb1466n%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> >>>>>> . >>>>>> >>>>> -- >>>>> Sent from Gmail Mobile >>>>> >>>> -- >>>> Sent from Gmail Mobile >>>> >>> -- >>> Sent from Gmail Mobile >>> >> -- >> Sent from Gmail Mobile >> >> -- >> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups >> "TVorNotTV" group. >> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an >> email to [email protected]. >> > To view this discussion on the web visit >> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/CAKGtkY%2BjAQA6E%2BrTb8dE6%2Bt4U2VJrMm_20YG9e4o7j%3DjHj3Ryw%40mail.gmail.com >> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/CAKGtkY%2BjAQA6E%2BrTb8dE6%2Bt4U2VJrMm_20YG9e4o7j%3DjHj3Ryw%40mail.gmail.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> >> . >> > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "TVorNotTV" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to [email protected]. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/CAK5Q1Brnd9oeAE6gYuYwu2Lzdajmim5-EkaNkjm7YCjBZ_Uxcg%40mail.gmail.com > <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/CAK5Q1Brnd9oeAE6gYuYwu2Lzdajmim5-EkaNkjm7YCjBZ_Uxcg%40mail.gmail.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> > . > -- Sent from Gmail Mobile -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "TVorNotTV" group. 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