Could some of he missing energy by escaping by means of neutrinos?  If a new 
unknown reaction is taking place, it might follow entirely unusual pathways.

My two cents worth.

Dave



-----Original Message-----
From: Eric Walker <[email protected]>
To: vortex-l <[email protected]>
Sent: Wed, Apr 11, 2012 12:40 am
Subject: Re: [Vo]:New Lattice Energy presentation




On Tue, Apr 10, 2012 at 8:47 AM, Abd ul-Rahman Lomax <[email protected]> 
wrote:

 
No, not at all. Where did you get that idea? Heat is not missing, except when 
we look at what would be required to generate the observed levels of helium 
following the W-L pathways. The third missing observable is the levels of 
transmuted elements that would be present as intermediate products, or as end 
products if the helium is produced by alpha emission.

(Which then leaves another problem, hot alphas, which would create other 
observable effects.)



I'm reminded of the cloud chamber anecdote -- I'm hoping some more details will 
turn up in this connection.
 
It's crucial. I know of only one *partial* theory that actually makes 
quantitative predictions, beyond Preparata's expectation of helium, and it's 
not ready for publication.


I definitely appreciate many of the points you raise.  But I think you risk 
putting the cart before the horse, here.  Some of the most important advances 
in physics were made through a conceptual leap of some kind, and only later 
were the quantitative implications worked out.  It's obviously important to 
have good measurements to work with.  But what is needed of a theory is 
something -- anything -- that can be tested.  It seems like too strong a 
statement to say that quantitative predictions are crucial to a theory, at 
least in the early stages.


I should add that while my questions were raised in the context of a thread 
about Widom and Larsen's theory, I don't have the faintest opinion concerning 
the complex formulae that they include in their papers, to the extent that I'm 
in a position to judge these things.  I appreciate their contribution they've 
made in drawing attention to the possibility of neutron flux, even if the 
outlines of what they propose is unlikely or even preposterous.  I'm a 
hobbyist, trying to understand LENR in context of the evidence on the 
transmutations of heavy elements, and I have not seen any good explanation for 
this apart from neutron flux or contamination.


There are some problems associated with the identification of transmutation 
products, and until there is adequate confirmation of results like those of 
Iwamura, it's dangerous to base much on them. Iwamura's results are certainly 
interesting and worthy of replication, and there have been replication 
attempts, some of which appear to have failed (or, in a recent case, just 
published in the CMNS journal, there was an apparent transmutation product that 
was identified as being, instead, a molecular ion with similar weight). It's a 
complicated story that I'm not going to research and write about here.



Perhaps -- but I think we have to err on the side of inclusivity of evidence 
or, as Guenter alluded to, risk selecting away important phenomena that any 
theory will need to explain.  From a purely formal perspective, it is entirely 
possible that there is not one but several different reactions going on under 
the category of LENR.  But this is certainly not a starting point I will depart 
from.


The present mode of academic research, of excluding from consideration anything 
that has not been entered into the official record, is only suitable for legal 
courts and the obtaining of tenure.  It's not the most efficient way of getting 
at the truth by any means, and as I become more and more familiar with academic 
research, I'm grateful not to feel bound by it.


Eric



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