Petro-dollars are quickly becoming worthless. We've reached the point where renewables (mainly solar) are the fastest, cheapest way to get power to the grid. That will be the main driver going forward. Just in the first half of this year China has put up over 200 GW of solar power. That is roughly equivalent to 200 nuclear reactors. They did that in six months, and it would have taken decades if it was nuclear.

A barrel of oil is now around $60, and we are going into a glut, which will drive the price of oil downward. If the price gets much below $50, then all of a sudden all the shale-oil becomes a loser, and will get shut down.

It will be interesting how this plays out, but I'm not betting on oil.

bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 10/25/2025 5:30 PM, Jan-GAMs wrote:

It doesn't work that way.  The petrol-dollar assholes will just get the government to make it illegal and force us to use gas.

On 10/24/25 19:46, Steve Jones wrote:
George and Gracie did a skit
"If we had some eggs, we could have ham and eggs, if we had some ham"

On Fri, Oct 24, 2025, 12:05 PM Robert <[email protected]> wrote:

    IF we actually got functioning Fusion, the greatest benefit would
    be being able to just forget about all these places...  Take away
    the petrodollar and they would blow away in the desert winds...

    On 10/24/25 9:28 AM, Ken Hohhof wrote:

    Yemen has a 10 year old civil war, partly a proxy war between
    Iran and the Saudis.  Yemen was formed by the merger of North
    Yemen and South Yemen, the latter was a former British colony.

    The Houthis are technically a “movement” but they control the
    capital and much of the territory and have their own government
    structure.  The internationally recognized and Saudi supported
    government moved to Adan in the south after the Houthi
    revolution or coup.  It looks to me like the split might be
    roughly the former North Yemen under control of the Houthis and
    the former South Yemen under control of the internationally
    recognized government.  I seem to remember that the Houthis were
    threatening to take control of the whole country when the Saudis
    intervened.  But the Saudis were mainly just bombing stuff.

    The Houthis are Iranian puppets so you could compare them to
    Hezbollah, but maybe more like revolutionaries, they control a
    good chunk of Yemen.  Not nice people.

    But Yemen is a mess.  I think I read the British left because of
    widespread terrorism and that was decades ago.  If a giant
    sinkhole swallowed the whole place, we would probably say good
    riddance.

    *From:*AF <[email protected]>
    <mailto:[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Bill Prince
    *Sent:* Friday, October 24, 2025 10:08 AM
    *To:* [email protected]
    *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] now we're blowing up boats in the Pacific

    Are the Houthis an actual country, or just another Al-Qaeda kind
    of group?

    bp
    <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

    On 10/24/2025 7:53 AM, Ken Hohhof wrote:

        So are the Houthis justified sinking vessels in the Red Sea
        from companies and countries that support Israel’s war in Gaza?

        *From:*AF <[email protected]>
        <mailto:[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Carl Peterson
        *Sent:* Friday, October 24, 2025 9:40 AM
        *To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <[email protected]>
        <mailto:[email protected]>
        *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] now we're blowing up boats in the Pacific

        The Daily had a really good bit on this yesterday.  Not
        particularly about blowing up boats but about the competing
        interests in the Trump administration re Venezuela.  It's a
        great 30 min listen.

        Background:  Maduro lost the last election in a landslide
        (30%/70%) but refused to cede power.

        TLDL:

        Trump wanted to cut a deal and was working on it but Rubio
        won out and is focused on regime change.

        
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/23/podcasts/the-daily/us-venezuela-maduro-boat-attacks.html

        On Thu, Oct 23, 2025 at 9:33 PM Steve Jones
        <[email protected]> wrote:

            Heh

            On Thu, Oct 23, 2025, 9:13 PM Chuck McCown
            <[email protected]> wrote:

                Might be safer to have a Maple Leaf flag. You could
                always run the stars and bars, at least they would
                presume you would be armed and would fight.

                *From:*AF [mailto:[email protected]] *On
                Behalf Of *Mark Radabaugh
                *Sent:* Thursday, October 23, 2025 7:41 PM
                *To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <[email protected]>
                *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] now we're blowing up boats in
                the Pacific

                So that American flag on the back is going to
                protect me from the various other countries that
                decide to even up the score?

                    On Oct 23, 2025, at 9:10 PM, Chuck McCown
                    <[email protected]> wrote:

                    Stop smuggling and you will be just fine….

                    *From:*AF [mailto:[email protected]
                    <mailto:[email protected]>] *On Behalf Of
                    *Mark Radabaugh
                    *Sent:* Thursday, October 23, 2025 6:57 AM
                    *To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
                    <[email protected]>
                    *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] now we're blowing up
                    boats in the Pacific

                    Someday I would really like to be able to sail
                    around the Caribbean and South America without
                    having to worry about being randomly blown out
                    of the water for no reason at all.   “Well, the
                    US said it was OK to kill people in
                    international waters”.

                    Mark




                        On Oct 23, 2025, at 1:31 AM, Jason McKemie
                        <[email protected]> wrote:

                        It seems very telling that when they blew up
                        a boat and people survived, they sent them
                        back to their home country vs prosecuting
                        them. You can't introduce that testimony
                        into the public record.

                        On Wed, Oct 22, 2025, 11:44 PM Ken Hohhof
                        <[email protected]> wrote:

                            Replying to myself, which is perhaps a
                            sign I should be in therapy, but I just
                            realized one reason why the Coast Guard
                            is underappreciated or at least unknown
                            compared to Army, Navy, Air Force and
                            Marines.  They are part of DHS not DOD.

                            But now that DOD is calling itself the
                            Department of War, maybe DHS is just
                            fine. Although one is Hegseth and the
                            other is Noem, so flip a coin.

                            Coast Guard is also much smaller, has a
                            smaller budget, and a much smaller PR
                            budget.  No money to toot their own horn.

                            *From:*AF <[email protected]> *On
                            Behalf Of *Ken Hohhof
                            *Sent:* Wednesday, October 22, 2025 10:50 PM
                            *To:* 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group'
                            <[email protected]>
                            *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] now we're blowing
                            up boats in the Pacific

                            Yeah, but if it’s on the ocean, I’d
                            prefer to see a Hawaii Five 0 style
                            chase.  With McGarrett in a speedboat,
                            and at the end he says “book ‘em, Danno”.

                            Besides, I think the Coasties are an
                            underappreciated branch of the US military.

                            *From:*AF <[email protected]> *On
                            Behalf Of *Steve Jones
                            *Sent:* Wednesday, October 22, 2025 8:31 PM
                            *To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
                            <[email protected]>
                            *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] now we're blowing
                            up boats in the Pacific

                            I prefer to see cartels bombed. When
                            they started moving the fent, they chose
                            bombs. A little nose candy here and
                            there, some dope, a little crystal, even
                            some heroin was manageable. But these
                            ducks decided to move shit that one
                            mistake kills. Fuckbag dealers are
                            putting it it club drugs and on
                            vicodins. Kids don't have a chance to
                            make a mistake.

                            Bomb the shit out of them. Sink their
                            boats, cut their life jackets, chum the
                            waters, I don't care as long as they
                            die. They don't want to give our kids a
                            second chance, their adults deserve as
                            terrible a death as possible. Idgaf
                            about human rights, they don't, and I
                            have no interest in the high road.

                            On Wed, Oct 22, 2025, 6:45 PM Dev
                            <[email protected]> wrote:

                                Turns out drug dealers sometimes get
                                shot, who knew? Maybe they were
                                delivering critical supplies to
                                orphanages, because speedboats with
                                three engines mean urgent care is
                                being delivered expeditiously?

                                    On Oct 22, 2025, at 3:03 PM, Ken
                                    Hohhof <[email protected]> wrote:

                                    Article on the latest generation
                                    of US Coast Guard “Over The
                                    Horizon” boats.

                                    
https://www.workboat.com/shipbuilding/test-driving-the-coast-guard-s-new-over-the-horizon-cutter-boat

                                    Generally deployed from a ramp
                                    on the back of a larger cutter
                                    along with helicopters. These
                                    things vaguely remind me of the
                                    WWII PT boats.

                                    I would not want to try and
                                    outrun the Coast Guard.

                                    *From:* AF
                                    <[email protected]> *On
                                    Behalf Of *Adam Moffett
                                    *Sent:* Wednesday, October 22,
                                    2025 4:24 PM
                                    *To:* 'AnimalFarm Microwave
                                    Users Group' <[email protected]>
                                    *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] now we're
                                    blowing up boats in the Pacific

                                    Yes, and that's the primary
                                    argument against this practice. 
                                    If we have solid intel that
                                    they're carrying drugs, and we
                                    know where they are, then as
                                    soon as they enter our
                                    territorial waters we can board
                                    the boat and arrest them.  The
                                    Coast Guard doesn't need a
                                    warrant or even a specific
                                    reason to board a boat. Some of
                                    those boats are faster than
                                    Cutters, but I don't have solid
                                    info on how often they actually
                                    escape when they're already
                                    being tracked.  It's hard to
                                    imagine they really get away
                                    often because the Coast Guard
                                    also has helicopters, and
                                    they're allowed to continue a
                                    pursuit into international
                                    waters (and onto land) as long
                                    as the pursuit started in US waters.

                                    Regardless of how often they
                                    really get away, it's not normal
                                    to blow up someone's boat as a
                                    law enforcement action.  We also
                                    don't execute drug traffickers,
                                    and even when the state executes
                                    someone there's a trial first.

                                    but.....

                                     1. post-911 we treat foreign
                                        terrorist organizations as
                                        enemy combatants

                                     1. the executive branch gets to
                                        decide who counts as an
                                        FTO.  The sec of state, sec
                                        of treasury, and attorney
                                        general all have to agree,
                                        but they also all have the
                                        same boss.

                                     1. Nobody can really stop the
                                        executive branch from
                                        declaring an FTO.

                                         1. Congress could pass a
                                            bill to override
                                            someone's listing as an
                                            FTO, but to date they've
                                            never done it.

                                         1. The courts could
                                            overturn an FTO listing,
                                            but for a lot of reasons
                                            it's almost impossible.

                                    So effectively the President
                                    and/or their cabinet has a
                                    completely legal pathway to
                                    authorize military force against
                                    just about anyone, and there's
                                    very little anyone can do about
                                    it. It's not that I have
                                    sympathy for drug smugglers,
                                    it's that all we can do is take
                                    someone's word for it that it
                                    was a drug smuggler.  If anyone
                                    is totally comfortable with that
                                    then I'm curious what your
                                    rationale is.

                                    
------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                    *From:* AF
                                    <[email protected]> on
                                    behalf of Ken Hohhof
                                    <[email protected]>
                                    *Sent:* Wednesday, October 22,
                                    2025 3:00 PM
                                    *To:* 'AnimalFarm Microwave
                                    Users Group' <[email protected]>
                                    *Subject:* [AFMUG] now we're
                                    blowing up boats in the Pacific

                                    
_https://x.com/SecWar/status/1981049943306752361
                                    
<https://x.com/SecWar/status/1981049943306752361>_

                                    I thought the Coast Guard was
                                    able to intercept boats and
                                    board them, arrest people and
                                    confiscate cargo.  I seem to
                                    remember they specifically
                                    acquired high speed boats that
                                    were a match for anything a drug
                                    runner might have.

-- AF mailing list
                                    [email protected]
                                    
http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com

-- AF mailing list
                                [email protected]
                                
http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com

-- AF mailing list
                            [email protected]
                            http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com

-- AF mailing list
                        [email protected]
                        http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com

-- AF mailing list
                    [email protected]
                    http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com

-- AF mailing list
                [email protected]
                http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com

-- AF mailing list
            [email protected]
            http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com


--
        Carl Peterson

        *PORT NETWORKS*

        401 E Pratt St, Ste 2553
        
<https://www.google.com/maps/search/401+E+Pratt+St,+Ste+2553+%0D%0A+++++++++++++++Baltimore,+MD+21202?entry=gmail&source=g>

        
<https://www.google.com/maps/search/401+E+Pratt+St,+Ste+2553+%0D%0A+++++++++++++++Baltimore,+MD+21202?entry=gmail&source=g>


        Baltimore, MD 21202
        
<https://www.google.com/maps/search/401+E+Pratt+St,+Ste+2553+%0D%0A+++++++++++++++Baltimore,+MD+21202?entry=gmail&source=g>

        (410) 637-3707





-- AF mailing list
    [email protected]
    http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com


-- 
AF mailing list
[email protected]
http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com

Reply via email to