On 23 Aug 2017, at 01:13, John Clark wrote:



On Tue, Aug 22, 2017 at 4:38 AM, Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> wrote:

​>> ​I don't what another paragraph of bafflegab! You claim "What is the name of the one and only one city I will end up seeing after I became two?" is a real​

​> ​... is a real question. yes. poorly phrased and slightly ambiguous,

​It's not slightly ambiguous, ​it's ASTRONOMICALLY ambiguous,

OK. Good you are aware.



but it's what you're asking


With a bit difference. I make precise that the question is on the first person experience (1p-I). Your question is ambiguous in a duplication context, as you are using the pronoun "I", which is used both for the 3p-I (like in "I have two hands") and the 1p-I (like in "I have a headache").




and it's the foundation on which you've built your entire philosophical construction.

It begins with the 1p-3p distinction. You transform systematically what I say in gibberish by systematically abstracting from that key nuance. In a large part, the "mind-body" problem is the "1p versus 3p relation" problem.




And that's why I refuse to read any more of your "proof". ​

You are clearly rejecting the entire subject.




​>> ​and the answer is very easy to find, so let's hear it. Knowing what you know today with the benefit of hindsight what one and only one city name would you have ​answered the Helsinki man's ​​question with?

​> ​To get the first person views, you need to tell me which copy you ask the question,

Good god​, do I really have to spell this out?​​!​ I didn't ask either copy​.​

That is your mistake. the prediction is done in Helsinki, but the verification is done in the two W and M cities.



Yesterday I asked the Helsinki man and only the Helsinki man because there was nobody else to ask, yesterday neither copy existed.

You agreed that both the W-man and the M-man are the H-guy. You have to compare the prediction in Helsinki (which is written in the diary which enter the box) and the results: what is written in each diary after the copies writte the result of the self-localization.



I'm amazed that after all this time I still have to point out this very obvious and elementary fact.

You have convinced nobody. You are alone on this one.





​> ​The point will be that both will answer something like "Washington (resp. Moscow), and I could not have predicted it".

​If they couldn't predict that the Moscow Man ​will see Moscow and the Washington man will see Washington then they aren't very bright.

Sure. But everyone *can* predict that. What the H-guy cannot predict is if he will be the one feeling to have become the Moscow man, or to the Washington man. You mock the diaries, but they are useful to see that in Helsinki, you cannot predict what will be written in the diary that will be split. The diary lakes this quasi-tautological, but not tautological. Just tell me what you write in the diary when still in Helsinki. the question makes sense because you already know that you will survive, feeling to be in one precise city, with probability 1. So what do you write *in Helsinki*?




​>> ​After the duplication 2 people will have identical copies of that diary in their hand,

​> ​Yes. With their "prediction", and both can see that "W & M" is refuted,

​Today the day after the experiment was completed ask Mr. W 2 questions:

1) Are you ​Bruno Marchal?
2) Do you see W?

1) Yes.
2) Yes
But you forget to ask to BM to compare that result with the prediction made in Helsinki. So
3) I am not in M, so "W & M" was false, and "W v M" was correct.




And then ask Mr. M 2 questions:

1) Are you ​Bruno Marchal?
2) Do you see M?

1) Yes.
2) Yes
But you forget to ask to BM to compare that result with the prediction made in Helsinki. So
3) I am not in W, so "W & M" was false, and "W v M" was correct.





If the answer in no for any of those 4 questions then my prediction made yesterday that Bruno Marchal will see 2 cities turned out to be wrong. But I don't think they will say no. Do you?

1p-3p confusion. You can treat two people (W-BM and M-BM) like if it was a unique person, even if those two people are legitimate continuation of the H-guy. The point is that the H-guy does not know in advance if he will feel to become the W or the M guy. he knows that he cannot feel to be both (as we have no telepathic means).

Thanks for making even clearer the 1p/3p confusion. The argument of step 3 works even if the copies were p-zombie, because in this step, the definition of 1p is a 3p definition, like the use of the diary/ diaries exemplifies.

Bruno



John K Clark




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http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



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