On Mon, Sep 18, 2017 at 7:16 AM, Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> wrote:


> ​> ​
> Both copies saw only one city,
>

​Yes.​



> ​>​
> and both were unable to predict in advance which one they would feel to
> see.
>

​Unable
 to predict in advance
​ who would see what? ​Today I can predict what one and only one city the
Moscow man will see tomorrow and today
I can predict what one and only one city the
​Washington​
 man will see tomorrow
​ and, depending on what you mean by "the Helsinki ​man",  I can predict
that too. I honestly don't know what more there is to predict.


> ​> ​
> The point is that the two copies were not able to predict their specific
> experience.
>

​That's because before their ​specific experiences there were not two
copies, neither the Washington man nor the Moscow man existed, only the
Helsinki man existed. You can't make a prediction, or do anything else, *IF
YOU DON'T EXIST*!

​> ​
> which is the criteria for verifying a prediction of a first person
> experience?
>

​By far the most important ​criteria needed to verify a prediction is to
make it clear and unambiguous which first person experience the prediction
is all about, and that you have not even come close to doing. Is it the
first person experience of the person that will experience Moscow tomorrow,
or the first person experience of the person that will experience
Washington tomorrow, or the first person experiences of the people tomorrow
who remember being in Helsinki today?


> ​> ​
> Mr His is both the W-guy and the M-guy for any third person looking at the
> experience from outside.
>

​And Mr His is the W-guy from the W-guy's
 first person experience
​and ​
 Mr His is the M-guy from the M-guy's ​
 first person experience
​. So I ask again for the 999th time, who is the prediction supposed to be
about?​

​> ​
> You just need to make precise


​I don't need to do that, you do. And I know your mantra, you chant it all
the time as if it will solve all problems "you confuse the 1p and the 3p";
but is it really surprising I'm confused when you demand people predict
things BEFORE they exist??​


​> ​
> But from Mr. His' personal view point after the duplication, he
> ​ [...]
>

​And that is a great example of what needs to be made precise. Are you
talking about ​
 Mr. His personal view point
​in Moscow or ​
Mr. His' personal view point
​in Washington?​ Yesterday when there was only one who was the prediction
supposed to be about?

​
>> ​>> ​
>> Then the question is of no scientific of philosophic significance
>
>
> ​> ​
> You could have said this before
>

​I have said it before!


> ​> ​
> as it has always been that same question.
>

​
No there are two
​ things involved. Y
ou ask what some bozo expects to happen
​,​
and that is of no scientific
​ ​
or
​
philosophic significance
​ whatsoever but at least it's a real question with a real answer. ​But you
also say "What one and only one city will you see after you have been
duplicated and become two?" and that is not a question, that is just a
sequence of words that ends with a question mark at the end, so obviously
there is no answer to it.
 ​


> ​>> ​
>> A far far more profound question than "Where do you expect he will live?"
>> is "Where will he live?" or even better "Today where are the people who
>> remember being in Helsinki yesterday?".  ​
>
>
> ​> ​
> That is the 3p question.
>

​OK then please explain ​exactly what the 1p question is and how it differs
from the 3p question.



> ​> ​
> the person undergoing the split cannot feel the split, nor predict his
> self-localization measurement.
>

The Moscow man can't predict anything before his localization measurement
​
because before he sees Moscow the Moscow man did not exist, and its very
hard to make good predictions if you don't exist.

>
> ​> ​
> The point is that you cannot predict in Helsinki if you will be the Moscow
> man *from your first person subjectyive experience". (and there are no
> problem with pronouns here).
>

​If there are no problem with pronouns then please explain what one and
only one thing "you" tomorrow means if I am to be duplicated today.  ​



> ​>> ​
>> The only reason more can't be predicted is because you can't say exactly
>> what it is you want predicted.
>
>
> ​> ​
> That is not correct. "it" refers to the very precise outcome "I open the
> door and see W" and "I open the door and see M".
>

​Well OK then, you just correctly predicted the very thing that you said
could not be predicted.​


​> ​
> It is isomorphic to the coin throwing.
>

​Nope, not even close. Tomorrow everybody can say with 100% certainty how
the coin flip turned out, but tomorrow everybody will be as clueless as
they are today about what one and only one city I ended up seeing. "Will
the coin fall heads or tails?" is a real question and although I might not
know it the answer the answer exists. The problem with "What city will I
see?" isn't that I don't know the answer it's that the answer doesn't exist
today and it won't exist tomorrow either. The answer will NEVER exist
because there NEVER was a question.  ​


>> ​Nothing can be verified if its not know who the prediction was supposed
>> to be about,
>
>
> ​> ​
> It is not a question of "who".
>

​Of course it is! If nobody knows whose future is being predicted what good
is it? And how will anybody ever know if it was correct? ​


​> ​
> it is about the experience of the people who remember having been asked
> the question in Helsinki.
>

​Then we're talking about the Helsinki man having 2 experiences ​in two
cities, unless of course you backtrack on your statement that the Helsinki
man is "
the people who remember having been asked the question in Helsinki
​". But I am quite sure you will backtrack on that, you will backtrack so
much that "The Helsinki man" will no longer have any meaning. ​



> ​>>​
>>  I have no idea who the prediction is about and thus have no way of
>> knowing if any prediction was right or wrong. ​
>
>
> ​> ​
> In the 3p.
>

​1p, 3p or frozen peas I have no idea who or what the ​prediction is about.



> ​> ​
> Obviously, only the W-guy and the M-guy knows the answers,
>

​The answer? They don't even know the question and neither do I.​



> ​> ​
> On the first person indeterminacy,
> ​
>  ​
> I know only one person having a problem here: you.
>

​It's strange, you keep repeating that same line over and over again almost
as if popularity has something to do with the truth. I can be persuaded to
change my position by logical argument but peer pressure makes no
impression on me. This isn't the first time I've been in the minority on a
mailing list and I don't expect it will be the last.​


> ​>> ​
>>  I think you're the one who is confused, you're confused by the fact
>> that there are two the first person views, one in Washington and one in
>> Moscow and both of them are the H-guy.
>
>
> ​> ​
> That is not confusing when you keep in mind that the question is about the
> 1p-expectation.
>

​My ​
1p-expectation
​ is S
anta
​C​
laus
​W​
orkshop
​. Now please explain ​why that is worth talking about.

​>> ​
>> ​If it's​
>> ​
>>
>> ​a real question then there is a one word answer, and I don't need to
>> read one word carefully. ​
>>
>
> ​> ​
> Listen to the copies. They all give the one word answer
>

​I agree, so I must conclude that the root cause of our disagreement is I
think 1+1 =2 and you don't. ​

​> ​
>  you put the 1p experience under the rug.
>

​Which​ *THE* 1p experience do I sweep under the rug, the one in Helsinki,
the one in Moscow or the one in Washington?


> ​>> ​
>> ​I will tell you the one and only one name of that city just as soon as
>> you tell me who "he" is.
>
>
> He is the guy remembering Helsinki.
>

I see. Well then the name of that one and only one city happens to have the
same name as the name of the one and only one integer that is larger than
five but less than six.


> ​> ​
> From outside, they are two of them, but they feel unique and the question
> was about that feeling.
>

​That is not clear, what about that feeling, what do you want to know about
it?​



> ​> ​
> After the duplication there are TWO first person,
>

​Yes, and they are both the Helsinki man.​



> ​> ​
> and they each say one precise answer.
>

​Yes, and I'm pretty sure 1+1=2.​



> ​> ​
> You talk again like if the person could feel being in two places at once.
>

​If "​
the person
​" is the Helsinki man and if the Helsinki man has been duplicated and if
one copy saw Moscow and the other saw Washington then the the Helsinki man
will see 2 cities at once, and all the peas in the world won't change that
fact, only changing what "the person" means could do that. ​


> ​> ​
> Either you ignore the 1p view, or
>

Which​ *THE* 1p experience
​should I ignore,
the one in Helsinki, the one in Moscow or the one in Washington?


> ​> ​
> you introduce a non computable element in the mind.
>

​Even ​
a non computable element in the mind
​ can't turn gibberish into a question.​ And neither can a question mark.



> ​> ​
> No third person can feel the experience of another person. But there is a
> "it", for both copies, as we can directly see in their diaries.
>

​There is nothing in those idiotic diaries that couldn't have been easily
predicted long ago. ​Nothing.

> ​>
>>> ​>>​
>>> ​Just listen to the copies.
>>
>> ​>> ​
>> ​I did, and they named 2 cities not one.​
>
>
> ​
> ​> ​
> That is plainly wrong, or a word play. They both cited 1 city.
>

​Would it also be plainly wrong to say for the equation​ X=(4)^1/2  there
is one and only one correct value for X? Would a question about the one and
only one solution to that equation be a real question or would it just be
words and a question mark?


> ​> ​
>  You cannot treat the multiple copies like if they were still one person.
>

​Yes, and that is exactly why "What one and only one city will you see
after you becomes two?" is not a question; question marks just don't have
enough power to give meaning to gibberish. Nobody can give an answer if
there ​is no question.


> ​> ​
> They have differentiated.
>

​Yes.​



> ​> ​
> They both are still the H-guy,
>

​Yes.​



> ​> ​
> but none of the W (resp M) guy is the M (resp W) guy.
>

​Yes. So what on earth does "What one and only one city will you see?"
mean, what is it asking???

 John K Clark



​

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