Thanks for the AP criteria in that. But my question is.... Since at least 3or 4 main tv Nets made the declaration on air within 60 seconds of each other, are they all waiting on the same criteria???
Or did they all align on criteria and a phone call? I figured they all chatted on making the call. On Sat., Nov. 7, 2020, 6:38 p.m. PGage, <[email protected]> wrote: > More support fir Nate Silver’s theory that the call for PA, and hence the > election was held until the PA lead exceeded .5%, from the AP: > > “By Saturday afternoon, Biden’s lead in the state had climbed to over > 34,000 votes, an edge over Trump of 0.51 percentage points that placed him > outside the margin for a mandatory recount. > > Under Pennsylvania law, a recount is automatic when the margin between two > candidates in a statewide race is less than 0.5 percentage points. Biden’s > lead over Trump was on track to stay outside of that margin as final votes > are counted.” > > https://apnews.com/article/fe79276cd9175fffc7cf4fb58045fcf9 > > > > On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:40 AM PGage <[email protected]> wrote: > >> ABC also. >> >> Looks like Nate Silver was right, they were waiting for the margin in PA >> to get to .5%. Latest results from Allegheny County put him over that mark. >> >> On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:30 AM PGage <[email protected]> wrote: >> >>> CNN makes the Call >>> >>> https://www.cnn.com/ >>> >>> >>> >>> On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:20 AM PGage <[email protected]> wrote: >>> >>>> Nate Silver has a thankless job (luckily he is making a lot of money, >>>> so doesn’t need thanks). No matter how many times and how many different >>>> ways he tries to explain the nature if probabilistic prediction, most >>>> people will neither understand nor care. >>>> >>>> My Electoral College prediction map, which I made Sunday night, based >>>> on analysis from Nate and others like him, looks like it will be pretty >>>> good: I had Biden getting NC instead of GA, otherwise it looks exactly like >>>> the current map using where each candidate is ahead in counted votes. Nate >>>> had Biden winning the popular vote by 8 points, looks like it will end up >>>> being between 4 and 5. Nate told us that if Biden’s popular vote lead fell >>>> under 5 points there was like a 33% chance he could lose the EC. >>>> >>>> Nate doesn’t do polling folks; he tries to combine polling results done >>>> by others to make best predictions about the range of outcomes possible. >>>> >>>> On Sat, 7 Nov 2020 at 8:01 AM 'Bob Jersey' via TVorNotTV < >>>> [email protected]> wrote: >>>> >>>>> But of course, some consider it more important that Silver admit he >>>>> isn't perfect, to which he replied "F*** you, we did a good job"... >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> https://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/ny-nate-silver-fires-back-at-fivethirtyeight-critics-20201105-d5ho3nfkmrc2lo7tsags6jtdi4-story.html >>>>> (link/possible >>>>> $) >>>>> >>>>> B >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> -- >>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>>>> Groups "TVorNotTV" group. >>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send >>>>> an email to [email protected]. >>>>> To view this discussion on the web visit >>>>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/bdf4e999-088d-49c4-9459-0e986bdb1466n%40googlegroups.com >>>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/bdf4e999-088d-49c4-9459-0e986bdb1466n%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> >>>>> . >>>>> >>>> -- >>>> Sent from Gmail Mobile >>>> >>> -- >>> Sent from Gmail Mobile >>> >> -- >> Sent from Gmail Mobile >> > -- > Sent from Gmail Mobile > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "TVorNotTV" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to [email protected]. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/CAKGtkY%2BjAQA6E%2BrTb8dE6%2Bt4U2VJrMm_20YG9e4o7j%3DjHj3Ryw%40mail.gmail.com > <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/CAKGtkY%2BjAQA6E%2BrTb8dE6%2Bt4U2VJrMm_20YG9e4o7j%3DjHj3Ryw%40mail.gmail.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer> > . > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "TVorNotTV" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/tvornottv/CAK5Q1Brnd9oeAE6gYuYwu2Lzdajmim5-EkaNkjm7YCjBZ_Uxcg%40mail.gmail.com.
