On 1 August 2010 21:18, Jan Klauck jkla...@uni-osnabrueck.de wrote:
Ian Parker wrote
McNamara's dictum seems on
the face of it to contradict the validity of Psychology as a
science.
I don't think so. That in unforseen events people switch to
improvisation isn't suprising. Even an AGI,
...@gmail.com
To: agi agi@v2.listbox.com
Sent: Mon, August 2, 2010 11:54:25 AM
Subject: Re: [agi] AGI Int'l Relations
Jan
I can see that I didn't state one of my points clearly enough...
On Sun, Aug 1, 2010 at 3:04 PM, Jan Klauck jkla...@uni-osnabrueck.de wrote:
My simple (and completely
Matt,
On Mon, Aug 2, 2010 at 1:05 PM, Matt Mahoney matmaho...@yahoo.com wrote:
Steve Richfield wrote:
I would feel a **LOT** better if someone explained SOME scenario to
eventually emerge from our current economic mess.
What economic mess?
Ian Parker wrote
McNamara's dictum seems on
the face of it to contradict the validity of Psychology as a
science.
I don't think so. That in unforseen events people switch to
improvisation isn't suprising. Even an AGI, confronted with a novel
situation and lacking data and models and rules for
Steve Richfield wrote
Have you ever taken a dispute, completely deconstructed it to determine
its structure, engineered a prospective solution, and attempted to
implement it?
No.
How can you, the participants
on this forum, hope to ever bring stability
That depends on your definition of
Jan, Ian, et al,
On Sun, Aug 1, 2010 at 1:18 PM, Jan Klauck jkla...@uni-osnabrueck.dewrote:
It seems that *getting things right* is not a priority
for politicians.
Keeping things running is the priority.
... and there it is in crystal clarity - how things get SO screwed up in
small
Steve Richfield wrote
I suspect that this tool could work better than any AGI in the absence of
such a tool.
I see an AGI more as a support tool that collects and assesses data,
creates and evaluates hypotheses, develops goals and plans how to reach
them and assists people with advice. The
This echoes my feelings too. There is one other thing too. After my last
posting I realized that what I was talking about was general mathematics
rather than AI or AGI. Of course Polaris is AI, very much so, but Von
Neumann's nuclear war strategy was an evaluation of Minimax. Mind, once you
have a
Jan,
On Fri, Jul 30, 2010 at 4:47 PM, Jan Klauck jkla...@uni-osnabrueck.dewrote:
This brings me to where I came in. How do you deal with irrational
decision
making. I was hoping that social simulation would be seeking to provide
answers. This does not seem to be the case.
Have you ever
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bob-jacobson/google-and-cia-invest-in_b_664525.html
This is an interesting article. Rather too alarmist though for my taste.
This in fact shows the type of social modelling I have in mind. The only
problem is that third world countries interactions are *not* on the
The only real attempt that I know of was that of Von Neumann and games
theory http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_von_Neumann. It was in fact Von
Neumann who first suggested things like Prisoner's dilemma. This *games*
approach led to the
MADhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_assured_destruction
Ian Parker wrote
games theory
It produced many studies, many strategies, but they weren't used that
much in the daily business. It's used more as a general guide.
And in times of crisis they preferred to rely on gut feelings. E.g.,
see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Fog_of_War
How do you
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